Deutsche Bank

McKinsey: Banks Will Have To Slash 30% Of Analyst Jobs To Comply With New Research Rules

"Two to three global banking players will preserve their status in the new era, winning the execution arms race and dominating trading in equities around the globe.  Over the coming five years, banks will need to make hard choices and play to their strengths. Not only will the top ranks be thinned out, there will be shakeouts in regional markets."

Key Events In The Coming Quiet Week: Brexit, Housing And Lots Of Fed Speakers

In an otherwise relatively quiet week in which the only upcoming US data is housing, current account and jobless claims, UK politics will again draw attention, one year (on Friday) after the Brexit referendum and as noted earlier, Brexit negotiations begin on Monday, despite lingering political uncertainty in the UK. Also no less than 9 FOMC members are scheduled to speak this week.

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

In trying to answer "When will the Fed tighten enough to cause the next recession", Deutsche Bank says that while current market expectations suggest the next recession (or at least the next Fed tightening that would be forceful enough to cause a recession) could still be many years away, the bank "thinks this is too optimistic." Here's why

Your Last Minute FOMC Preview: "Will It Be A Dovish Hike Or Not"

The FOMC is expected to raise its overnight federal funds rate (FFR) target by 25bps to 1.00% to 1.25%, in what would be its second hike of 2017. Fed Funds Futures were pricing in a 95% implied probability that rates will be lifted – at one point last week, that probability was over 99%.

Frontrunning: June 13

  • The Snowballing Power of the VIX, Wall Street’s Fear Index (WSJ)
  • Beneath the Uneasy Peace Between Donald Trump and Janet Yellen (WSJ)
  • Senators to Query Sessions on Russia, Comey (BBG)
  • U.S. lawmakers to probe Tillerson on Russia, diplomacy budget cuts (Reuters)
  • Under pressure to soften Brexit, PM May to meet Northern Irish 'kingmakers' (Reuters)