• derailedcapitalism
    10/12/2015 - 22:56
    Stretched debt-to-income, increased contract work (to the detriment of full-time work), and record housing prices are forcing Canadians to monetizing assets through ride-sharing, AirBnB and through...

Deutsche Bank

Tyler Durden's picture

How China Cornered The Fed With Its "Worst Case" Capital Outflow Countdown

China has just cornered the Fed: not just diplomatically, as observed when China's PBOC clearly demanded that Yellen's Fed not start a rate hiking cycle, but also mechanistically, as can be seen by the acute and sudden selloff across all asset classes in the past 3 weeks. Now Yellen has about 365 days or so to find a solution, one which works not only for the US, but also does not leave China a smoldering rubble of three concurrently burst bubbles. Good luck.

Tyler Durden's picture

Key Economic Events Of The Coming Busy Week: ISM, ADP, Trade, Producttivity And Jobs, Jobs, Jobs

It's a busy week for the market, and not to mention the Dow Jones-dependent Fed, which will have to parse through reports on Chicago PMI, Construction Spending, ISM (Mfg and Services), ADP, Productivity and Labor Costs, Factory Orders, Trade Balance, and the weekly highlight: Friday's Jobs reports.

Tyler Durden's picture

Why QE4 Is Inevitable

"The PBoC’s actions are equivalent to an unwind of QE, or in other words Quantitative Tightening. The potential for more China outflows is huge [and] the bottom line is that QT has much more to go. It is hard to become very optimistic on global risk appetite until a solution is found to China’s evolving QT."

Tyler Durden's picture

Here's How Long Saudi Arabia's US Treasury Stash Will Last Under $30, $40, And $50 Crude

Late last year, Saudi Arabia "Plaxico'd" itself and the petrodollar when, in an effort to "preserve market share" and bankrupt US shale producers, the kingdom endeavored to purposefully suppress crude prices. Nine months and billions in liquidated FX reserves later, Saudi Arabia is facing a budget crisis of epic proportions. 

Tyler Durden's picture

The Latest Currency War Entrant: India Warns May Retaliate To Chinese Devaluation

Although we've talked plenty about the impact of the yuan deval on Asia-Pac and LatAm, we haven’t yet mentioned India where yesterday, in the midst of the turmoil, central bank governor Raghuram Rajan sought to calm nervous markets by reassuring the world that India is not, for now anyway, in any danger thanks to ample FX reserves and a low CA.Be that as it may, economic realities are economic realities and a currency war is a currency war, which is why, we suppose, the Indian government’s chief economic advisor Arvind Subramanian thinks the country might just have to hit back.

Tyler Durden's picture

Deutsche Bank's 10 Reasons Why The Market Is Going Lower

Blink and you missed it. With stocks surging back to green and CNBC celebrating, one could be forgiven (were on a goldfish) for believing everything is truly awesome again. However, as Deutsche Bank details, there are ten good reasons why this is far from over...

Tyler Durden's picture

Deutsche Bank Sums It Up "The Fragility Of This Artificially Manipulated Financial System Was Finally Exposed"

The fragility of this artificially manipulated financial system was exposed over the last couple of days of last week. It all ended with the S&P 500 falling -3.19% on Friday - its worst day since November 9th 2011.

Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 24

  • Deutsche Bank Says Rout ‘Very Serious’ as Growth Outlook Dims (BBG)
  • Great fall of China sinks world stocks, dollar tumbles (Reuters)
  • Global Stocks Fall Sharply Amid Concerns About the Chinese Economy (WSJ)
  • Stock Rout Spreads Through Europe After China Plunge (BBG)
  • China stocks give up year's gains as 'national team' stays on bench (Reuters)
  • The Fed Is Looking at a Very Different Dollar Than Wall Street (BBG)
  • French train gunman 'dumbfounded' by terrorist tag (Reuters)
Tyler Durden's picture

Saudi Arabia Faces Another "Very Scary Moment" As Economy, FX Regime Face Crude Reality

Over the weeks, months, and years ahead we’ll begin to understand more about the fallout from the death of the petrodollar and nowhere is it likely to be more apparent than in Saudi Arabia where widening fiscal and current account deficits have forced the Saudis to tap the bond market to mitigate the FX drawdown that's fueling speculation about the viability of the dollar peg. As Bloomberg reports, the current situation mirrors a "very scary moment" in Saudi Arabia’s history.

Tyler Durden's picture

Why It Really All Comes Down To The Death Of The Petrodollar

Last week, in the global currency war’s latest escalation, Kazakhstan instituted a free float for the tenge causing the currency to immediately plunge by some 25%. The rationale behind the move was clear enough. What might not be as clear is how recent events in developing economy FX markets stem from a seismic shift we began discussing late last year - namely, the death of the petrodollar system which has served to underwrite decades of dollar dominance and was, until recently, a fixture of the post-war global economic order.

Tyler Durden's picture

These Currencies Could Be The Next To Tumble In Global FX Wars

Shockwaves from China’s devaluation have conspired with sluggish global demand and an attendant commodities slump to wreak havoc on developing market currencies the world over. On the heels of Kazakhstan's dramatic move to float the tenge, here's which currencies are next in line to tumble.

Tyler Durden's picture

One Week Later: China's Currency War Leads To Global FX Carnage

One of the big problems with China's FX move is that although they've "only" seen a 3% currency fall (in the onshore Yuan) since their announcement last week, as Deutsche's Jim Reid explains... others have subsequently followed suit either deliberately or via market pressure. Emerging Market FX has been falling for 9 straight weeks but the last 2 have seen a dramatic escalation in the carnage...

Tyler Durden's picture

Currency Wars Continue As Kazakh Currency Crashes 25% After Peg Abandoned

Just one day after allowing the tenge to fall sharply in the interbank market and no longer able to take the pain from plunging crude prices, Kazakhstan moved to a free float for its currency overnight, causing the tenge to plunge by a quarter.

Pivotfarm's picture

Aug 19 - PBOC injects $48bn into China Development Bank

The central bank has injected new capital into the China Development Bank (CDB), which provides medium and long term financing to major national projects, in a bid to reinforce its capital adequacy.

Tyler Durden's picture

More Trouble In Turkey As Lira Plunges To New Lows, Bond Yields Soar

Political turmoil, rising violence, and general EM malaise have hit Turkey's currency hard and on Tuesday, the central bank left rates unchanged prompting further weakness in the lira which had already fallen earlier in the session after Emine Nur Gunay, PM Davutoglu's chief adviser, hinted that a rate hike was not in the cards.

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