With both sides digging in and unwilling to budge, will Europe revert back to its strategy from day 1, namely creating a slow initially, then fast bank run in Greece, one which leads to gradual then sudden capital controls, resulting in civil discontent and disobedience and ultimately, a violent overthrow of the Greek government.
After the carnage of the 2008 crash, former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker proposed a rule that would prevent banks from making short-term proprietary trades with financial instruments. In other words, no gambling allowed. This rule would become known as The Volcker Rule, and it went into partial effect on April 1, 2014. Full compliance is required by July 21, 2015. Of course, the bank lobbyists were hard at work, and numerous exceptions and loopholes were created.
Looking back at the Lehman Brothers collapse of 2008, it’s amazing how quickly it all happened. In hindsight there were a few early-warning signs, but the true scale of the disaster publicly unfolded only in the final moments before it became apparent that Lehman was doomed. Could this happen to Deutsche Bank?
Approximately two years ago, a commentary was published entitled “The One Bank”. The empirical foundation for the article (and the paradigm) was an extensive computer model, produced by a trio of academics at a university in Switzerland, and originally reviewed in an article from Forbes.
The Question Is Not Is Deutsche Bank the Next Lehman, It's "Is Lehman the Face of Banking in the FutureSubmitted by Reggie Middleton on 06/12/2015 19:56 -0400
Is Deustche Bank the next Lehman is likely the wrong question to be asking. Is Lehman the template for European banking may be more to the point. Take it from the guy that called the Lehman debacle 5 months before the fact.
Deutsche Bank Head Of Asia-Pac Equities Loses Control Of His $580,000 Ferrari, Kills Innocent BystanderSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 06/10/2015 19:49 -0400
As recently as several months ago, the financial press was surprised when a wave of Deutsche Bank employees, particularly those in the bank's legal department (such as here and here), decided to take their own lives. Now at least one Deutsche Banker, perhaps perturbed by the recent news involving the unexpected departure of his co-CEOs coupled with the even more unexpected raid of the bank's global headquarters, has decided to show the jump from sui- to homicide is a simple one.
From Greek lobbyists to Silicon Valley VCs and from Goldman BSDs to FT reporters, The Bilderberg Group will meet later this week in Tirol to discuss what happens next to the rest of the world... here are the participants...
- Pressing for Greek concessions, Merkel and Hollande keep Tsipras waiting (Reuters)
- Treasuries Extend Slump as Pimco Dumps Two-Thirds of Holdings (BBG)
- U.S. prepares plans for more troops, new base in Iraq: officials (Reuters)
- Texas policeman resigns after video shows him toppling teen (Reuters)
- Kuroda Says Hard to See Yen Dropping More, Spurring Surge (BBG)
- Tech Startups Woo Investors With Unconventional Financial Terms — but Do Numbers Add Up? (WSJ)
- Putin is a 'bully', U.S. needs to respond resolutely: Jeb Bush (Reuters)
David Nicholls: “Banks do not collude to try to set a Libor rating. “I think I am just hearing a lot of hysteria about Libor that is just misinformed."
John Ewan: “A cabal of them could.”
Nicholls: “What’s a cabal?”
Ewan: “A group together could."
Nicholls: “That’s an interesting conspiracy theory."
After a quiet Asian session, where not even the latest Chinese CPI miss was enough to push the SHCOMP to new multi-year highs, all eyes were on Europe where a few hours ago the European Commission announced it had received not one but two new proposals from Greece with the Greek government adding that it considers proposals submitted last week as remain basis for political negotiations. However, barely had Europe received the Greek addenda when it nein'ed all over them, with BBG citing an international official directly involved in talks saying that the "Greek government's revised proposal to unlock bailout funds is vague rehash of earlier plans, not considered credible."
Just two days after Deutsche Bank co-CEOs Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen announced their resignations, the banks offices in Germany, France, and the UK have been searched by authorities.
Deutsche Bank’s derivatives position is truly enormous. It was recently estimated to be around $54 trillion. Germany's GDP, the 4th largest in the world, was a mere $3.64 trillion in 2015. Were Deutsche Bank caught off-side in its derivatives positions there is not a government or institution on earth that could bail it out and it could lead to contagion in the German financial system and indeed in the global financial system.
- White House denies Obama said strong dollar a problem (Reuters)
- Lira Falls to Record Amid Stock Rout as AK Party Loses Majority (BBG)
- Bond-Market Game of Chicken With Fed Is Riskier Than Ever (BBG)
- Xetra Dax enters correction territory (FT)
- China trade shrinks amid slowing demand (FT)
- Greek government eyes compromise with lenders, rules out snap polls (Reuters)
- If You Think Greece’s Crisis Will End Soon, Think Again (BBG)
- China growth data ‘overstated’ due to data error (FT)
- Calpers to Cut External Money Managers by Half (WSJ)
Germany Enters Correction; EMs In Longest Losing Streak Since 1990 Routed By Turkey, Obama Turmoils DollarSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 06/08/2015 06:48 -0400
While there were key macroeconomic data out of Asia earlier in the session, with Japan revising its Q1 GDP up from 2.4% to 3.9% (due to an upward revision to capex) making some wonder if it simply didn't snow in Japan this winter, as well as Chinese trade data that was once again disappointing with the third consecutive drop in exports coupled with an 18.1% collapse in imports hinting that nothing is going well in China's economy (which once again sent stocks soaring this time up another 2.2% on certainty another PBOC rate cut is imminent, pushing the PBOC to a fresh 7-year high of 5,132), it was actually a leaked Obama comment on the strong USD that moved markets.