Congressional Budget Office

Three Things Are About To Derail Trump's Fiscal Plan, Goldman Warns

With every passing week Goldman has been turning increasingly more pessimistic on Trump's proposed fiscal and budget plans, and it all culminated in a report released over the weekend, in which Goldman's Alec Phillips explains that over the next few months fiscal reofrm watchers will be disappointed as "three factors will make this year’s budget plans even more difficult to put together."

Budget Showdown Looms As Conservatives Press For Entitlement Reform

"I’m not looking to pick a fight with the president of the United States, but if his goal is to put the country on a fiscally sound course, he’s going to have to address entitlement reform.  Anybody who is going to balance the budget on discretionary spending [cuts] is on a fool’s errand."

Frontrunning: January 25

  • Reignited 'Trump trades' help world stocks hit 19-month high (Reuters)
  • Trump moving forward with border wall, weighs refugee cuts (AP)
  • Trump's 'America First' lets China play world leader (Reuters)
  • High Tariffs on China, Mexico Wouldn’t Guarantee U.S. Jobs (WSJ)
  • Trump warns he's ready to 'send in the Feds' to Chicago (AP)

Why Obamacare's "20 Million" Number Is Fake

The next time a defender of Obamacare tries to take the moral high ground about the millions of people the law has helped, ask them to define what “help” looks like.

Two More Major Problems For Social Security & Medicare

The healthcare system has been broken to the point that physicians now have a greater incentive to fire their Medicare patients than to treat them. One Florida-based physician summed up the situation like this: “I have decided to opt-out of Medicare, acknowledging that I can no longer play a game that is rigged against me; one that I can never win because of constantly changing rules, and one where the stakes include fines and even potential jail time.”

Howard Marks: "So Much For The Experts"

"The opinions of experts concerning the future are accorded great weight . . . but they’re still just opinions. While I take a dim view of forecasts, and especially of opinions presented as facts, I do believe there are such things as facts.  Unfortunately, however, the concept of 'facts' is among the casualties of the increasingly partisan environment.  Recently we have seen both the elevation in status of 'non-facts', as well as the tearing down of 'real facts'."

Jeff Gundlach's Forecast For 2017

Investors will confront excessive debt, high P/E levels and political uncertainty as they enter the Trump presidential era. In response, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, U.S.-centric portfolios should diversify globally.

Why Trump's 4% GDP Will Remain Elusive

For the umpteenth year in a row, mainstream economists and analysts are once again planting the seeds of hope for a return to stronger GDP growth. The White House has hoped for it for the last 8 years, and now President-elect Trump is all but promising a surge in economic growth. Unfortunately, while promises are great, we must analyze the reality of attaining such a lofty resurgence.