Core CPI

Dow Futures Over 23,000: Dollar, Global Stocks Jump As China Congress Begins

World stocks stayed near peaks and currencies moved in tight ranges on Wednesday as China’s 19th Communist Party Congress opened while focus in Europe turned to speeches from top euro zone central bankers before next week’s key policy meeting, as well as Catalonia's ultimatum due on Thursday.

Investors Are Ignoring The Evidence At Their Peril

"Exuberance and confidence are at the highest levels on record, but the underlying stories are beginning to weave a tale of an economy that is very late in the current cycle... Importantly, these are not short-term stories either. The long-term picture for the economy and the markets from the three biggest factors (Debt, Deflation, and Demographics) continues to build."

Global Stocks Rise Oblivious Of Growing Geopol Risks; Oil, Commodities Jump On Kurdish Clashes

World stocks and commodities rose on Monday, boosted by upbeat Chinese data, while U.S. oil futures jumped to a near six-month high as escalating tensions between the Iraqi government and Kurdish forces threatened supply.  Global markets digested the large amount of weekend newsflow, and clearly liked what they saw as S&P futures were modestly in the green, as both European and Asian stocks are higher.

Key Events In The Coming Week: CPI, Retail Sales And FOMC Minutes

The key economic releases this week are the CPI and retail sales reports on Friday. Additionally, the minutes from the September FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday. There are several speaking engagements by Fed officials this week, including a speech by Chair Yellen on Sunday.

FX Week Ahead: Discretion And Common Sense Not Easy For "The Machines"

Core CPI is expected to rise from 1.7% to 1.8% as oil prices are expected to help lift the headline rate through 2.0%, but for the purposes of monetary policy current levels are strong enough to keep the Fed on their normalisation path.  Equity markets need a reality check, and it won't come from the level of balance sheet reduction now under way.

FX Week Ahead: Market In Need Of Brain-Changer, Not Game-Changer

After the FOMC meeting last week, it was (yet) again apparent that the Fed are still keen to maintain a normalisation path designed to not only get rates back to neutral levels, but also build up the policy tool kit again as well as staving off excessive leverage which has boosted stock markets to record highs. 

Deutsche Bank: "This Is The $2.5 Trillion Question"

"The Fed is about to become hugely important for financial assets. If all goes well, nominal core rates will be relatively stable and the dollar gently weaker. There is a good chance it does not go well, however."