Crude

"Complete Chaos" - Equity Market Schizophrenia Soars

Every dip this morning has been met with a panic bid for stocks back to unchanged with Dow futures now having swung around 500 points intraday for no gain... as VIX is monkey-hammered lower...

US Futures Fall, European Stocks Rise As Stronger Dollar Sends Oil Lower

European stocks rose and US S&P futures fell after the dollar strengthened following the latest hawkish comments from Fed vice-chair Stanley Fischer signalled that a 2016 rate hike is still being considered and again boosted speculation that US rates will rise this year. The rising dollar pressured commodities and notably oil, which dropped 2% breaking a 7 days stretch of increases; emerging markets retreated. 

OPEC Ignites Biggest Short Squeeze In History: Hedge Funds Cut Oil Shorts By Most On Record

The past week saw the biggest crude oil short squeeze on record as money managers cut bets on falling prices by the most ever.  Hedge funds trimmed their short position in WTI by 56,907 futures and options during the week ended Aug. 16, the most in data going back to 2006. As a result WTI soared nearly 10% in the past week, pushing it into a bull market just three weeks after it tumbled into a bear market.

The Answer To Whether The Oil Market Has Rebalanced

The oil market is not rebalancing as some have suggested, in fact it appears to be still oversupplied by a large measure when taking into account the year over year additions to Total Stocks. Plus when adding in the effects of floating storage, the additions to alternative products for refined product there seems a desperate effort by the oil industry to move the commodity around from Cushing to the Gulf Coast.

Oil Rally At Risk After Niger Delta Advisors Announce Ceasefire

Nigeria's militant Niger Delta Avengers announced overnight on their website, that the would cease “hostilities in the Niger Delta against all interest of the multinational oil corporations,” to support talks with govt to end conflicts adding that it promises "to fight more for the Niger Delta, if this opportunity fails."

Crude Shrugs As US Oil Rig Count Rises For 8th Straight Week

Crude prices had slipped back into the red ahead of Baker Hughes rig count data (after topping $48.50 Sept 16 overnight). For the 8th straight week (and 11 of last 12) the US oil rig count rose (up 10 to 406), tracking the lagged recovery of WTI Crude prices and up 28% from cycle lows.

Oil Prices Continue To Rise On Hollow Saudi Comments

This is just the latest confirmation that Saudi Arabia has taken center stage when it comes to oil. Nobody cares anymore about fundamentals, everyone listens to what Riyadh says. If Riyadh is bullish on oil, then oil prices rise, despite any production data that might contradict their words. If Riyadh decides for some reason to be bearish, the market follows. The extent of this dependency of traders on every word that comes out of Khalid al-Falih’s mouth (and other Saudi officials) becomes all the more evident in light of the latest production forecasts for Saudi Arabia.

Frontrunning: August 19

  • European shares, oil ease as markets return to Fed-watching (Reuters)
  • Brent crude slides, but on track for third week of gains (Reuters)
  • Rio 2016: Lochte’s Teammates, USOC Join With Police in Discrediting Robbery Story (WSJ)
  • OPEC Freeze Wouldn’t Be So Potent as Gulf Rivals Pump More (BBG)
  • Hackers targeted Trump campaign, Republican Party groups (Reuters)

Global Stocks Drop, US Futures Down As Dollar Rebound Halts Longest Oil Rally In Years

European, Asian stocks and S&P futures all fell in another quiet, low-volume early session. With oil entering a bull market yesterday, and set for its longest run of gains in 4 years after, overnight crude stumbled, and reversed early gains, falling for the first time in seven days driven by rebound in the dollar which gained versus all G-10 currencies with commodity currencies underperforming.

S&P Futures Unchanged As Europe Rises; Dollar Slide Sends Oil Above $47

In the latest quiet trading session, European shares rose while Asian stocks fell and S&P futures were little changed. Minutes of the Fed’s last meeting damped prospects for a U.S. interest-rate hike, sending the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index doen 0.3%, approaching a three-month low. Dollar weakness continues to buoy commodities, with the Bloomberg Commodity Index set for the most enduring rally in more than two months, as WTI flirted with $47

How The East Coast Is Getting Rid Of Its Gasoline Glut

With the East Coast at gasoline stroage capacity, and quietly transporting unwante excess gasoline to other parts of the country, it is no longer accepting inbound cargoes.  The products tanker Torm Gyda will be open for charter Aug. 21 at El Palito, Venezuela, after discharging a cargo that was diverted from N.Y. Harbor.