• Phoenix Capital...
    07/03/2015 - 20:26
    Greece just took a hit… and once again it’s depositors that will take it on the chin. But this process is only just begun. Similar Crises will be spreading throughout the globe in ...

Creditors

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 11





  • Obama Holds Fire on Syria, Waits on Russia Plan (WSJ)
  • China Shadow Banking Returns as Growth Rebound Adds Risk (Reuters)
  • Not one but two: Greece May Need Two More Aid Packages Says ECB’s Coene (WSJ)
  • BoJ insider warns of need for wage rises (FT) ... as we have been warning since November, and as has not been happening
  • California city backs plan to seize negative equity mortgages (Reuters)
  • Home Depot Is Accused of Shaking Down Suspected Shoplifters (BBG)
  • Most-Connected Man at Deutsche Bank Favors Lightest Touch (BBG)
  • Norway Pledges to Limit Oil Spending (BBG)
  • China Shadow Banking Returns as Growth Rebound Adds Risk (BBG)
  • Gundlach Says Fed Is Mistaken in How It's Ending Easing (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 10





  • Obama Shrinking Second-Term Hastened by Syria Opposition (BBG)
  • Obama says Russian proposal on Syria a potential 'breakthrough' (Reuters)
  • Poll Finds Support Fading for Syria Attack (WSJ)
  • France to Introduce Resolution Aimed at Dismantling Syria's Chemical Arsenal (WSJ)
  • Apple to Unveil IPhones Seeking End to Year of Struggles (BBG)
  • Verizon Plans Largest Debt Sale Ever: Proceeds From Deal, Expected to Raise $20 Billion, Would Fund Venture Buyout (WSJ)
  • Shipping Rates Seen at 2010 High on Record Ore to China (BBG)
  • Ads coming to Twitter: Twitter makes its largest acquisition, a mobile ad company (FT)
  • Houses on fire as fighting erupts in southern Philippines (Reuters)
  • Banks Seen at Risk Five Years After Lehman Collapse (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Is The New York Fed Blaming "Beers" For The Tulip-Mania Bubble?





In yet another in our series of taxpayer-funded Federal Reserve research that has achieved so much over the years, the New York Fed blog has released its perspectives on the Tulip-mania bubble of 1633-37. Hot on the heels of SF Fed's Williams comments that bubbles can only be seen in rear view mirror and then of course - and that there's always an exogenous factor to blame' - in the case of tulips, the New York Fed cites "beers" as the catalyst since 'shares' were exchanged in pubs... Ironically then, it seems even 380 years ago, the only thing that mattered was liquidity.

 
Reggie Middleton's picture

Exactly As I Warned, "Cyprusization" Goes Mainstream! Ireland On Tap, Next Up For Citizen Fund Confiscation (Again)





This is at least the 3rd country to take citizen and private corporation's money in order to make themselves whole after profligate spending. How many times must I warn before the message is taken seriously? Interest rates should be spike through the stratosphere, Bernanke or not!!!

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: September 6





  • Summers Faces Key 'No' Votes if Picked for Fed (WSJ)
  • NYT Editorial Board Says Summers Would Be Wrong Fed Choice (NYT)
  • Russia says it's compiled 100-page report blaming Syrian rebels for a chemical weapons attack (McClatchy)
  • China says Syria crisis can't be resolved with military strike (Reuters)
  • G-20 Faces Growth Threats as Syria Adds to QE Exit Risks (Bloomberg)
  • Apple Supplier Fire Spurs Biggest Chip Price Rise in 3 Years (BBG)
  • U.S. Decided Not to Horse-Trade With Russia on Assad (WSJ)
  • Financial Crisis: For Corporations and Investors, Debt Makes a Comeback (WSJ)
  • Gorman Says Chance of Another Financial Crisis ‘Close to Zero’ (BBG) and in other news, "no risk of a Us downgrade" -  Tim Geithner
  • A Biotech King, Dethroned (NYT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why Emerging Market FX Has Further To Fall





The current external environment and consequence of past policies are limiting options for EM nations (most specifically Indonesia and India). Citi believes the best they can do now is to smooth the (inevitable) macro adjustment (weaker FX, higher risk premiums, slower growth) through improved policy credibility (to curb volatility and overshooting) and find offsets to portfolio flows to ease the pressure. The 4 choices of various rocks and hard places do not hold much hope for anything but further FX devaluation. As Citi's Matt King points out, what goes up (in terms of Emerging Market central bank FX reserves) risks coming back down with a thud... and in case you were wondering why India, Turkey, and Indonesia were the most-hammered...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Hugh Hendry Latest Thoughts, Portfolio And Holdings Update





2013 has not been kind to Hugh Hendry, whose Eclectica Absolute Macro fund has posted an unchanged performance year to date, broadly underperforming (alongside the bulk of the hedge fund community) the market. Below are his most recent macro thoughts, his holdings (few changes most notable of which is the closure of the Yen short), and his take on how Bernanke "infamously marched his troops to the top of the hill only to march them down again, one moment promising tapering, the next, unlimited accommodation."

