Debt Ceiling

Global Stocks Hit All Time High As Fed Meeting Begins

With the Fed set to begin its latest 2-day meeting, S&P futures are little changed with European and Asian stocks higher after the VIX dropped to a 10 year low and the Nasdaq rose to record highs, sending the MSCI All-Country Index back to all time highs, as global markets reopen after holiday with investors focusing on stronger corporate earnings, while ignoring weaker than expected "hard" economic data and geopolitical concerns.

Are Tax Cuts The Economic Growth 'Cure-All'?

"Will 'Trumponomics' change the course of the U.S. economy? I certainly hope so. Unfortunately, there is no evidence that such has ever been the case. As investors, we must understand the difference between a 'narrative-driven' advance and one driven by strengthening fundamentals. The first is short-term and leads to bad outcomes. The other isn’t, and doesn’t."

Why Democrats Are Delighted With The Republican Spending Bill

Why were Democrats unable to hide their enthusiasm for the latest Omnibus spending bill proposed by House Republicans? Simple: because, as the Washington Examiner's Philip Klein writes, "Dems basically got everything. It's like they control House, Senate, & WH rather than the other way around."

Futures Rise On Government Funding Deal; Most Global Markets Closed For Holiday

With much of Europe and Asia, including the U.K., France, Germany and China markets closed for Labor Day, Asian stocks and the dollar rose buoyed by news that Congress had reached a deal to keep the US government funded through the end of September. S&P futures are up 4 points or 0.2%. Oil declined as rigs targeting crude in the U.S. rose for a fifteenth week and output from Libya rebounded.

Weekend Reading: Trumponomics – End Of 100 Days

So, here we are at the end of the first 100-days, with little progress being made toward the things that count the most with investors. With asset prices currently priced for perfection, the real risk is that of “disappointment.” It will likely pay to “err to the side of caution” for now as the risk is clearly tilted against reward for now.

Will Your Savings Get Caught In Government Shutdown Crossfire?

The potential shutdown would put a hiccup in federal bureaucracy for a few weeks, but that’s not the real reason Americans should be worried. Turns out, there may be an unseen economic danger that could affect you and your savings.

Is The Fed About To Drop The MOAB On Wall Street?

What all this warrants is extreme caution in Bubbleville. With geopolitical risk flashing bright red, half percent GDP growth, record high equity valuations and a delusional Fed that continues threatening interest rate normalization; the market’s reality check is surely imminent.

Will Macron Serve The Interests Of The American Deep State?

The accrued momentum in colossal sums of money flowing this way and that way has allowed unreality to reign in international finance for a while. But that is now flying apart. The ultimate reality, politicians and economists will soon discover, is that you can’t create your own reality.

June Rate Hike Odds Soar To 69% As Debt Ceiling Looms

It appears the hope that a centrist candidate will win the French election is enough to trump tumbling macro-economic data, disappointing earnings, and flailing inflation in the US economy. June rate hike odds have spiked to 69% overnight (even as debt ceiling risks begin to price in... and the dollar drops)...

FX Volatility Crashes As Traders Unwind "Existential Euro" Hedges

Heading into today's vote, FX options markets had seen massive demand for downside protection against a result that threatened the euro's existence. That didn't happen and so those hedges are being unwound en masse with the biggest drop in EURUSD implied vols in history...