Default Rate

We Now Know "Who Hit The Brakes" As Loan Creation Crashes To Six Year Low

We can now close the book on the WSJ's previously unanswered question of "who hit the breaks?" The answe the US consumer, the driver behind 70% of US GDP, officially tapped out. In fact, it was almost as if US consumers were hit by a perfect storm of adverse events in late 2016 and early 2017

US Household Debt Surpasses 2008 High, Hits Record $12.7 Trillion

“Almost nine years later, household debt has finally exceeded its 2008 peak. This record debt level is neither a reason to celebrate nor a cause for alarm. But it does provide an opportune moment to consider debt performance,” said Donghoon Lee, Research Officer at the New York Fed.

The Other Shoe Drops: Prime Auto Loan Losses Surge As Recoveries Tumble

With subprime auto loan delinquencies already surpassing losses last seen in the immediate aftermath of the financial crisis, the next shoe has dropped as losses in bonds tied to prime auto loans surged in recent months from a year ago, with 60+ day delinquencies and default rates in Prime ABS pools doubling from post-crisis lows.

Seven Charts For Bullish Investors To Ignore

Wall Street still exudes widespread optimism that 2017 will provide another year of solid gains for stocks amid stable albeit unspectacular economic growth and only gentle interest rate rises. However, as The FT details, all is not well in reality, and the following seven charts will hearten investors of a more bearish persuasion...

This New Bubble Is Even Bigger Than The Subprime Fiasco

The total value of student loans in America today is LARGER than the total value of subprime loans at the peak of the financial bubble. And just like the subprime mortgages, many student loans are in default.

Nomi Prins' Political-Financial Road Map For 2017

Today, the only thing keeping a lid on financial calamity is epic amounts of artisanal money. Deregulating an inherently corrupt and coddled banking industry, already floating on said capital assistance, would inevitably cause another crisis during Trump’s first term.

What Keeps Goldman Up At Night About 2017

Between China, credit markets, financial conditions, political uncertainty, the consequences of Brexit, the presidential elections, global trade, the risk of sharp reflation, and the impotence of central banking, here are the top things that keep Goldman Sachs up at night about 2017.