Crude

From America Worst To America First In One Presidency

President Donald Trump’s Sunday address in Saudi Arabia was bound to inspire comparisons to the speech Barack Obama delivered in Cairo, Egypt at a similar point in his young presidency. But the 45th U.S. President quickly made clear that he did not fly to the Middle East on his first overseas trip in order to explain what’s wrong with America...

S&P Futs Near All Time High On Strong Euro Data; Oil Drops On Trump's SPR Sale Plans

S&P futures rose alongside European stocks as Asian shares posted modest declines. The euro set a new six-month high and European bourses rose as PMI data from Germany and France signaled that the ECB will have to tighten soon as Europe's recovery remains on track, with the German Ifo business confidence printing at the highest level on record, and hinting at a GDP print in the 5% range.

OPEC Thinks Deeper Cuts Might Not Be Required

“We believe that continuation with the same level of cuts, plus eventually adding one or two small producers... will be more than adequate to bring the five-year balance to where they need to be by the end of the first quarter 2018.”

Today's Stunted Oil Prices Could Cause Oil Price Shock In 2020

"What I don’t hear people asking is, ‘then what?’ Are the Saudis going to maintain these production cuts forever, or at some point do they have to start reversing that? I think in 2018 they will be reversing those production cuts..."

Frontrunning: May 22

  • Trump Arrives in Israel, May Show His Cards on the Peace Process (BBG)
  • Taxes, Budget Are Focus for White House Despite Probes (WSJ)
  • Paul Manafort’s Lucrative Ukraine Years Are Central to the Russia Probe (BBG)
  • Ford set to fire CEO Mark Fields as shares founder (Reuters)
  • Producers Set to Extend Cuts as Rally Stalls: OPEC Reality Check (BBG)

Asia Jumps, Europe Stutters As Political Rumblings Return; Oil Nears $51

Global stocks were mixed to start the week, with Asian stocks higher, European stocks initially advancing then fading gains, while S&P futures are little changed after the biggest weekly drop since April (which for those keeping record was -0.4%). European shares, the euro and the pound all stumbled on Monday as rumblings in Spain, Britain and Brussels reminded investors that the region still has plenty of political uncertainty left in the tank.

Lower 48 Production Nears Cycle Highs As Rig Count Rises For 18th Straight Week

While much was made of this week's drop in US crude production, it was driven by an Alaskan supply drop, not the Lower 48 whose production is at Aug 2015 highs. WTI back above $50 on the back of more OPEC jawboning appears to have everyone convinced this time is different, but for the 18th week in a row US oil rig counts rose (by 8 to 720).

Global Markets Rebound To End Volatile Week, As Trump Rout Fades

Two days after the biggest rout in US stocks in 8 months, and one day after Brazil's stock market was halted due to a circuit breaker, wiping out out 8.8% of its market cap, traders are eager to put it all in the rearview mirror and in a quiet session on the last day of the week, S&P futures are set for a green open, up 0.2%, in line with Asian and European markets, all looking to close the week on a positive note.

Trump-Xi Deal Could Fuel A U.S. LNG Boom

The glut is still here, and there is no gas-related OPEC to try and do anything about it, so prices are bound to stay low for a while longer. For how long, it is difficult to say. Capturing a piece of the Chinese market may be a challenge but the rewards to be reaped sure look like it’s worth it.