WTI/RBOB prices were at the lows of the day after last night's huge surprise inventory data from API, but kneejerked higher after DOE reported a surprisingly large crude draw (the biggest since Dec 2016. However, it's clear that refineries are on fire as gasoline and distillates inventories surged by the most in at least 3 months. US crude production rose once again to its highest since August 2015.
After dropping to a $48 handle, WTI bounced off its 200DMA, but remains well down from last week's levels before the DOE-reported surprise gasoline build. The initial kneejerk reaction lower in WTI/RBOB after API reported an unexpected crude build and yuuge gasoline build.
Following API's surprise gasoline build (and small crude draw), DOE confirmed concerns with a surprise build in gasoline inventories (slamming RBOB). Crude inventories drew down for the 2nd week in a row. WTI prices tumbled though as production rose to its highest since Aug 2015.
Despite last week's unexpected crude draw (and product draws) WTI/RBOB has faded since (even with a lower dollar) as OPEC production cut questions trump inventories for now. However, prices tumbled immediately after API report a smaller than expected draw in crude (-840k) and an unexpected build in gasoline (+1.37mm) .
WTI/RBOB prices slipped ahead of DOE data as Canada's growth outlook cut trumped Saudi Arabia's wishy-washy chatter on production cuts. DOE data confirmed the biggest crude draw of 2017 (-2.16mm) and gasopline and distilates saw the 8th week in a row of drawdowns but Cushing's 276k build pushed it to a new record high as US crude production rose once again to its highest sine August 2015.
WTI/RBOB prices jumped intraday on the heels of anonymous and ambiguous headlines about Saudi and OPEC production cut extensions and extended gains on API inventory data. After last week's surprise builds in crude (and at Cushing), API showed a 1.3mm draw in crude inventories - the biggest since Dec 2016. Gasoline and Distilates contonued their season drawdowns also.
Following last night's API-reported unexpected draw in crude, the energy complex was on a tear heading into the DOE data... but that ended quickly with a surprise build in crude and smaller than expeccted draws in gasoline and distillates. WTI/RBOB are notably lower on the data. Another rise in production further stressed markets.
With oil surging back above $51 on hopes of a seasonal inventory drawdown, tonight's API data showed a bigger than expected draw in crude and gasoline. The reaction was a kneejerk higher in WTI as RBOB slipped lower, but amid a big build at Cushing (+1.3mm), WTI also slipped.
WTI and RBOB prices have drifted higher after modest weakness following API's inventory data overnight and then spiked after DOE reported a smaller than expected crude build, and bigger than expected gasoline and distillate draws. Following the lage rig count data, US crude production rose once again to its highest since Feb 2016.
After an early spike on Libya production fears and OPEC production cut extension hope, WTI and RBOB faded all day on dollar strength ahead of the API data. The trend of builds in Crude and draws in gasoline and distillates continued but the gasoline draw was notably less than expected and has sparked selling in RBOB.
After a sizable build in crude and draw in gasoline overnight from API, WTI and RBOB are lower (legged down on Libya production news). DOE data confirmed the API data with a sizable crude build and gasoline and distillates extending their draw streak. US crude production rose once again - the highest in 13 months.
After last week's surprise draw (but big build at Cushing), API reports a bigger than expected crude (and Cushing) build and bigger than expected draw in Gasoline inventories. For now, both WTI and RBOB kneejerked higher but WTI faded very rapidly.
API's surprise crude draw sparked a recovery off Saudi production lows overnight in WTI and RBOB, and DOE's data confirmed it with a 237k crude draw (against expectations for a 3.13mm build). Cushing saw the biggest build since the first week of December but Gaosline and Distillates saw big draws. However, yet another surge in US crude production appears to have trumped the inventory data and WTI/RBOB are fading for now.
After the Saudis spoiled the energy party early on (and tried to talk it back for the rest of the day), API reported an unexpected 531k Crude draw (the first drawdown in 2017). While Cushing saw a notable build (over 2mm - biggest since Dec 2016), Gasoline and Distillates had big draws and that sent WTI and RBOB prices higher.
It seems ever-exuberant energy traders are finally waking up to the reality that the global rebalance is not happening. A record glut of crude and surging production has sent WTI back to a $51 handle this morning (one-month lows) and has weighed on gasoline prices...