China has taken "measures" to prevent market selloffs this week, Bloomberg reports, as President Xi Jinping’s appearance at the World Economic Forum in Davos puts Asia’s largest economy in the global spotlight, and its immediate reaction has been to manipulate its stock market.
In two separate, and quite striking interviews with Germany's Bild (paywall) and London's Sunday Times (paywall), Donald Trump did what he failed to do in his first US press conference, and covered an extensive amount of policy and strategy, much of which however will likely please neither the pundits, nor the markets.
"This is another firm that, while I wouldn’t say they were fine a week ago, they didn’t look like they were headed to collapse, and a week later they’re dead. It was messier than optimal. Is it systemic or not? Fingers crossed, we hope not."
We expect global monetary authorities to protect the dollar as long as they can and we expect them to fail. Stocks and bonds will react violently; stocks and weak credits falling, treasuries prices rising (at first). That failure will lead to hyperinflation – not driven by demand, but rather by central bank money printing. A new global monetary understanding will then emerge.
The fate of a defaulted $45 million Chinese corporate bond sold through an Alibaba-backed online WMP and belonging to the telecom company of one of China's biggest billionaires, was thrown into doubt on Monday, after a bank said letters of guarantee for the bonds were counterfeit, suggesting an entirely new "finance scare" is emerging in China.
In short, we’ve wasted just about ten years calling a depression a recovery, and all because money is so unstable that it has become, for the mainstream as well as mainstream authorities, unrecognizable. If you don’t know what money is, you aren’t going to know when money is a problem.
As expected, in addition to raising the Fed Funds rate by 25 bps, the Fed similarly noted that it would revise the mechanics behind its reverse repo operations, raising the rate it charges on reverse repos by 25 bps to 0.5%, the actual means by which the Fed will hike rates for most market participants. Here is the statement that the Fed released regarding the change in overnight reverse repos.
Deutsche Bank has advised its sales and trading team to immediately report to their trading desks should Trump wins Pennsylvania and Michigan. So if Trump be is reported to be leading and/or winning the two key battleground states at 8pm, expect all volatility hell to break loose.