• GoldCore
    08/05/2015 - 07:32
    'Death of gold' has been greatly exaggerated. It is important to consider gold in local currency terms. In euro, gold is up 2% in 2015, after 13% gain in 2014.

Deutsche Bank

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Frontrunning: June 10





  • Pressing for Greek concessions, Merkel and Hollande keep Tsipras waiting (Reuters)
  • Treasuries Extend Slump as Pimco Dumps Two-Thirds of Holdings (BBG)
  • U.S. prepares plans for more troops, new base in Iraq: officials (Reuters)
  • Texas policeman resigns after video shows him toppling teen (Reuters)
  • Kuroda Says Hard to See Yen Dropping More, Spurring Surge (BBG)
  • Tech Startups Woo Investors With Unconventional Financial Terms — but Do Numbers Add Up? (WSJ)
  • Putin is a 'bully', U.S. needs to respond resolutely: Jeb Bush (Reuters)
 
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"That’s An Interesting Conspiracy Theory"





David Nicholls: “Banks do not collude to try to set a Libor rating. “I think I am just hearing a lot of hysteria about Libor that is just misinformed."
John Ewan: “A cabal of them could.”
Nicholls: “What’s a cabal?”
Ewan: “A group together could."
Nicholls: “That’s an interesting conspiracy theory."

 
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European Stocks Suffer Longest Losing Stretch In 2015; US Futures Down





After a quiet Asian session, where not even the latest Chinese CPI miss was enough to push the SHCOMP to new multi-year highs, all eyes were on Europe where a few hours ago the European Commission announced it had received not one but two new proposals from Greece with the Greek government adding that it considers proposals submitted last week as remain basis for political negotiations. However, barely had Europe received the Greek addenda when it nein'ed all over them, with BBG citing an international official directly involved in talks saying that the "Greek government's revised proposal to unlock bailout funds is vague rehash of earlier plans, not considered credible."

 
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Deutsche Bank Offices Raided By Authorities





Just two days after Deutsche Bank co-CEOs Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen announced their resignations, the banks offices in Germany, France, and the UK have been searched by authorities.

 
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Deutsche Bank CEOs “Shown Door” – World’s Largest Holder of Derivatives In Trouble?





Deutsche Bank’s derivatives position is truly enormous. It was recently estimated to be around $54 trillion. Germany's GDP, the 4th largest in the world, was a mere $3.64 trillion in 2015. Were Deutsche Bank caught off-side in its derivatives positions there is not a government or institution on earth that could bail it out and it could lead to contagion in the German financial system and indeed in the global financial system.

 
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Frontrunning: June 8





  • White House denies Obama said strong dollar a problem (Reuters)
  • Lira Falls to Record Amid Stock Rout as AK Party Loses Majority (BBG)
  • Bond-Market Game of Chicken With Fed Is Riskier Than Ever (BBG)
  • Xetra Dax enters correction territory (FT)
  • China trade shrinks amid slowing demand (FT)
  • Greek government eyes compromise with lenders, rules out snap polls (Reuters)
  • If You Think Greece’s Crisis Will End Soon, Think Again (BBG)
  • China growth data ‘overstated’ due to data error (FT)
  • Calpers to Cut External Money Managers by Half (WSJ)
 
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Germany Enters Correction; EMs In Longest Losing Streak Since 1990 Routed By Turkey, Obama Turmoils Dollar





While there were key macroeconomic data out of Asia earlier in the session, with Japan revising its Q1 GDP up from 2.4% to 3.9% (due to an upward revision to capex) making some wonder if it simply didn't snow in Japan this winter, as well as Chinese trade data that was once again disappointing with the third consecutive drop in exports coupled with an 18.1% collapse in imports hinting that nothing is going well in China's economy (which once again sent stocks soaring this time up another 2.2% on certainty another PBOC rate cut is imminent, pushing the PBOC to a fresh 7-year high of 5,132), it was actually a leaked Obama comment on the strong USD that moved markets.

