Consumer Prices

Venezuela Stops Publishing Money Supply Data For Obvious Reasons

More than a year after hyperinflating banana republic Venezuela stopped reporting official inflation data, Venezuela has stopped publishing money supply data, depriving the general public of the last, and best, available tool to ascertain soaring inflation in what has become the world's worst-performing economy.

Frontrunning: March 21

  • Gorsuch Strives to Present Himself as Above Political Fray (WSJ)
  • Investigation Could Hurt Trump’s Clout in Congress (WSJ)
  • U.S. to Ban Laptops and Tablets in Cabins of Some Mideast Flights (BBG)
  • Tillerson no-show at NATO renews European disquiet about Trump (Reuters)
  • Don’t Blame Your Social Media Feed for the Growing Political Divide (BBG)
  • High-Frequency Traders Fall on Hard Times (WSJ)

Paul Brodsky: "Stagflation On The Horizon"

Logic and current trends suggest that declining output growth accompanied by higher prices will begin hitting economies and facing policy makers in the coming years. Markets should begin sniffing out this stagflationary macroeconomic setup this year.

China Producer Prices Surge At Fastest Pace In 9 Years

While China consumer prices rose just 0.8% YoY (less than expected), producer prices continue to soar, pressuring margins and threatening any hope for further credit impulses from PBOC. February PPI rose a staggering 7.8% year-over-year - the most since September 2008.

China Cuts Economic Growth Forecast In Annual Report: Here Are The Key Changes

As part of the previously previewed "Two Sessions" which started on Sunday, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on Sunday delivered the annual report on the work of the government in Beijing, summarizing the country’s achievements in the past year, and setting goals for this year. Here are the key targets: GDP 6.5% (down from 6.5-7%), M2 Money Supply growth 12% (down from 13%), CPI of 2-3%, Fixed Investment growth of 9%, down from 10.5%.

All Eyes On Yellen After US Futures, Euro Stocks Rebound On Latest French Polls

World stocks pulled back from all time highs, and European bourses initially followed U.S. futures and Asian shares lower, however both European risk sentiment as well as E-Minis rebounded after an Odoxa poll showed Macron overtaking Le Pen in the 1st round for the first time, and that the addition of Juppe instead of Fillon may see a 2nd round run-off between Macron vs Juppe, leading to a slump in Bund futures to session lows, and a bounce in European stocks.

The Art And Pseudoscience Of Monetary Policy

Central planning via Fed monetary policy circa 2017 is an exercise in nonsense, plain and simple. But that’s not all, in addition to the fatal conceit of it all, there’s another fatal flaw.

Consumer Prices Surge At Fastest Pace In 5 Years As Real Wages Tumble

Stagflationary disaster looms. As prognosticators ohh and aah over the soaring consumer price index (up 2.5% YoY - the most since March 2012), driven by a 14.2% YoY spike in gasoline prices, it appears they missed the fact that real average weekly earnings  plunged by 0.6% YoY - the biggest wage collapse since November 2011.