The world once praised Soros as some sort of benevolent 'Santa Claus', who handed out millions for 'good deeds' to one-world government proponents and other starry-eyed utopians. However, the veneer of Soros is wearing thin.
"Global macro surprises have only been higher 5% of the time, typically roll over from these elevated levels and have shown first signs of softening. We believe global macro momentum is likely to roll over from current elevated levels. Lower macro surprises would be consistent with a tactical pull-back for equities."
Some of hedge fund billionaire George Soros' short positions dating back to 2012 were published on the Dutch financial market regulator’s website this week due to "human error" according to the regulator AFM, according to Bloomberg. Dutch bank ING is among the positions exposed and its stock price is tumbling...
With global stock markets basking in the afterglow of Dow crossing 20,000 for the first time, on Thursday they propelled higher in sympathy with the US, as Asia and Europe are trading solidly in the green, as is the dollar which rebounded strongly off a 5 week low.
The day the Dow crosses 20,000 may finally be here, because with DJIA futures trading 65 points higher in premarket trading, added to yesterday's close of 19,912 and latest record high in the S&P, it means that all it will take is a modest of only 25 points for the critical Dow threshold to be finally breached.
Mainstream media are reporting that Japan has become the biggest holder of the US treasuries, surpassing China last month. However, this is true only in regard to single countries, as The EU became the top US Treasury holder in February 2016, i.e. one year ago. Unfortunately, the EU’s holdings are artificially overstated because of some financial havens and they are going in the opposite direction to the trend: up rather than down.
A Jewish charitable trust has sued Deutsche Bank, alleging the German bank wrongly withheld as much as $3 billion from the heirs to a wealthy German family. According to Bloomberg, the lawsuit claims the bank refuses to return the funds initially deposited by the Wertheim family in accounts opened at what is now Credit Suisse Group AG before the rise of the Nazis in Germany.
Deutsche Bank employees are facing more bad news, following reported from the Post and Bloomberg that the largest German lender will tell senior employees as soon as this week that they probably won’t get a bonus for 2016 because of the lender’s performance last year. The post adds that Deutsche may hold back on giving out bonuses to as many as 90% of bankers and traders.
European shares decline led by a plunge in Pearson shares, S&P futures were modestly in the green as Asian and EM stocks gained. The dollar rebounded against most major currencies after retreating 1.3% on Tuesday to the lowest in a month following Trump's "strong dollar" comments and halted a seven-day drop against the yen. "Everything is just a partial reversal of the price action yesterday," RBC Capital Markets currency strategist Adam Cole said.
The absolute disconnect of asset prices from economic activity is and will continue to be unlike anything we have seen. This is no more of a "free market" than shooting a cow in a pasture is "hunting". "Invest" accordingly, but know full well the ill gotten gains will one-day, someday, sooner than later, be entirely gone and we'll all know what it felt like to be Bernie Madoff clients.