• Steve H. Hanke
    02/11/2016 - 16:08
    The burgeoning literature contains a great deal of hype, which validates the 95% Rule: 95% of what is written about economics and finance is either wrong or irrelevant.

Citadel

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IEX Strikes Back: Charges NYSE With "Tiering" Order Flow, Shows "Latency Arbitrage" Is Real





Since granting IEX exchange status would lead to an immediate market structure disruption, one which would impair such embedded HFT players as Citadel which, as we have explained previously is the NY Fed's preferred "arms length" intermediator in the market to ingite momentum at critical downward junctions, we are very skeptical that when all is said and done, the SEC will grant IEX what it wants: after all there are too many status quo revenue models at stake, not to mention a potential threat to the Fed's preferred market "intervention" pipeline.

 
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Frontrunning: January 21





  • Global Stocks Face Fresh Losses (WSJ)
  • European stocks lick wounds after mauling, oil steady (Reuters)
  • Hang Seng Index Sinks Below Net Assets for First Time Since 1998 (BBG)
  • U.S. Hedge Funds Boast Lower Losses as Markets Tumble Further (NYT)
  • Deutsche Bank Drops as Investment Bank Revenue Concerns Mount (BBG)
  • Islamic State Uses Syria’s Biggest Dam as Refuge and Potential Weapon (WSJ)
 
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So You Want To Be A Citadel Trader: Here Are The Requirements





  • Advanced training in Computer Science, Computer Engineering, or other related fields
  • Extensive programming experience with strong object oriented design skills and fluency in C, C++, or Java
  • Expertise with algorithms and data structures
  • Demonstrated ability to communicate complex ideas in a clear, concise fashion
  • Ability to thrive in a complex, fast-paced, and highly technical environment
 
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"America's Equity Markets Are Broken" Yale CIO Admits "Rigged Markets" Hurt Individuals





America's equity markets are broken. Individuals and institutions make transactions in rigged markets favoring short-term players. The root cause of the problem is that stocks trade on numerous venues, including 11 traditional exchanges and dozens of so-called dark pools that allow buyers and sellers to work out of the public eye. This market fragmentation allows high-frequency traders and exchanges to profit at the expense of long-term investors. Mr. Lewis was right.

 
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Santa Rally Lifts Global Stocks For Third Day: Will Volumeless Levitation Push The S&P Green For 2015?





With just a handful of trading sessions left in the year, this is how the major global markets look as 2015 is about to close. As of this moment, and in keeping with the Christmas spirit, the biggest question is whether the S&P500 will close green or red for the year.

 
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2015 Year In Review - Scenic Vistas From Mount Stupid





“To the intelligent man or woman, life appears infinitely mysterious, but the stupid have an answer for everything.” ~Edward Abbey

 
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Repo Experts Stumped: How Could Fed Hike Without Draining ANY Liquidity: "This Is A Market By Decree"





"The Fed didn't really drain any liquidity yesterday. They moved the IOER up to .50%, moved the RRP rate up to .25%, and the RRP volume came in at $105 billion, only $3 billion more than the day before. Where was the draining? But interest rates moved up anyway to reflect the tightening, without any fundamental change. Basically, the Fed decreed a rate tightening and the market moved rates higher.... I wonder how many economic interest rate models include "by decree" as a factor?"

 
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Explaining Today's "Massive Stop Loss" Quad-Witching Market Waterfall: Why 2000 Must Be Defended At All Costs





Levels to watch are the large imbalances in favor of puts in Dec SPX put contracts at 2050, 2000, 1950, 1900 strikes. It further writes that "as SPX moves below these levels market makers who are short these puts would be forced to sell spot futures to hedge, which could exacerbate a market selloff."

 
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The Billionaire's Pick: How Marco Rubio Became The Preferred Puppet Of GOP Oligarchs





As concerning and hateful as so much of Trump’s commentary is, we can at least be sure he speaks from his own twisted mind. This is precisely why he appeals to so many people in this day and age of completely captured politicians. People like the fact that every word out of his mouth hasn’t been carefully placed there by some billionaire patron. On the exact opposite end of that spectrum we find Marco Rubio. A man so incapable of free-thought, he becomes the ideal target for billionaires looking to craft the perfect puppet. Forget Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio is now the establishment GOP’s pick, and they will do everything in their power to get him the nomination.

 
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The Market Has Just Gone Nuts





Presented with little comment, aside to ask: "where are the liquidity-providers?"

 
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Beware The "Massive Stop Loss" - JPM's Head Quant Warns This Unexpected Downside Catalyst Looms Next Week





"There are $1.1 trillion of S&P 500 options expiring on Friday morning. $670Bn of these are puts, of which $215Bn are struck relatively close below the market level, between 1900 and 2050. At the time of the Fed announcement, these put options will essentially look like a massive stop loss order under the market. This important event falls at a peculiar time—less than 48 hours before the largest option expiry in many years. "

 
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The One Chart The Proves How The Fed Singlehandedly Doubled The Stock Market Since 1997





By excluding 294 "day of + day before" Fed meeting trading days (147 x 2 days excluded) out of over 4,500 total trading days since Jun-1997, the drop is ~50%. Basically, excluding just 6% of Fed-influenced days cuts the S&P 500 price in half.

 
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