Comptroller of the Currency

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As Fed Meeting Begins Futures Are Flat In Sleepy Session; Apple Earnings On Deck





With the Fed decision just one day away, followed the very next day by the increasingly more irrational BOJ, stocks had no desire to make significant moves and overnight's boring session was the result, as European stocks and U.S. index futures rose modestly but mostly hugged the flatline while Asian declined 0.2% for a third day as raw-material shares declined and Tokyo equities slumped before central bank meetings in the U.S. and Japan this week. China’s stocks rose the most in almost two weeks, up 0.6% but failed to rise above 3000 on the Shanghai Composite, in thin trading.

 
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The Fed Sends A Frightening Letter To JPMorgan, Corporate Media Yawns





Yesterday the Federal Reserve released a 19-page letter that it and the FDIC had issued to Jamie Dimon, the Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, on April 12 as a result of its failure to present a credible plan for winding itself down if the bank failed. The letter carried frightening passages and large blocks of redacted material in critical areas, instilling in any careful reader a sense of panic about the U.S. financial system. The Federal regulators didn’t say JPMorgan could pose a threat to its shareholders or Wall Street or the markets. It said the potential threat was to “the financial stability of the United States.”

 
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Dear Dallas Fed, Any Comment?





"In September, regulators from the OCC, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. met with dozens of energy bankers at Wells Fargo’s office in Houston...  Regulators pushed lenders to focus instead on a borrower’s ability to make enough money to repay the loan, according to the person familiar with the discussions."

 
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Another Bubble On The Verge Of Popping





Termites start low and work their way up. By the time you notice them, it’s often already too late to save the place. All you can do is rebuild, start over. This analogy may be useful in terms of understanding what’s going on in the car business...

 
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It Was True After All: The Government Is "Breathing Down The Neck Of Banks To Limit Their Energy Exposure"





As it turns out what we reported about the Dallas Fed was spot on after all: "The OCC is breathing down the neck of the large commercial banks to limit their energy exposure."

 
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What Energy Bankers Are Really Saying: "We Are Looking To Save Ourselves Now"





"Now, while your borrowing base might be upheld, there will be minimum liquidity requirements before capital can be accessed. It is hitting the OFS sector as well. As one banker put it, "we are looking to save ourselves now," with banks selling company debt for as low as $0.10 on the dollar on companies that only had a 50-75% borrow rates to start."

 
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Fed Reveals Which "Developments To Financial Stability" It Is Most Worried About





Broad equity indexes have declined significantly since July 2015, and forward price-to-earnings ratios have fallen to a level closer to their averages of the past three decades.
Leverage [among speculative-grade and unrated firms] firms has risen to historical highs, especially among those in the oil industry, a development that points to somewhat elevated risks of distress for some business borrowers.

 
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Subprime Auto Lending Soars As Fed Report Shows Spike In Loans To Underqualified Borrowers





In what amounts to evidence that the subprime auto problem is indeed growing, The New York Fed's Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit (out today) shows that lenders extended more than $110 billion in auto loans to borrowers with credit scores below 660 over the past six months alone. 

 
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Swap Spreads Just Hit A New Record Negative Low: Goldman's Explanation Why





Having detailed the "perverted nonsense" that is the collapsing and negative US swap spreads (here, here, here, and here) and noted money manager's concerns that the big question remains whether there is "something bigger brewing under the surface that so far hasn’t been pinpointed yet," it appears Goldman Sachs feels the need to 'explain' the anomaly in what appears an effort to calm fears about the broken money markets. Of course, we don’t have to figure out what the “market” is saying about a negative spread because it isn’t saying anything other than “something” is wrong and even Goldman admits this signals funding and balance sheet strains are worsening since August.

 
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