Crude

Commodity Carnage: Copper Turns Red, Oil Plunges Near $42 Handle

Wednesday saw a bloodbath in global developed bonds. Yesterday saw Emerging Market currencies and bonds collapse. Today, it is the turn of the commodity complex as Copper erases a 7% gain intrday and crashes red, WTI Crude tumbles near a $42 handle (Trump lows) and precious metals are clubbed like baby seals...

Oil Tumbles To $43 Handle As Iran Production Surged Most Since Sanctions Lifted

The cracks in the cartel are showing. Amid Saudi threats (over exemptions), Iran tells OPEC it has raised output by the most since international sanctions were lifted. With inventories remaining 300mm barrels above average and OPEC production at a new record high, hopes for any production freeze deal are fading fast and WTI has test pre-Trump $43 handle lows.

World Oil And Its Seven Biggest Chokepoints

It’s common knowledge that most of the world’s oil is transported internationally by tankers. What might not be so commonly known is the fact that almost half of the crude shipped around the world passes through waters where piracy, the danger of terrorist attacks, or the possibility of local governments shutting down the waterway are all too real.

Frontrunning: November 10

  • Trump Victory Starts New Era for GOP (WSJ)
  • President-Elect Trump Goes to Washington to Begin Transition (BBG)
  • Trump Team Plans First Months (WSJ)
  • The Promises of President-elect Donald Trump, in His Own Words (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Transition Team Planning First Months in Office (WSJ)

Everything Is Soaring As Trump Makes Buying Stuff Great Again

The global repricing of inflation expectations continues at a feverish pace in the aftermath of the Trump victory, leading to another surge in US equity futures, up 15 points or 0.7% to 2175 at last check, with Asian and European stock market all surging after the initial shock of Trump’s election victory gave way to optimism for fiscal stimulus will provide a boost to the global economy.  Commodity metals soared with copper surging the most since May 2013.

OPEC Just Knocked $20 Off Its Oil Price Outlook

OPEC warned in newly released report that oil prices might not rise above $60 per barrel until the end of the decade, in an acknowledgement that an array of bearish forces will conspire to keep a lid on any price rally.

WTI Crude Slides As US Production Soars Most In 18 Months

DOE reported a bigger than expected crude build (+2.432mm vs +2mm exp) but smaller than API's reported 4.4mm build, but DOE reports a considerably smaller drawdown in the products side (gasoline and distillates). Cuhsing saw a small build but US crude production soared 2% on the week - the most since May 2015.

Stunned Global Markets Wake Up To President Trump

As it dawned on markets that they had been caught dead wrong for the second time in half a year, first with Brexit and then with the historic election of Donald Trump, their reaction was identical: a slow selloff at first, followed by a furious dump, which led to a limit down halt in NASDAQ and Emini future trading. However, turbulence calmed as investors reassessed the effects of Donald Trump’s surprise victory in the U.S. presidential election.

WTI Crude Rises After Big Drawdown In Gasoline, Distillate Inventories

Following last week's record build in crude inventories, API reported a bigger than expected crude build this week (+4.40mm vs +2mm exp), but the huge draw in gasoline was the most notable (-3.6mm vs -1.5mm exp) as we suspect Colonial pipeline fallout affected levels. Distillates also saw the 7th consecutive draw (-4.3mm). WTI's initial reaction to the crude build was lower but the product draw sent priecs higher.