Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Why The Crude Rally Has Fizzled - Part 2

So, why is everyone so bullish? Many oil analysts take as a fait accompli that OPEC-led production cuts thus far are key to balancing the crude market. If this is the case, though, why hasn’t it happened yet?

Monumental Gridlock Meets Blind Euphoria

"To me, this situation feels like a slow-motion train wreck where all you can do is watch... Washington’s monumental gridlock is on a collision course with investors’ blind euphoria. We’re all on one train or the other. Hold on tight."

So Many Triggers

The question is not “if” but “when.” In the end, it will matter little which trigger it will be, as, like a string of firecrackers, when one explodes, a chain reaction is set off.

Frontrunning: March 15

  • What to watch at the Fed meeting (FT)
  • Dutch vote in test of anti-elite sentiment in Europe (Reuters)
  • Where Are the Battlegrounds in the Dutch Election? (BBG)
  • Erdogan says Dutch have ‘rotten character’ as row escalates (FT)
  • How the Fed Convinced Markets It’ll Raise Rates This Week (BBG)
  • GOP Senators Say Health Bill Won’t Pass Unless Changed (WSJ)
Reggie Middleton's picture

The Winkelvoss Bitcoin ETF just might be salvageable. There were some fairly egregious misconceptions and dated understandings in the SEC's reasoning to reject the application. I can show those who are interested how to construct a stronger application that overcomes the objections. The demand is there, we just need to get the vehicle correct.

The Road To Hell Was Paved With Obama Cronyism

It is absolutely imperative to see Trump as a symptom of a sick and broken system as opposed to the root cause of anything. The corporate media and legions of mourning Hillary cultists continue to present the Trump threat in extraordinarily simplistic and unhelpful terms. They act as if he’s the head of some evil snake, and that disposing of him as an individual will get America back on track. This couldn’t be more wrong.

#FakeNews In Investing

As is always the case, a ramping bull market hides investor mistakes – it is the bear market that reveals them. The meteoric rise in passive investing is one such 'strategy' sending an important and timely warning. Just remember, everyone is 'passive' until the selling begins.

Frontrunning: January 6

  • December Jobs Data to Wrap Up Obama’s Economic Legacy (WSJ)
  • FBI Says Democrats Refused Access to Hacked E-Mail Servers (BBG)
  • As Trump attacks, Nissan at bigger risk than Toyota (Reuters)
  • Democratic leader Schumer emerges as Trump's newest punching bag (Reuters)
  • PBoC raises renminbi’s daily fix by most since 2005 (FT)
  • China central bank urges rational investment in bitcoin (Reuters)

Frontrunning: January 4

  • Trump Tariff on GM Would Violate NAFTA. That May Not Stop Him (BBG)
  • Obama Tries to Save Parts of Health Law Amid GOP Attack (WSJ)
  • Trump Puts Auto Makers, Trade Policy in Spotlight (WSJ)
  • British consumers borrow at fastest rate in 11 years as inflation threat rises (Reuters)
  • Investment banking fees fall 7 percent in 2016 dragged down by equity raisings (Reuters)