Deutsche Bank

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 2: "Closing The Escape Routes"

History teaches us that central authorities dislike escape routes, at least for the majority, and are therefore prone to closing them, so that control of a limited money supply can remain in the hands of the very few. The existence of escape routes for capital preservation undermines the viability of the banking system, which is already over-extended, over-leveraged and extremely fragile. In the 1930s, gold was the escape route, so gold was confiscated. This time cash serves that role...

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Silver surged 3.5% yesterday rising 65 cents and closing at $20.04/oz and gold rose by 2% or by $23 to close at $1,348.80/oz after poor economic data in the U.S. underlined deepening concerns about the economic and indeed the monetary outlook.

Eerie Calm Continues: Futures Flat Ahead Of Apple's Latest Product Launch

The unprecedented period of low volatility, in which the S&P hasn't moved more than 1% in either direction, is now well into its 40th day and the muted overnight session has done nothing to put this streak in jeopardy with S&P futures once again hugging the flatline ahead of the widely expected 3:30pm ramp. European stocks were likewise little changed while Asia was fractionally higher depite a modest dip in the Nikkei.

How Central Banks Are LBOing The World In One Stunning Chart

As of this moment, the 6 big central banks have a balance sheet that is equivalent to nearly 40% of global GDP, a number which if extrapolated will hit 50% just after 2018. Those wondering if this means that central banks are engaged in a creeping, stealthy, indrect LBO of the world's assets on behalf of third parties, the answer is perilously close to a resounding "yes."

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 1: "There Is Nowhere To Go But Down"

As momentum builds in the developing deflationary spiral, we are seeing increasingly desperate measures to keep the global credit ponzi scheme from its inevitable conclusion. Credit bubbles are dynamic - they must grow continually or implode - hence they require ever more money to be lent into existence. As the peak of a credit bubble is reached, all these necessary factors first become problematic and then cease to be available at all. Past a certain point, there are hard limits to financial expansions, and the global economy is set to hit one imminently.

Deutsche Bank Tries To Explain Why It Did Not Deliver Physical Gold, Fails

"... we recommend in each specific case an individual review of the economic efficiency of a physical delivery. Should an investor’s request for the handover of physical gold not have been complied with immediately in individual cases, this will be reviewed and an individual solution will be found with the client."

Frontrunning: September 1

  • Global shares snap losing streak as oil ends its decline (Reuters)
  • Trump returns to hardline position on illegal immigration (Reuters)
  • U.S., others agreed to 'secret' exemptions for Iran after nuclear deal (Reuters)
  • China’s Factory Gauge Unexpectedly Rises to Highest Since 2014 (BBG)
  • Weak Pound Drives U.K. Factories Back From Brexit Shock (BBG)
  • Elon Musk Faces Cash Squeeze at Tesla, SolarCity (WSJ)

Global Stocks Rise, Metals Jump On Strong Chinese Data; Pound Surges On Record UK Mfg Spike

After a muted end to August, September started off on the strong foot overnight following a surprising beat in China's official manufacturing PMI print, which rose above 50 to the highest level in almost two years. That, together with a record rebound in the UK PMI, bolstered investor confidence, fueling gains in stocks and industrial metals. The dollar advanced against most of its peers while bonds retreated before Friday’s payrolls report.