Can Donald Trump Really Save U.S. Coal?

On September 22, Donald Trump reaffirmed his intent to revive the American coal industry - without many details on how to do it. What influences the price and demand for coal? Can Donald Trump influence the forces behind these market drivers?

Oil Oscillates As Production Drops; RBOB Plunges After Biggest Gasoline Build In 4 Months

Following the surprising across-the-board inventory draws report by API overnight, DOE confirmed crude's overall draw (-1.88mm bartrels vs +3mm exp). However, gasoline saw the biggest build in 4 months (as distillates saw the biggest draw in almost 2 months). Crude production dropped very modestly on the week but remains stuck around 8.5mm barrels. Oil prices popped then dropped and remain lower for now...

Not Even An OPEC Deal Will Stop Oil Going Lower, Goldman Warns

Continuing to pile on the bearish oil case, Goldman warns today that not even an OPEC deal would stop oil going lower, adding that "we remain sceptical of its impact. For one, our production forecast continues to reflect a seasonal Saudi production decline into year-end, with no growth elsewhere. Second, even with this OPEC help, our updated oil supply-demand forecast now points to a renewed build in inventories in 4Q 2016 vs. a forecast for a draw only last month.

Futures Fail To Rebound As Deutsche Bank Tries To Comfort Markets That It Is "Fine"

After yesterday's "Hillary rally" in the US, the overnight's session has seen more risk-on sentiment as European stocks advanced, ignoring weakness in Asia as investors followed every twist of shares of beleaguered lender Deutsche Bank, whose CEO last night assured Bill readers that the bank is not seeking a bailout, which however was contradicted by a Zeit article this morning reporting that Germany may seek as much as s 25% "bailout" stake in a worst case scenario.

Oil Pops After Crude Inventories Unexpectedly Drop

In the week since the last API report, oil has ripped and dipped back to unchanged following an unexpected draw and Algiers disappointment, but prices jumped higher (tagging $45.00) as API noted a 752k draw (4th week in a row). This was dramatially below the 3mm build expected. Cushing, Gasoline, an Distillates all saw inventory draws (the latter's first draw in 7 weeks).

Crude Chaos Strikes: Saudis Admit "No Deal" But "Hopeful" For November

Having failed completely to consumate a freeze deal in Algiers, the Saudi oil minister throws out a bone of hope to crude bulls that November's OPEC meeting may see a freeze deal. Crude is testing its lows of the day but bouncing around like Hillary's eyes as the minister desperately tries to keep the dream alive.

Crude Crashes As Iran Says "No Deal" After Saudi Offer

And sure enough, as we noted yesterday, the Saudi "cut" offer that juiced crude yesterday was nothing but a strawman to enable them to pinpoint blame on Iran for the failure of talks. Unwilling to freeze its output - even based on the 'offer' of Saudi cuts - Iran's Bijan Zanganeh exclaimed "it’s not our agenda to reach agreement in these two days," blowing a hole in the hope train for crude's recovery.

Goldman Cuts Oil Price Target From $50 To $43 On Rising Global Surplus

While we await every new headline out of Algiers, overnight Goldman threw in the towel on its "transitory" oil market bullishness, and in a note by Damien Courvalin looking "Beyond Algiers, Weakening Oil Fundamentals", the bank cut its Q4 oil price target from $50 to $43, as the bank admits the previously anticipated rebalancing will take longer to achieve, and now expects "a global surplus of 400 kb/d in 4Q16 vs. a 300 kb/d draw previously."

"Hillary Rally" Fizzles As DB Hits New Record Low; Volkswagen Slammed; Oil Slides On Iran Statement

A rally in global risk that started during last night's first presidential debate on the market's take that Hillary came out on top fizzled, following news that the DOJ is assessing how big a criminal fine it can extract from Volkswagen (-3.8%) over emissions-cheating "without putting the German carmaker out of business", while Iran's oil minister Zanganeh told reporters Iran is ununwilling to freeze output at current levels. Deutsche Bank dropped to a new all time low while its default risk hit fresh record highs.

What A Commodity Trading Legend Is Buying Ahead Of The Next Crisis

When a commodity trading guru like Dwight Anderson, founder of the iconic Ospraie Management has something to say on the market outlook, people tend to listen, especially when he’s consigning the last great commodity bull run to the history books and buying gold and farmland for the next crisis.