Creditors

Frontrunning: November 15

  • Biggest Global Bond Rout Since 2003 Pauses (BBG)
  • Oil prices jump 3 percent on hopes of OPEC output cut (Reuters)
  • Italy polls get worse for Renzi as referendum nears (Reuters)
  • Trump will get wake-up call when he takes office, Obama says (Reuters)
  • With Priebus, Ryan’s Speakership Has Direct Channel to Trump (BBG)
  • Supreme Court now in Trump’s hands (The Hill)

Extortion Is Now A Cornerstone Of The US Justice System

Success used to be admired. Now it’s viewed with suspicion and derision. After all, in the words of the President of the United States, "you didn’t build that..." Success also puts a target on your back – lawsuits, taxes, etc. The more successful you become, the more the system tries to take it away from you. These are entirely the wrong incentives if you want a prosperous society.

Zombie Drillers: A Halloween Horror Story For Oil Markets

The reality is that these zombie companies are a true nightmare for the oil markets. Being “dead” already, they have nothing to lose and so there only goal is to keep producing as much as possible as fast as possible.

Hugh Hendry Interviewed On His "Eureka Moment" Trade Of The Day, QE, China, The Dollar And Much More

In a recent interview with Macro Voices, Hugh Hendry is asked about the trade he has on in his fund, to which the Scotsman says that his team recently had a “eureka moment” and figured out how to design a trade, which has a negative carry when viewed in simple terms, such that they preserve the asymmetric of risk/reward while converting it to a positive-carry trade by adding another “European sovereign component to the trade”.

Moody's Warns Deutsche Bank Is Dangerously Close To Falling Below Its "Default Point"

Moody’s Capital Markets Research issued a damning verdict on Deutsche Bank earlier this week. In a research report put together by the credit agency’s ‘Analytics’ research division, Moody’s analysts write that Deutsche Bank expected default frequency remains at one of the highest levels in the banking industry, despite the bank’s efforts to shore up its capital position.

Venezuela Escapes Bankruptcy… But Oil Production Continues To Plunge

Venezuela just dodged a bullet, pulling off a last minute bond swap with creditors. The deal only buys Venezuela a little bit of breathing room, and a default at some point next year or the year after is not out of the question. Either way, the South American OPEC nation’s oil production is falling and will only continue on a downward trajectory.

Frontrunning: October 18

  • Commodity stocks lift global shares, inflation in focus (Reuters)
  • FBI Papers Show State Department Fought Clinton Email Classification (WSJ)
  • Russia Declares Pause in Aleppo Bombing so Rebels, Civilians Can Flee (NBC)
  • Syria rebels reject Aleppo withdrawal after Russian statement (Reuters)
  • UK lawmakers will 'very likely' have to ratify final Brexit deal: government lawyer (Reuters)

Frontrunning: October 17

  • Bonds Selloff Spreads on Inflation Concern; Stocks Fall With Oil (BBG)
  • Trump charges U.S. election results being rigged 'at many polling places'  (Reuters)
  • CNN’s Stelter Blames Firebombing of NC Republican Office on Trump's 'Over Heated' Rhetoric (Newsbusters)
  • Britain, France seek EU condemnation of Russia over Syria (Reuters)
  • Inside the Secret Society of Wall Street's Top In-House Lawyers (BBG)

Global Stocks Tumble To Three Month Lows As China Fears Return

Remember when two weeks ago the China Beige Book warned that "It’s A Lot More Negative Than People Think" in the world's second biggest economy? Well after months of complacency about the Chinese economy and financial risks emanating from its $35 trillion financial sector, overnight the world got a rude awakening when China export figures tumbled, signalling a deeper slowdown than many anticipated just as the Fed prepares to raise interest rates.

Frontrunning: October 11

  • Samsung scraps Note 7 (Reuters)
  • Note 7 fiasco could burn a $17 billion hole in Samsung accounts (Reuters)
  • Trump's struggles may depress Democratic voter turnout (Reuters)
  • Major Investor Sues Theranos  (WSJ)
  • S. Africa’s Gordhan to Be Charged; Rand Plunges Most Since June (BBG)
  • Oil price falls back from one-year highs, hit by OPEC deal concerns (Reuters)