Deutsche Bank

Frontrunning: July 28

  • ‘Skinny’ Repeal of Obamacare Fails (WSJ)
  • Bad News If You Make $150,000 to $300,000: Higher Taxes for Many (WSJ)
  • Senators Move to Block Trump From Ousting Sessions (WSJ)
  • Amazon’s Expansion Takes Toll (WSJ)
  • Japan Slaps 50% Tariff on Some U.S. Beef (WSJ)

Frontrunning: July 27

  • Healthcare showdown (Reuters)
  • Tax Overhaul in Doubt With House Stuck on Budget Disagreements (BBG)
  • Dollar steadies after Fed skid, shares hit new highs (Reuters)
  • Samsung Is Closing In on Apple as World’s Most Profitable Tech Firm (WSJ)
  • Sweden's PM Refuses to Resign After Cyber-Security Scandal (BBG)

Global Stocks Hit New All Time High As Dollar Rebounds; Europe Volatile On Earnings Deluge

The levitation continues with S&P futures pointing to - what else - another higher open while European stocks swung between gains and losses on the busiest earnings days of the year (85 of the Stoxx 600 report) which has seen European pharma giant AstraZeneca plunge 15%, the most on record, after its flagship lung cancer trial Mystic failed to show benefits, while Deutsche Bank slumped 4% on a 12% plunge in FICC revenue.

Deutsche Bank Tumbles After Abysmal Trading Results

Deutsche Bank shares tumbled 4% on Thursday after the bank reported a plunge in overall company revenue which slumped to the lowest in three and a half years, as Investment Banking revenue dropped 16%, while FICC tumbled a whopping 12% Y/Y and 30% Q/Q, with CEO John Cryan taking a page out of the Goldman playbook and blaming "muted client activity."

FOMC Preview: Just 2 Things To Watch For In Today's Fed Statement

With the market pricing in 0% chance of a July rate hike, and with no Yellen press conference to follow, there are just two things to watch for in today's FOMC statement: (1) any hints that Fed balance sheet reduction will be announced in September and (2) adjustments to the language discussing the recent disappointment in the rate of inflation (after 4 consecutive CPI misses).

When Will The ECB Run Out Of German Bunds To Buy: Here Is The Math

If the ECB were to reduce the pace of QE to €40bn per month starting in January, it should not run out of German government bonds to purchase until early 2019. On the other hand, if it keeps the current pace of QE, it will run out of paper in late 2018, and even with a downward revised €40bn monthly total, the ECB will have almost no German bonds left to buy in 2019.

Frontrunning: July 25

  • Dollar slumps to 13-month lows before Fed; euro up (Reuters)
  • Overwhelming approval likely for Russia bill (Reuters)
  • Trump to study tougher Russia sanctions bill: White House (Reuters)
  • Unrest bubbles among Trump's key foreign policy aides (Reuters)
  • Abe Overtaken by Rival as Top Choice for Japan Premier in Poll (BBG)

Barclays Exit Of Energy Business Triggers Surge In Oil Options Trades

Several hours before the US stock market opened on Monday, the commodity world was shaken by an unexpected surge in crude options trades, with traders noting that "someone is either moving positions, blown up or getting out of commodities. MASSIVE amount of blocks going through in crude options." As it turns out they were right: Barclays was exiting the last part of its oil book.

Frontrunning: July 21

  • Euro surge to two-year high prompts stocks pause (Reuters)
  • Short Sellers Give Up as Stocks Run to New Records (WSJ)
  • U.S. toughens stance on foreign deals in blow to China's buying spree (Reuters)
  • Trump team seeks to control, block Mueller’s Russia investigation (WaPo)
  • Trump Would Set Off a Chain Reaction by Trying to Fire Mueller (BBG)

Frontrunning: July 20

  • Futures flat as investors await earnings deluge (Reuters)
  • Investors Brace for Clues on ECB’s Tapering Plans (WSJ)
  • When Will the ECB Pull Its Trillions From the Markets? (BBG)
  • Citing Recusal, Trump Says He Wouldn’t Have Hired Sessions (NYT)
  • Trump Urges GOP to Seek Agreement on Health Measure (WSJ)