 
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Deutsche Bank Co-CEOs To Resign Amid Shareholder Frustration





"Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen, the embattled co-chief executives of Deutsche Bank AG, plan to announce their resignations, according to people familiar with the matter, an abrupt move that throws into question the future direction of one of the world’s largest banks," WSJ reports. John Cryan, former UBS CFO, is reportedly in line to take the helm. 

 
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SEC Reads Zero Hedge, Launches Crack Down On Activist Hedge Fund "Idea Dinners"





Ten months after we asked whether "The SEC Is Asking These Hedge Funds Why They All Rushed Into Allergan Last Quarter?" we find that the US market regulator indeed reads this website on a regular basis. As the WSJ reports the SEC has answered our question, and yes: the  SEC is finally asking not only "these" hedge funds why they all rushed into Allergan, but into every other collusive activist take out target.

 
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DoJ To Tax Wall Street (Again) In MBS Probe





Emboldened by its recent “unprecedented” prosecutorial success, the DoJ will now pursue a fresh round of MBS-related settlements with banks that knowingly packaged and sold shoddy CDOs. Banks expected to settle in coming months include Barclays PLC, Credit Suisse Group AG, Deutsche Bank AG, HSBC Holdings PLC, Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC,UBS AG and Wells Fargo & Co.

 
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What Wall Street Expects From Today's Payrolls Number, And Why It May Be Overly Optimistic





The most important not yet double seasonally-adjusted economic datapoint is upon us: in 90 minutes the BLS will report the May payrolls number which consensus expects to rise by 225K, (range of 140K to 305K), barely unchanged from April's 223K. The meaningless unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 5.4%, even as the number of people not in the labor force likely will rise to a new record high. The most important variable, however, will be the hourly earnings with consensus expecting a 0.2% increase for all workers (the non-supervisory workers category is a different story entirely), up from the 0.1% increase in April.

 
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F.T.W.S.I.J.D.G.I.G.T.





FTW (For Those Who Say I Just Don't Get It... Get This!) There seems a shift showing itself in dramatic fashion unseen since the 2008 financial meltdown. Not only are some key players, or institutions beginning to notice some troubling signs; but rather; those very signs that everyone was told 'won’t or shouldn’t happen', not only are, they’re starting to rear their ugly heads in much greater frequency.

 
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Tsipras Sticks To "Red Line" Rhetoric Cornered By Party Radicals





"An early election would be possible, but the least likely: the PM will likely be able to pass an agreement through parliament with opposition support, in turn generating strong incentives for a shift to a more moderate coalition within the existing parliament rather than a new electoral campaign following a painful compromise with European creditors," Deutsche Bank says, laying out the likely outcome if and when Greek PM Alexis Tsipras does finally accept an unpopular deal with creditors.

 
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Frontrunning: June 4





  • China stocks fall, led by ChiNext, on margin tightening; Hong Kong down too (Reuters)
  • Bond market sell-off rumbles on, stocks feel the pinch (Reuters)
  • Bond Rout Wipes Out 2015 Gains as Traders Stay Glued to Screens (BBG)
  • Greek Groundhog Day Continues With Talks Failing to Break Impasse (BBG)
  • Greece and Its Creditors Agree on Some Measures in Bailout Talks (WSJ)
  • 'Bellingcat Report Doesn't Prove Anything': Expert Criticizes Allegations of Russian MH17 Manipulation (Spiegel)
  • GE Said to Hire Banks to Start Sale on $20 Billion Assets (BBG)
  • Alibaba Pictures plans $1.6bn share sale (FT)
  • How Companies Justify Big Pay Raises for CEOs (BBG)
 
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Draghi To Address Bond Rout, Inflation, Greece, QE Outlook At ECB Press Conference





At the post-ECB presser, Mario Draghi will likely discuss volatility in euro bond markets, inflation expectations, Greece, ECB flexibility on PSPP implementation, and the economic outlook for the eurozone. Expect security to be tighter at today's event.

 
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