"The above raises an issue for non-government borrowers of US dollars such as Japanese mega banks. For example GREED & fear heard this week in Tokyo that one major Japanese bank is borrowing US$60bn from money market funds."
It’s been estimated that the total worldwide value of such contracts equals 150 times the amount of gold in existence in the world ... Uh-oh ... This is why it’s imperative that you purchase only physical, allocated gold.
Gold consolidated after the gains of last week when gold rose 0.25% from $1324/oz to $1328.80/oz. Indeed, it was gold’s second consecutive weekly higher close which is bullish from a technical perspective. Markets being sentiment and momentum driven this could mean the recent correction is over as technical driven traders are likely to take signal from this and go long gold.
Based on corporate balance sheets and income statements, the US economy may be in a recession as of this moment... and if it isn't, even just one rate hike by the Fed, either in the September 21 meeting or in December, will assure that the backbone of corporate America, already straining under record debt and tumbling profits, will finally snap.
As some of you may know, in a previous life I wrote a lot about gold and silver. I took the perspective of someone who was new and curious to the precious metals. I wanted to know more than just how the Fed announcements affected the prices, why demand and supply weren’t enough to predict movements and why history didn’t seem to have taught us any lessons.
Realized volatility in the US equity markets has been extremely low, and much discussed, but, as Deutsche Bank's David Bianco warns this is "the quiet before the storm." There are five catalysts for increased vol through Autumn but most worrying is the "High P/E, Low VIX" scenario is very risky having reached "mania" levels.
European stocks, Asian shares and U.S. equity index futures decline. Selloff in global stocks and bonds deepened after signs central banks in Europe and Japan are starting to question the benefits of further monetary easing. North Korea nuclear test weakens the won.
"Don't just do something, stand there (and say something)," appears to be the mantra for the world's central banks at the moment as $200bn of QE is puked across global asset markets every month and everyone promising to do more of what they started (Fed hikes and BoJ, ECB asset purchasing).
Global economies have enjoyed a perfect storm of positive demographic trends over the past 3 decades. Deutsche warns that "extrapolation of the last 35 years could be the most dangerous mistake made by investors."
“Given the backdrop of one of the most uncertain macroeconomic, systemic, geopolitical and monetary outlooks both the U.S. and the world have ever seen, we are likely to see gold do well in its traditionally seasonal strong period...”
History teaches us that central authorities dislike escape routes, at least for the majority, and are therefore prone to closing them, so that control of a limited money supply can remain in the hands of the very few. The existence of escape routes for capital preservation undermines the viability of the banking system, which is already over-extended, over-leveraged and extremely fragile. In the 1930s, gold was the escape route, so gold was confiscated. This time cash serves that role...
Silver surged 3.5% yesterday rising 65 cents and closing at $20.04/oz and gold rose by 2% or by $23 to close at $1,348.80/oz after poor economic data in the U.S. underlined deepening concerns about the economic and indeed the monetary outlook.