Crude

US Oil Rigs Decline Most In Six Weeks

After 3 straight weeks of rig count increases, US oil rigs declined 7 to 330 this week - the biggest drop in 6 weeks - sparking a very modest rise in WTI Crude.

Brexit: All The Latest News, What Happens Next And How To Trade It

Sterling drops, banking stocks tumble and peripheral EGB and credit spreads widen after the U.K.’s vote to leave the EU; verbal and direct intervention by central banks help currencies off earlier lows. U.K. PM David Cameron has resigned, announcing there needs to be a new prime minister in place by October.

Crude Oil Options Traders "Most Bearish" Since At Least 2010

The 'skew' between bearish puts and bullish calls has not been this negatively positioned since at least 2010 (when Bloomberg data began). "This negative skew developing is moving in sympathy with what we’re observing in the physical market," according to BNP's Harry Tchilinguirian, and just as the skew was drastically bullish at the lows in January, one might wonder if the smart-money is right once again...

Voting Begin: Stocks Surge, Sterling Hits 2016 Highs, Futures Flirt With 2100

On the day voting for the UK referendum finally began, what started off as a trading session with a modest upward bias, promptly turned into a buying orgy in painfully illiquid markets shortly after Europe opened as an influx of buy orders pushed European stocks 2% higher, propelled by cable which was above 1.49 for the first time since December and USDJPY climbing over 1.05 in sympathy, following the release of the final Ipsos Mori poll which showed Remain at 52% to 48% for leave.

China's Petro-State "Lender Of Last Resort" Conundrum

China is increasingly becoming the petro-state lender of last resort. The primary reason for that is producer states are rapidly running out of time to prevent full scale political implosion on the back of chronic economic pressures. For all the hype around current ‘price recovery’, it means absolutely nothing for most producer states. It’s becoming painfully obvious that the prevailing geopolitical price of survival is structurally out of sync with geological costs of production.

Crude Is Crashing (Again)

What goes up (on the back of a headline about the death of a UK lawmaker) comes down faster (on the back of fundamentals - DOE inventories rising and China demand slowing)...

WTI Slides Below $50 After DOE Data Disappointment Despite Production Drop

Following last night's major inventory draws across the board (via API), which sent WTI surging back above $50, this morning's DOE data was markedly different. Both Gasoline and Distillates saw inventory builds and Crude saw notably smaller inventory draws (DOE -917k vs API -5.22mm). US crude production fell 0.44% (having fallen for 21 of the last 22 weeks) to the lowest since Sept 2014. Notably, Genscape additionally reported EU crude storage saw a notable build to the highest inventory in 3 years (suggesting US shifting stock to Europe). WTI crude has slide back below $50 erasing API's spike.

Eerie Calm Across Markets One Day Before The Main Event: Asia, Europe, US Unchanged

There is an eerie quiet across markets, one day before the year's main risk event: with the UK referendum vote starting in less than 24 hours and results due out shortly after, it is as if even the algos have stopped frontrunning other algos, in a market so thin and illiquid even the smallest order can result in a gap, either higher or lower. As a result, European, Asian stocks and S&P futures are little changed ahead of Thursday, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index swinging between gains and losses more than five times so far today.