Deutsche Bank

Spanish Banking Crisis Spreads As Banco Popular Credit Curve Inverts

Having told its employees "don't panic" over the weekend (at the crashing stock and bond prices of Spain's 6th largest bank), it appears investors are ignoring that message as Banco Popular's credit curve has inverted for the first time since 2012 in the biggest red flag yet that Spain's banking crisis is systemic and about to test the EU's bail-in laws.

The Answer To El-Erian's Quandary: It's "A Perfect Storm" Melt Up

"There seems to be a perfect storm of so so growth and falling inflation, enough for the Fed to tighten modestly but being at risk of over doing it.... the easing in our financial conditions index is one of the most extremes on record, thanks to Fed tightening!" 

Frontrunning: June 5

  • Saudis, U.A.E., Bahrain and Egypt Cut Ties With Qatar (WSJ)
  • Saudi-Led Alliance Cuts Ties With Qatar (BBG)
  • Saudi, Egypt lead Arab states cutting Qatar ties, Iran blames Trump (Reuters); Qatar asks citizens to leave UAE within 14 days: embassy (Reuters)
  • London Fortifies Bridges to Protect Pedestrians From Attack (BBG)
  • Bank at Center of U.S. Inquiry Projects Russian ‘Soft Power’ (NYT)

Spain's Sixth Largest Bank Crashes Most In 28 Years On Liquidation Fears

Even as attention has turned once again to Italy as the next possible source of European financial contagion, Spain's sixth largest bank has found itself in freefall over the past few days as concerns grow that the bank may be liquidated unless a last-minute buyer, or source of capital, emerges.

Stocks Set For New All-Time Highs, Nikkei Rises Above 20,000, Oil Slides

Stocks are set for new all time highs with S&P futures up 0.2%, boosted by green markets across Europe and Asia, where the Nikkei rose above 20,000 for the first time since 2015. World stocks are set for new record highs, having already gained 11% so far this year, ahead of today's US nonfarm payrolls which are expected to increase by 185,000 jobs after surging 211,000 in April.

Banks Tumble After BofA, JPM Warn Revenue Will Be Down As Much As 15%

The banking sector is sliding after JPM CFO Marianne Lake warned that contrary to expectations for an ongoing rebound in revenue and profits, the bank's second quarter revenue has been 15% lower from a year ago. And while she said that US economic figures are "solid, not stellar", she blamed the same thing that has been the nightmare of daytraders everywhere: collapsing volatility. 

Quiet Month End Markets Hide "Below The Surface" Fireworks

It has been another quiet session for global equity markets, with S&P futures flat, as are European and Asian stocks, which is perhaps odd, as there was quite a bit of newsflow and, in the case of China, outright fireworks.