Crude

Oil Pops After Crude Inventories Unexpectedly Drop

In the week since the last API report, oil has ripped and dipped back to unchanged following an unexpected draw and Algiers disappointment, but prices jumped higher (tagging $45.00) as API noted a 752k draw (4th week in a row). This was dramatially below the 3mm build expected. Cushing, Gasoline, an Distillates all saw inventory draws (the latter's first draw in 7 weeks).

Crude Chaos Strikes: Saudis Admit "No Deal" But "Hopeful" For November

Having failed completely to consumate a freeze deal in Algiers, the Saudi oil minister throws out a bone of hope to crude bulls that November's OPEC meeting may see a freeze deal. Crude is testing its lows of the day but bouncing around like Hillary's eyes as the minister desperately tries to keep the dream alive.

Crude Crashes As Iran Says "No Deal" After Saudi Offer

And sure enough, as we noted yesterday, the Saudi "cut" offer that juiced crude yesterday was nothing but a strawman to enable them to pinpoint blame on Iran for the failure of talks. Unwilling to freeze its output - even based on the 'offer' of Saudi cuts - Iran's Bijan Zanganeh exclaimed "it’s not our agenda to reach agreement in these two days," blowing a hole in the hope train for crude's recovery.

Goldman Cuts Oil Price Target From $50 To $43 On Rising Global Surplus

While we await every new headline out of Algiers, overnight Goldman threw in the towel on its "transitory" oil market bullishness, and in a note by Damien Courvalin looking "Beyond Algiers, Weakening Oil Fundamentals", the bank cut its Q4 oil price target from $50 to $43, as the bank admits the previously anticipated rebalancing will take longer to achieve, and now expects "a global surplus of 400 kb/d in 4Q16 vs. a 300 kb/d draw previously."

"Hillary Rally" Fizzles As DB Hits New Record Low; Volkswagen Slammed; Oil Slides On Iran Statement

A rally in global risk that started during last night's first presidential debate on the market's take that Hillary came out on top fizzled, following news that the DOJ is assessing how big a criminal fine it can extract from Volkswagen (-3.8%) over emissions-cheating "without putting the German carmaker out of business", while Iran's oil minister Zanganeh told reporters Iran is ununwilling to freeze output at current levels. Deutsche Bank dropped to a new all time low while its default risk hit fresh record highs.

What A Commodity Trading Legend Is Buying Ahead Of The Next Crisis

When a commodity trading guru like Dwight Anderson, founder of the iconic Ospraie Management has something to say on the market outlook, people tend to listen, especially when he’s consigning the last great commodity bull run to the history books and buying gold and farmland for the next crisis.

Global Stocks Tumble, US Futures Slide On Deutsche Bank Fears, Central Bank And Commodity Concerns

While today's biggest event for both markets and politics will be tonight's highly anticipated first presidential debate between Trump and Hillary, markets are waking up to some early turmoil in both Asia and Europe, with declines in banks and energy producers dragging down stock-markets around the world, pushing investors to once again seek the safety of government bonds and the yen.

Saudis Offer To Cut Production By 500,000 Barrels: "The Oil Market Situation Is Much More Critical"

Saudi Arabia offered to cut its oil output to January levels, as OPEC members seek ways to stabilize crude prices at talks this week in Algiers.“Saudi Arabia is ready to freeze production at the January level,” Boutarfa said, calling the offer “an interesting step.” Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.69 million barrels a day in August compared with 10.2 million in January, suggesting the Saudis are willing to cut total output by half a million barrels. 

Iran Is Unlikely To Accept Saudi Oil Cut Offer: Bloomberg Analyst

With the oil market roiled by the latest unconfirmed report by Reuters, which cited three anonymous sources as claiming that Saudi Arabia was ready to cut production if Iran freezes output, everyone has been focused on the follow up, to see if there is either an official confirmation, or an unofficial denial. While we wait, however, Bloomberg oil strategist Julian Lee released a quick analysis moments ago in which he explains "why Iran is unlikely to accept the Saudi oil cut offer." 

Global Central Bank-Driven Stock Rally Fizzles; Crude Rebounds On Saudi Oil Production Cut Report

Until minutes ago, this week's rebound in global equities appeared to be running out of steam as oil retreated from a two-week high and a dollar slide ended.  However, as noted just around 6am, Reuters reported, citing as it usually does various "anonymous sources", that in a radical departure from its long-held policy of not cutting production, Saudi Arabia was prepared to cut production on condition that Iran freezes output, which led to an instant spike in crude.