Creditors

With The Greek Crisis Back, There Are Five Possible Scenarios From Here

Greek yields have surged in the past week as the country didn’t secure a positive review at the Eurogroup on 26 January. Additional noise came from indications that the IMF still views the Greek debt as unsustainable without further measures from the Greek government. In short, the crisis is back. There are five possible scenarios from here.

A Time For Caution

"We have argued the current monetary regime is in its evanescence, and that the Fed is trying to raise rates to attract global wealth to dollars and dollar-denominated assets as global leverage, demand and output growth declines. If we are right, then we should not expect other economies to sit by idly... which keep us cautious on equities, bullish on Treasuries and gold, and negative on credit:"

Futures Fall On Rising Trump Uncertainty; Europe Stocks Rise As Euro-Area Inflation Surges

European bonds fell and stocks rose led by banks and retailers as surging inflation data prompted investors to switch into reflationary assets even as speculation about ECB tapering has returned. Asian stocks and US equity futures declined. The Yen and gold advanced after Trump’s firing of the U.S. acting attorney general added to concern over the unpredictability of decisions in the new administration.

Another Greek WTF Showdown Moment Explained

The IMF has once again threatened to pull out of the Troika following a warning that Eurogroup loan measures are not enough for Greek debt. This is one of those WTF moments where statements from Greece, from the IMF, and also the Eurozone make no apparent sense.

GoldCore's picture

the common currency and the Eurozone itself will not survive the financial and political turmoil already besetting the European monetary union and set to deepen in the coming months and years.

Global Stocks, Futures Slide On US Protectionism Worries Following Trump Travel Chaos

European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all drop after traders were left with a sour taste from the potential fallout of Donald Trump’s order halting some immigration and ahead of central bank decisions from the U.S. and Japan.  Markets in Hong Kong, China, Malaysia, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan and Vietnam are all shut due to the Lunar New Year public holiday.

Frontrunning: January 17

  • Theresa May pledges clean Brexit break (FT); May Pledges Vote on Brexit Taking U.K Out Of EU’s Single Market (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Warns on House Republican Tax Plan (WSJ)
  • Trump, Fed Headed for Clash Amid Dollar Surge, Economists Say (BBG)
  • China’s Xi Warns Against Trade War in Defense of Globalization (BBG)
  • Morgan Stanley Profit Rises on Surge in Bond-Trading Revenue (BBG)
  • Germany says NATO concerned about Trump 'obsolete' remark (Reuters)

Frontrunning: January 10

  • Immigration in focus as U.S. Senate confronts Trump nominees (Reuters)
  • Jeff Sessions to Be Grilled on Race in First of Hearings (WSJ)
  • Libya Ramps Up Oil Production, Threatening OPEC Plans (WSJ)
  • Valeant to sell assets for $2.12 billion to ease debt load (Reuters)
  • Industry Lobbyists Champ at the Bit, Awaiting Business-Friendly Policies (WSJ)
  • Yahoo to be named Altaba, Mayer to leave board after Verizon deal (Reuters)