Peak Debt Complacency: Carmen "Different This Time" Reinhart Urges Debt Restructuring

[The establishment] needs no reminder of the historical record, but it bears noting that more than a dozen advanced economies received debt relief in one form or another during the depression of the 1930s. The approach to unwinding current debts is likely to vary considerably across countries, but it is time to place greater emphasis on debt restructuring (which comes with a menu of options) than on accumulating more debt.

Frontrunning: September 28

  • Stocks Rally as Deutsche Bank Slump Ends, Oil Gains Before Talks (BBG)
  • German government prepare Deutsche Bank rescue plan (Reuters)
  • German financial watchdog not working on emergency plan for Deutsche Bank (Reuters)
  • Saudi Arabia Signals Openness to Future Oil Compromise With Iran (BBG)
  • Will Congressional Face-off Over Flint Lead to a Government Shutdown? (NBC)
  • Shimon Peres, Israel's last founding father, dies at 93 (Reuters)

Futures Fail To Rebound As Deutsche Bank Tries To Comfort Markets That It Is "Fine"

After yesterday's "Hillary rally" in the US, the overnight's session has seen more risk-on sentiment as European stocks advanced, ignoring weakness in Asia as investors followed every twist of shares of beleaguered lender Deutsche Bank, whose CEO last night assured Bill readers that the bank is not seeking a bailout, which however was contradicted by a Zeit article this morning reporting that Germany may seek as much as s 25% "bailout" stake in a worst case scenario.

Why The EU Is Doomed

We are accustomed to looking at Europe’s woes in a purely financial context. This is a mistake, because it misses the real reasons why the EU will fail and not survive the next financial crisis. We normally survive financial crises, thanks to the successful actions of central banks as lenders of last resort. However, the origins and construction of both the the euro and the EU itself could ensure the next financial crisis commences in the coming months, and will exceed the capabilities of the ECB to save the system.

Track All Of Bankrupt Hanjin's "Ghost Ships" In Real Time

Readers who wish to track the fate of Hanjin's "ghost ships" in real time - as it looks likely that many of them will remain stuck in legal and financial limbo for a long time - can do so courtesy of the following Platt's interactive map.

Recovery Rates In E&P Bankruptcies Hit "Catastrophic" Levels: Moody's

Moody's has caught up to what readers of Zero Hedge knew half a year ago. According to the rating agency, creditors of energy exploration and production companies that went bankrupt last year recouped less than half the usual amount for their claims, and 2016 is shaping up just as bad. Moody's even went so far as to even use the "C" word: "Recovery rates for 15 U.S. E&P bankruptcies averaged a “catastrophic” 21 percent last year, well below the historical average of 59 percent."