Crude

Global Stocks Rebound As Brexit Odds Decline Following Tragic Death Of UK Lawmaker

While it may very well not last and all of yesterday's gains could evaporate instantly if the Brexit vote is set to take place as scheduled, all 10 industry groups in the MSCI All-Country World Index advanced, with the index rising 0.7% trimming the week’s drop 1.6%. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 1.4%. Futures on the S&P 500 were little changed, after equities Thursday snapped their longest losing streak since February. . Oil rose, paring its biggest weekly decline in more than two months. Bond yields around the globe fell.

Terrorism As Pretext For Intervention In Middle East

This contradiction speaks volumes about the sheer hypocrisy and double standards of the Western powers: that, when it comes to securing 265 billion barrels of Saudi oil reserves and 100 billion barrels, each, of UAE and Kuwait that together constitutes 465 billion barrels, i.e. one-third of the world’s proven crude oil reserves, they are willing to overlook the excesses that have been committed by such Medieval regimes but when it comes to negotiating with the Islamist insurgents to reach political settlements and to let up on all the violence and spilling of blood in the region, they stand firm against the so-called “terrorists” as a matter of principle. Why do the Western powers overlook the excesses committed by Saudi Arabia where Shari’a is the law of the land and Hudood-style executions are an everyday occurrence?

CIA Director Warns Islamic State Militants Are Coming, Smuggled As Refugees

CIA Director John Brennan spoke before the Senate Intelligence Committee on Thursday where he is expected to warn US lawmakers that Islamic State militants are training and preparing to deploy operatives for further attacks on the West and will rely more on guerrilla-style tactics to compensate for their territorial losses. Most importantly, he said IS probably is working to smuggle them into countries, perhaps among refugee flows or through legitimate means of travel.

First Treasuries, Now China Is Also Liquidating US Stocks

As it turns out, China wasn't selling only Treasurys. According to a Bloomberg analysis when peeking deeper at the TIC data, while China’s sales of Treasuries have slowed, its holdings of U.S. equities are now showing steep declines as Beijing proceeds to liquidate a substantial portion of its US equities: China's stash of American stocks sank about $126 billion, or 38%, from the end of July through March, to just $201 billion. That far outpaces selling by investors globally in that period.

Global Stocks Continue To Plunge As Central Banks Disappoint, Brexit Looms

Futures on the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, as U.S. equities are on track to extend losses for a sixth day.  Europe's Stoxx 600 fell to a four-month low, sliding 1% for its sixth decline in seven days, and U.S. crude retreated for a sixth day in the longest losing streak since February. Bond yields sank to records in Germany, Australia after Japan as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said next week’s U.K. vote on European Union membership was a factor in the decision to hold interest rates steady. The Yen surged more than 2% as the Bank of Japan refrained from adding any new stimulus,

Nigeria Hyperinflation Looms As Central Bank Throws In The Towel, Devalues Currency

Less than a month ago, when looking at Nigeria's deplorable economic and reserve situation, we predicted that "Nigeria Currency Devaluation Looms As FX Forwards Crash To Record Lows." Ealier today this prediction came true when Nigeria’s central bank finally threw in the towel when it announced that the it will allow the Naira exchange rate to be market-driven, setting the stage for a devaluation of the currency, and unleashing the latest bout of hyperinflation.

Why Goldman Is No Longer Buying The Oil Bounce

One month ago there was some confusion when Goldman released a report in which it cut its 2017 oil price forecast due to expectations of slower market rebalancing, while at the same time boosting it near-term crude price projections due to short-term supply disruptions. To be sure, the media - and the market - focused only on the latter part while ignoring the former. To address this confusion, Goldman another report in which it explained why the firm is not "buying" the oil rally, and why it is time to focus on the big picture, one which Goldman does not find particularly optimistic.

Oil Spikes After DOE Inventories Data Refutes API For 3rd Week In A Row, Production Drops

Following last night's across the board inventory builds reported by API, oil prices have bounced modestly but remain lower (below $48) ahead of DOE's data. However, for the 3rd week running, DOE data refuted API showing a smaller than expected 933k draw in crude inventories and a large draw in gasoline (-2.62mm vs API's +2.25mm). Distillates inventories rose for the 2nd week in a row and Cushing saw its biggest build in 5 weeks. However, oil prices are rising on the data as well as the fact that US production resumed its decline after last week's brief increase.

All Eyes On Yellen As Global Stocks Rebound Despite Brexit Fears, Record Low Yields

US equity index futures and global stocks rebounded for the first time in 6 days, ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s remarks, while Chinese manipulation prevented a selloff in Chinese stocks when MSCI refused to add the country to its EM index due to fears about... manipulation. Sterling has rebounded despite ongoing Brexit doom and gloom. Oil is the only key commodity that has failed to stage a modest rebound, while gold is down alongside the dollar, just because.

Oil Tumbles To $47 Handle After Unexpected Crude Inventory Builds Across The Entire Complex

Oil fell today despite a bullish IEA report cutting its estimate for oil surplus (despite 2 weeks running of increasing rig counts and production and builds in gasoline and distillates last week). With crude inventories down 3 weeks in a row, API's print was expected to come in at -2.33mm barrels but instead built by 1.16mm barrels, sending oil prices lower. Cushing stockpiles were expected to drop 600k barrels (despite Genscape's 234k build estimate) but soared 664k barrels. Gasoline and Distillates both saw the biggest builds since January.