Debt Ceiling

Treasury Will Run Out Of Cash In Mid-October, CBO Warns

CBO estimates that without an increase in the debt limit, the Treasury, by using all available extraordinary measures, would most likely be able to continue borrowing and have sufficient cash to make its usual payments  until early to mid-October of this year.

Goldman Raises S&P500 Year-End Price Target From 2,300 To 2,400

"We raise our year-end 2017 S&P 500 price target to 2400 from 2300, reflecting a 1% decline over the next six months. This return would represent a 27th percentile event since 1975. We expect EPS growth of 9% this year will be offset by a 4% contraction in the forward P/E multiple to 17.3x from 18.1x. The prospect of accelerating inflation, higher policy rates, and rising 10-year bond yields will weigh on S&P 500 valuation."

Stockman: Orange Is The New Black (Swan)

"Black swans are supposedly unexpected, stealthy and come of a sudden. But not this one — it is bright orange, and in your face day and night... I refer to the Donald, of course, and the fact that he is truly the Great Disrupter."

Goldman: The Fed Will Hike But Here Are "The Two Most Interesting Questions"

While conceding that a hike is guaranteed, Goldman notes that two issues should make this week's FOMC meeting particularly interesting. First, will Fed officials alter their policy views in response to the increasingly different signals that both sides of the mandate are sending about the urgency of further tightening? Second, will the press conference provide some clarity on what the next tightening step following the June hike will be?

State Corporate Tax Receipts Just Crashed The Most Since The Recession

After flatlining for the past year, US income tax receipts  have been disappointing, and have posted a sharp drop since the start of the year, which is "sounding an alarm about the health of the US economy." More concering, corporate income tax receipts at the state level fell a sharp $7bn in 1Q, the biggest drop since the recession 

Stockman Shrugs Off Comey "Nothing-Burger", Warns "There's Nothing Rational About This Market"

"This is a huge nothingburger but you don’t take comfort from that, you should get worried. Because the system is determined to unseat Donald Trump. In that environment if you think there’s going to be tax reform, infrastructure, stimulus or even a functioning government and not a shut down I don’t know what Wall Street is smoking... that means we’re in big trouble."