 
Pivotfarm's picture

US Bankrupt!





After the banks, after the city of Detroit it will be the USA that will be going bankrupt and filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. If only that were possible! But unfortunately it won’t be.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Guest Post: Get Ready For The Death Of The Petrodollar





Even after seven years of writing macroeconomic analysis and bearing witness to astonishing displays of financial and political stupidity by more “skeptics” than we can count, it never ceases to amaze us the amount of blind faith average Americans place in the strength of the U.S. dollar. One could explain in vast categorical detail the history of fiat currencies, the inevitable destruction caused by inflationary printing and the conundrum caused when any country decides to monetize its own debt just to stay afloat - often, to no avail. The dollar is no more invincible than any other fiat currency in history. In some ways, it is actually far weaker than any that came before. The dollar is entirely reliant on its own world reserve status in order to hold its value on the global market.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Schaeuble Admits Greece Will Need Another Bailout





In the biggest non-news of the day, Germany's Finance Minister Wolfy Schaeuble finally admitted, officially for the first time, what everyone knows: Greece will need a third bailout. His exact words, as cited by Reuters, "There will have to be another programme in Greece," Wolfgang Schaeuble told a campaign audience in northern Germany, in comments that raised prospect of a step that could be deeply unpopular domestically just five weeks before national elections.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 19





  • Egypt, U.S. on Collision Course (WSJ), Gunmen kill 24 Egyptian police in Sinai ambush (Reuters)
  • India’s efforts fail to prevent new rupee low (FT)
  • More bad news for AAPL: Steve Jobs Biopic Crashes on Opening Weekend (WSJ)
  • "Sustainable" - U.S. Stocks Beat BRICs by Most Ever Amid Market Flight (BBG)
  • Merkel cancels election rally after hostage taking (Reuters)
  • Some day, Abenomics might work... Not today though: Japan Exports Rise Most Since ’10 as Deficit Swells (BBG)
  • China July Home Prices Rise as Nation Seeks Long-Term Policy (BBG)
  • Spanish Bank’s Bad Loan Ratio Rises to Record in June (Reuters)
  • Recovery... for some - Ferrari NART Spyder Sets $27.5 Million Auction Record (BBG)
  • Bund yields hit 17-month high, rupee slumps (Reuters)
  • Regulatory Headaches Worsen for J.P. Morgan (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 16





  • Critics Decry Risks Posed by Link Between China's Banks and Bonds (WSJ)
  • U.S. retailers say uneven recovery keeps consumers cautious (Reuters) - er, what recovery?
  • Easy Credit Dries Up, Choking Growth in China (NYT)
  • Fed's Bullard Floats Idea of Small Cuts to Bond Buying (WSJ)
  • EU wants one definition of bad loans for bank tests (Reuters) - because in Europe they can't even agree what an NPL is...
  • Nagasaki Bomb Maker Offers Lessons for Fukushima Cleanup (BBG)
  • With Gmail Overhaul, Not All Mail Is Equal (WSJ)
  • Snowden downloaded NSA secrets while working for Dell, sources say (Reuters)
  • Apollo co-founder buys into New Jersey Devils (FT)
  • Republicans to vote on debate boycott because of Clinton programs (Reuters)
  • J.C. Penney Heads for Ninth Quarter of Plunging Sales (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Fidelity Asks How Long Can Draghi's Bond-Buying Bluff Hold?





Draghi is a clever man in charge of a pretend central bank (for it’s only equipped to fight inflation, not a banking-turned-sovereign-debt-and-unemployment crisis). He must guess that bond investors will soon figure out that a stateless central bank defending a stateless currency is so hamstrung politically that it carries far less firepower than, say, the Federal Reserve has over the US economy and US dollar. If his outright-monetary-transactions bluff collapses, he may well have other tricks ready to suppress yields on struggling sovereign debt and save the euro (without which there is no need for the ECB). If Draghi is out of surprises, he can be thanked for buying time for politicians to come up with durable solutions to the eurozone’s woes. Oh, that’s another flaw with Draghi’s scheme; it removed the pressure for politicians to act. So they haven’t.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China, Japan Sell Most US Paper In Years; Foreign Treasury Holdings At 2013 Lows





And the bid hits just keep on coming.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why Larry Summers' Ego Matters





'Larry Summers for Fed Chair' proponents are working hard to reverse his generally poor reputation and seem to have gained some ground. They’ve tempted even Fed skeptics with reports that Summers doesn’t believe much in quantitative easing. But his supporters are also making claims that don’t stand up to the facts. Call us old-fashioned, but we think we should be wary of power-hungry egotists whose personal philosophy is to obscure the truth.

 
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