Credit Default Swaps

Turkey Lashes Out At Moody's After Downgrade To "Junk" Sends Turkish Assets Plunging

Turkish assets plummeted the most since an attempted coup in July and credit risk climbed after Moody’s Investors Service cut the country’s sovereign rating to junk. The immediate response by the Turkish administration was to lash out at Moody's calling the decision "politically-motivated", after a similar downgrade by S&P led Erdogan to acuse the agency of siding with coup plotters.

Frontrunning: September 22

  • Stocks Advance in Unison With Bonds as Fed Inspires Global Rally (BBG)
  • Soothing Fed gives stocks their mojo (Reuters)
  • Yellen helps Clinton dodge a bullet (Politico)
  • State of emergency called to quell Charlotte unrest over police shooting of black man (Reuters)
  • Hillary Clinton Leads Donald Trump by Six Points in Latest WSJ/NBC Poll (WSJ)

Why Oil Prices Might Never Recover

Two years into the global oil-price collapse, it seems unlikely that prices will return to sustained levels above $70 per barrel any time soon or perhaps, ever. That is because the global economy is exhausted. The current oil-price rally is over and prices are heading toward $40 per barrel. Oil has been re-valued to affordable levels based on the real value of money. The market now accepts the erroneous producer claims of profitability below the cost of production and has adjusted expectations accordingly. Be careful of what you ask for.