Crude

Saudis, Russians Fail To Cut Oil Production, Will Freeze Output At Record January Level

Last night when previewing today's main event, the "secret" meeting between the Saudi and Russian oil ministers, we explicitly said this deal would not "lead to a cut in production", and sure enough just two hours ago the meeting between the two oil superpowers concluded and as expected the two failed to agree to any production cut; instead what they did agree on was to "freeze" production at January's already record levels, and furthermore make the agreement contingent on other OPEC members complying, something Iran has already said it would not agree to.

Yuan Tumbles Most In A Month; Stocks, Crude Maintain Gains

Having rallied all the way back to unchanged for the year thanks to yesterday's China re-opening "adjustment," the Yuan selling has resumed with onshore down by the most in a month and offshore fading also.  With Crude and USDJPY holding gains (for now), US and Asian equities are in the green as hope springs eternal that tomorrow's oh-so-secret Russia-OPEC meeting solves the world's energy problems.

DeBeers Cartel Deathwatch: Russia Set To Flood Diamond Market With Firesale Of 167,500 Carats

First it was the OPEC oil cartel which died a slow, painful, death. Now, another historic cartel may be on its last legs: the DeBeers diamond cartel, because according to Russian daily Izvestia, as part of Russia plan to combat its creeping budget deficit, Russia’s state minerals depository, Gokhran, will conduct two auctions on February 29 and March 10, in which it plans to sell as much as 167,500 carats of diamonds.

UAE Offers India Free Oil To Ease Storage Woes

In an oil sector first, the oil-rich United Arab Emirates (UAE) has offered free oil to India in return for a storage deal at India’s planned underground facility as the supply glut worsens and some analysts predict that "peak storage" could sending prices crashing further.

Global Stocks Soar On Stimulus Hopes After Miserable Chinese, Japanese Data; Short Squeeze

"The Chinese market didn’t react as bad as we feared and with the weak export data there is some big hope that he central banks will react quite fast," John Plassard, senior equity-sales trader at Mirabaud Securities LLP in Geneva, told Bloomberg. "It’s a mix of hope of intervention from the Asian central bank, short squeeze and also a relief in some energy and banking sectors, the most shorted sectors." And there are your catalysts for today's surge: hope of more central bank intervention and a global short squeeze.

In Milestone, Iran Ships First Oil To Europe Since Sanctions Lifted

In case you haven’t noticed, Iran is on a roll. Much to the chagrin of Israel and any number of GOP lawmakers in the US, the nuclear accord is a done deal and creates a $100 billion windfall for Tehran. That's in addition to the billions upon billions in extra revenue the country will be able to generate each month now that the economic noose has been removed from the country's neck. On Sunday, in yet another milestone, Iran loaded its first cargo of oil to Europe since sanctions were lifted.

Don't Blame China For Market Insanity... Says China

"The global financial markets have suffered sharp declines lately, with stocks plunging across Europe, Japan and the United States last week. Some players once again tried to link the global rout with China. However, such claims are unwarranted and playing the blame game in the face of challenges is useless."

What Happens Next?

With so much riding on the American "consumer" - given the collapse of the US manufacturing industry and massive mal-investment over-stocking falsely signalled by The Fed's "help" - one wonders just what happens next as the Services economy begins to roll over and the gap between the consumer and industrial America - which has never, in over 30 years, been wider - converges back to a new normal dystopia.

"A Market Collapse Is On The Horizon"

The increasingly interconnected worlds of debt, energy, and economic growth are about to cause a very substantial disruption to the economy, as oil limits, as well as other energy limits, cause a rapid shift from the benevolent version of the economic supercycle to the portion of the economic supercycle reflecting contraction. Many people have talked about Peak Oil, the Limits to Growth, and the Debt Supercycle without realizing that the underlying problem is really the same - the fact the we are reaching the limits of a finite world.