• Tim Knight from...
    02/06/2016 - 00:25
    What we must remember is this: we are in a bear market, and the risk of a countertrend rally is present, but confined. The opportunity on the downside movement dwarfs the risk of a push higher, as...
  • Phoenix Capital...
    02/06/2016 - 10:15
    2008 was caused by derivatives based on consumer-focused assets (houses). The next crisis will be driven by derivatives on government-focused assets (bonds).

Credit Line

Tyler Durden's picture

John Paulson Puts Up Personal Holdings To Secure Credit Line As AUM Plunges





Back in August we noted that John Paulson managed to get himself and his investors involved in two rather dubious "firsts" in 2015: Puerto Rico became the first US commonwealth in history to default, and Greece became the first developed country to default to the IMF. Paulson had invested in Puerto Rican and Greek assets. Now, amid a client exodus, the billionaire is putting up his own holdings to secure a longstanding line of credit with HSBC.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bad Loans Pile Up In Alberta, As Oil Bust Weighs On State Lender





Just in case you needed another reason to fear for the worst in Alberta, Moody’s and DBRS are becoming increasingly concerned about crown corporation ATB Financial. “Alberta's debt situation was under the microscope last week, with [the] two rating agencies taking a look at the province's fiscal situation and economy and not liking what they saw,” CBC reports.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

S&P Enters The Latest European Scandal: Downgrades Poland From A- To BBB+





As so often happens, whenever there is a political spat in Europe, the rating agencies are quickly involved (thing S&P and Moody's downgrades and upgrades of Greece depending on how well the vassal nation is "behaving"), and moments ago S&P downgraded Poland from A- to BBB+ outlook negative, precisely due to Poland's new media law which has been the topic of so much consternation over the past week. In other words, S&P is now nothing more than a lackey for Brussels, threatening to send Polish yields higher if Poland does not fall in line.

 
Gold Standard Institute's picture

What Is Money Printing?





There is a populist idea of money printing. The idea is that banks can just print what they want, enriching themselves... does it really work this way?

 
Gold Standard Institute's picture

A Free Market in Interest Rates





Many people wonder why couldn’t we let the market set the interest rate. After all, we don’t have a Corn Control Agency or a Lumber Board. So why do we have a Federal Open Market Committee? It’s a very good question.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Chesapeake Bonds Plummet To 27 Cents Of Par After Company Hires Restructuring Advisor





Chesapeake has hired restructuring advisor Evercore "to shore up its balance sheet as commodity prices extend their decline." This means that Evercore will seek to further slash its debt, almost certainly be equitizing a substantial portion of it, and handing it over as equity in the new company to CHK's bondholders. As a result the company's 2023 bonds, which were trading at par as recently as late May, just rumbled to a record low 27 cents on the dollar.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

It's Firesale Time For Brazil's Fake Goldman; The Real Goldman Answers 6 Key Questions





“They need to show they’re selling quickly to calm markets and stop the free fall of their shares. For that to happen they need to accept the price buyers want to pay.”

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"People Are Afraid": Market Panics As Brazil's "Goldman Sachs" Scrambles To Raise Cash, Junk'd By Fitch





"People are afraid. They don’t like to see the headlines and that is why they are withdrawing their money. It shows the panic that is going on from the investors’ perspective.”

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: December 4





  • The Jobs Report Probably Won't Change the Fed's Mind on Liftoff (BBG)
  • U.S. authorities look for militant links to shooters in California mass slaying (Reuters)
  • Neighbors, Acquaintances Shocked That Couple Are San Bernardino Shooting Suspects (WSJ)
  • ECB Fumbles the Stimulus-Baton Hand-off, Mussing Up Fed’s Plans (WSJ)
  • OPEC Heads for Status Quo as Members Clash Over Crude Output Cut (BBG)
  • Foreigners drawn in as fear and loathing grip China's finance industry (Reuters)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Tying The Valeant Roll-Up Together: Presenting The Goldman "Missing Link"





While the Valeant soap opera has had constant, heart-pounding drama for weeks and following yesterday's report that it allegedly fabricated prescriptions, even an element of career-ending (and prison-time launching) criminality, so far one thing had been missing: an antagonist tied to Goldman Sachs. We are delighted to reveal the "missing link", one which ties everything together. Its name is Howard Schiller.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"I Would Say Don't Worry" Says Chinese Central Banker As Indian Central Banker Says "World Economy Is Looking Grim"





"I would say, don't worry" said Yi Gang, deputy governor of the People's Bank of China, after the International Monetary Fund warned of risks in China's economic challenges.

"The world economy is looking grim" - said Raghuram Rajan, Indian central bank governor and former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

There Is No Exit: Why China's Plunge Protection Is Here To Stay





Update: CHINA TO CONTINUE STABILIZING MARKET, SENTIMENT, PREVENT RISKS, CSRC SAYS

As Beijing pledges to remain supportive amid a harrowing decline in Chinese stocks, China may find itself with no exit strategy for its plunge protection program. As BofAML notes, "An 'indefinite' holding period is certainly possible – it’s how the government had dealt with the last round of bad debts in the banking system, i.e., by shifting them to bad banks and never crystalizing the losses. But even under such a scenario, there may be unintended consequences."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Far Worse Than 1986": The Oil Downturn Has No Parallel In Recorded History, Morgan Stanley Says





The forward curve currently points towards a recovery in prices that is far worse than in 1986. As there was no sharp downturn in the ~15 years before that, the current downturn could be the worst of the last 45+ years. If this were to be the case, there would be nothing in our experience that would be a guide to the next phases of this cycle, especially over the relatively near term. In fact, there may be nothing in analysable history.

 
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