Deutsche Bank

Frontrunning: July 29

  • Yen, bond yields rise as Bank of Japan action underwhelms (Reuters); Bank of Japan Takes Modest Easing Action (WSJ)
  • Hong Kong shares end lower as BOJ disappointment sweeps Asia (Reuters)
  • Accepting White House nomination, Clinton offers 'clear-eyed' vision (Reuters)
  • Two Conventions, Two Distinct World Views (WSJ)
  • Democrats Emphasize American Exceptionalism at Convention (BBG)
  • Clinton’s Image Among Democrats at a Historic Low (WSJ)

Monte Paschi Bailout In Peril As 3 Banks Walk Out: Are More "Pensioner Suicides" Next?

According to Reuters, Morgan Stanley and Italian lenders UniCredit and Intesa SanPaolo have rebuffed a proposal by Italy's third-largest lender, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena to back its proposed 5 billion euro cash call, a development which may lead to a bail-in of the troubled lender, and potentially spark contagion across the Italian banking system.

The Key Thing To Watch For In Today's FOMC Statement

The Fed is expected to stay on hold today. Given the Fed’s dovish reaction to the weak May employment report, SocGen expects that officials are likely to be reluctant to commit to any particular path just yet (despite the longest streak of economically positive surprise in US history). In the absence of any signal regarding the next hike, attention will fall on their characterization of the economy. Here are five things to watch in the statement...

What Wall Street Thinks Of Apple's Earnings Beat

After beating on revenues and earnings despite a steep drop in both revenues and iPhone orders and projecting a third consecutive quarter of declining profits, Apple is up nearly 8% pre-market as traders clearly liked what Tim Cook did in the quarter. More importantly, Wall Street liked the results too. Here is a summary of what some of the key analysts thought.

Frontrunning: July 27

  • Democrat Clinton makes history with U.S. presidential nomination (Reuters)
  • Democrats Achieve an Uneasy Détente at Convention (WSJ)
  • Obama Economy Left Behind the Backers That Clinton Needs to Win (BBG)
  • European stocks rise, Asia lifted by Japan stimulus (Reuters)
  • PM Abe's plan for $265 billion stimulus puts pressure on BOJ to ease (Reuters)

Global Stocks, Futures Continue Rise On Apple, Japan Stimulus; Yellen On Deck

The markets were following a rollercoaster night for the Japanese Yen, when after several media headlines Abe was said to have announced a stimulus package that would be more than JPY28 trillion, sending Japanese stocks higher 1.7% while the USDJPY spiked but well off overnight highs, pushing risk assets higher. Europe and US futs were also in the green on optimism from AAPL's earnings, but all eyes will be on today's FOMC announcement.

Italy Races To Arrange €5 Billion Bailout For Monte Paschi Before Friday's Stress Test

Italy is scrambling to secure a privately-backed bailout of Monte dei Paschi di Siena, the most exposed of the country’s troubled lenders, including a plan to raise €5bn of fresh capital so as to avert nationalisation, the FT reports. The bank needs to obtain some €5 bilion in capital ahead of Friday's stress test, or else a dire "contagion" scenario could unfold that could impair not only all Italian banks, but promptly spread first to France and then to Germany...

Frontrunning: July 25

  • Democrats in disarray on eve of convention to nominate Clinton (Reuters); After Gloating, Democrats Face Unity Problem of Their Own (BBG)
  • Florida nightclub shooting leaves two dead, up to 16 wounded (Reuters)
  • Yellen Still Waiting for Overwhelming Evidence to Warrant Hike (BBG)
  • Oil Trades Near Two-Month Low as Drilling Increases Amid Surplus (BBG)
  • Fraud Investigation Ricochets Through Hedge Fund Known for Ties to Jewish Community (WSJ)

HSBC Global Head Of FX Cash Trading Arrested At JFK Airport

A historic event took place moments ago when Mark Johnson, the global head of cash FX at HSBC was arrested at JFK airport for his role in a "conspiracy to rig currency benchmarks", and specifically for frontrunning customer orders. He is the first person charged by the US in the ongoing FX rigging probe.

S&P Cuts Deutsche Bank Outlook To Negative On "Challenging Operating Conditions"

It has been a while since investors focused their attention on the world's "most systematically risky" bank, Deutsche Bank. Moments ago, S&P made sure to remind us that nothing is fixed, when it released a report saying that "Operating Conditions May Challenge Strategy Execution" but keeping the bank at a BBB+ rating.