Consumer Prices

World Economy Wobbles As Deep-State-Shill Distracts

...but if China can’t sell its products, it can’t afford to buy resources... resource prices plunge... and consumer prices follow, aggravating weak demand with lower prices, falling money velocity... gloom, doom... recession, depression... and worldwide deflation. Then, as the world’s attention is fixed on the sordid business of the U.S. election, with its contest between reality-TV Big Shot Donald Trump vs. Deep State Shill Hillary Clinton, the world economy wobbles.

Why They Keep Trade Deals Secret

Thousands of people recently demonstrated in Brussels against free trade deals negotiated by the EU. This happened just days before a meeting of EU trade ministers in Bratislava last month, which was considered the last push to salvage the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the EU and the United States. Not only is Europe divided on the deal, but the talks have been extremely secretive.

Global Stocks Rebound As Fed Fears Ease, Dollar Falls From 7 Month High

If yesterday's session was marked by concerns about Fed tightening and rising long-end rates, today concerns about a hawkish Fed have subsided, with European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all rising amid speculation Federal Reserve policy will remain accommodative after yesterday's dovish comments by Fed vice-Chair Stan Fischer, as well as weak economic data helped push the US Dollar off its 7 month highs.

Key Events In The Coming Week

The key economic releases this week include industrial production on Monday, CPI on Tuesday, and housing starts on Wednesday. There are several scheduled speeches from Fed officials this week. The Beige Book for the November FOMC period will be released on Wednesday.

RBI Unexpectedly Cuts Its Benchmark Rate By 25bps To 6.25%: 102nd Central Bank Cut Of 2016

The Reserve Bank of India unexpectedly cut interest rates Tuesday, lowering its benchmark repurchase rate by 25bps from 6.50% to 6.25% the lowest in more than 5 years, with all 11 economists polled by the WSJ predicting rates would remain unchanged. The central bank cited a marked slowdown in global growth and a benign inflation outlook, in the first decision made by the recently-appointed committee headed by the new governor, Urjit Patel.

Like Everything Else, History Repeats (Almost Exactly) Because Power Truly Corrupts

The FOMC has no idea what it is doing, just like Bank of Japan officials about a decade before them. Rather than learn from all the experimentation, the power and prestige still, somehow, afforded to all of them is just too much to give up. They would clearly rather keep themselves on top of the political power structure as it relates to the economy than to admit what is increasingly obvious (a second time).

"Disappointing And Underwhelming" - An Unhappy Wall Street Reacts To The BOJ's Latest Announcement

Just after midnight east coast time, the BOJ presented its new and improved monetary policy dubbed “QQE with Yield Curve Control,” in which the central bank said it would buy JGBs such that 10-year yield remain at the current level of around zero percent. The BOJ will also buy JGBs at designated yields, and generally steepen the curve even as it failed to lower rates or add more QE. Wall Street took one look at what the BOJ came up with... and hated it immediately.

BOJ Needs To Go All The Way

The BOJ does have a track record of surprising markets. If it doesn’t want to see USD/JPY collapse, exacerbating the nation’s economic struggles, then it needs to ensure the shock is a dovish one this time. Which maybe what the banks are negatively expecting...Even as Goldman warns "don't expect much if anything, at all."

Fun With Fake Statistics: The 5% "Increase" In Median Household Income Is Pure Illusion

The truth is the rich are getting richer and everyone else is losing ground as inflation chews through stagnant incomes and rising debt loads stripmine disposable income. Bought and paid for cheerleaders for our failed, corrupt status quo will always hype bogus, purposefully misleading statistics - but don't mistake fakery for fact.

Global Market Rout Abates As Bond Selloff Pauses, Oil Rebounds

After a sudden rout in financial markets that wiped $2 trillion in global market cap over the past week showed signs of easing, overnight stocks tried to stage another "BTFD-type" comeback with European stocks climbing for the first time in five days as oil and metals prices gained. S&P futures were modestly in green, although they faded earlier gains, on the back of a slide in the USDJPY which initially spiked to 103.31 only to fade back to the mid 102-range.