Commitment of Traders

Tyler Durden's picture

Is The "Smart Money" Ready To Bet On Gold?





For the last three weeks, gold has experienced something that has never happened before - hedge funds aggregate net position has been short for the first time in history. However, as Dana Lyons notes, this week saw another 'historic' shift in gold positioning as commercial hedgers shifted to the least hedged since 2001... so the 'fast' money is chasing momentum and the 'smart' money is lifting hedges into them.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Psychology ahead of Key Events in Greece and US Jobs Data





A look at the psycholgoy of traders as reflected in the price action ahead the new week which promises to be eventful.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

One Of The World's Largest Silver Miners Slams The CFTC About Silver Market Manipulation





"It occurs to me that such massive speculation in COMEX silver futures may not be in keeping with the spirit and intent of commodity law and may suggest something is wrong with the price discovery process, since real producers and consumers of silver don't appear to be represented.... As one of the largest primary silver producers in the world, we feel that an effective and fair pricing mechanism is critical for the healthiness of our industry and for the millions of people impacted by what appears from the outside, to be manipulative practices by a concentration of players."

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Blues





Dollar downmove still seems corrective in nature.  Fed hike in September still seems most likely scenario.  Taalk of US recession is over the top when unemployment, broadly measured is falling and weekly initial jobless claims are at new cyclical lows.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar's Demise Exaggerated: Technicals Anticipate Turn in Fundamentals





Yogi Berra, one of the keenest observers of the human condition, is said to have once remarked "It is tough to make predictions, especially about the future."  And so it is.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Leverage Mismatches" - Why Q-ECB May Not Be A Favorable Development





It’s not entirely clear what will happen in the near term, but the financial markets are already pushed to extremes by central-bank induced speculation. With speculators massively short the now steeply-depressed euro and yen, with equity margin debt still near record levels in a market valued at more than double its pre-bubble norms on historically reliable measures, and with several major European banks running at gross leverage ratios comparable to those of Bear Stearns and Lehman before the 2008 crisis, we're seeing an abundance of what we call "leveraged mismatches" - a preponderance one-way bets, using borrowed money, that permeates the entire financial system. With market internals and credit spreads behaving badly, while Treasury yields, oil and industrial commodity prices slide in a manner consistent with abrupt weakening in global economic activity, we can hardly bear to watch...

 
Marc To Market's picture

News Stream May Favor US Doves and Spur Dollar Consolidation





Data and market positioning can explain movement in the currencies.  It does not prove that there is no manipulation or a great conspiracy.  It just means the markets are understandable without resorting to such explanations.    Try it.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Technical and Fundamental Factors Point to Stronger Dollar





You might not like it.  You may think it is a joke.  Yet the fact of the matter is the dollar is posied for further appreciation.   Be prepared.  

 
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