Debt Ceiling

Trumped! Washington's Fiscal Hypocrisy Is Too Rich For Words

You have to love it when one of Donald Trump’s wild pitches sends the beltway hypocrites into high dudgeon. But his rumination about negotiating a discount on the Federal debt was priceless. No sooner did the 'unschooled' Trump mention out loud what is already the official policy of the US government than a beltway chorus of fiscal house wreckers commenced screaming like banshees about the sanctity of Uncle Sam’s credit promises.

Gundlach Predicts "Trump Will Win", Says "The Federal Reserve Has Basically Given Up"

"The US stock market seems egregiously overvalued versus other stock markets... you are going to see declines in the US stock market and since the correlations are so high this means that probably the junk bond market will go back down, too. Negative interest rates are the dumbest idea ever. It’s horrible.... Gold is doing fine. It’s preserving capital in the US, it’s been making money over the last couple of years for European investors. That’s why I own gold.... Trump is going to win. I think Clinton and Sanders are both very poor candidates."

A Conversation With My Neighbor "Sam"

“What if the banks stop loaning you money to make your payments on your loans? What happens then?”

“I guess I’m assuming that won’t happen.”

"Capitulation": Longest Streak Of Equity Outflows Since 2008; Biggest Gold Inflows Since 2010

The latest Lipper fund flow data is an and it is not pretty: in the latest week, there was $12.2 billion in equity outflows, the largest weekly redemption in 5 months and more importantly, this represents 7 straight weeks of outflows: the longest streak since 2008. However, offsetting this we just had the biggest 2-week gold inflow ($3.2bn) since May’10.

Here's Why (And How) The Government Will "Borrow" Your Retirement Savings

The bottom line is that government needs more money. Lots of it. And there is perhaps no easier pool of cash to "borrow" than Americans’ retirement savings. $7.3 trillion in US IRA accounts is too large for them to ignore. And if you think it’s inconceivable for the government to borrow your retirement savings, just consider the following...

Total U.S. Debt Surpasses $19 Trillion; Rises $8.4 Trillion Under President Obama

Two months ago, when we calculated that the US would need a new debt ceiling of $19.6 trillion to last until after Obama's tenure, we may have been overoptimistic: since the hard limit of $18.15 trillion which was raised at the end of October, the US appears to be growing its debt at a far faster pace than we had originally expected, and according to the latest public debt data, as of the last day of January, total US debt just hit 19,012,827,698,417.93.

"China 2016 Is US 2008" Felix Zulauf Warns "The Outcome Of A Major Yuan Devaluation Would Be Disastrous"

"China is to the current cycle what the US housing market was for the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. It will take years to correct the excesses that were built up in China... the consequences of a weaker yuan would be disastrous...If China devalues, all the other countries in the region will follow suit which will lead to a global deflationary shock. There is a real chance of a bigger correction than many investors realize..."

China Matters

Over the past few days we have repeatedly heard the following statement: "China isn’t that important as it is only 7% of the U.S. economy." While that may be a true statement in relation to the economy, it is a far different matter when it comes to the financial markets. With financial markets so closely correlated, what happens in China has a direct and immediate impact on U.S. markets.

Trader Psychology Is Reversing, Scotiabank Warns Market Is "Ripe For Volatility Spikes"

Market psychology established in recent years is reversing. Market volatility is rising and will remain pervasive for a while as psychology, the change in direction of Fed policy, and the increases in general uncertainties, will all conspire to shape an environment ripe for sharp spikes in volatility which will be further amplified by rickety market liquidity.

Safe On The Sidelines - 405 Days And Counting

The S&P 500 closed at 2052 on November 18,2014. That was 405 days ago, and despite the rips and dips in the interim the broad market average has gone nowhere.