Equity Markets

Qatar Crashes In Escalating Gulf Crisis; Oil Fails To Rebound As Global Stocks Dip

S&P futures point to a slightly lower open ahead of today's US non-mfg ISM and Service PMI data. European shares fall, while Asian shares are little changed. Several European countries are closed for Whit Monday leading to subdued trading. Following the latest unexpected Gulf Crisis overnight, in which Gulf nations cut all diplomatic relations with Qatar amid stunning allegations of funding terrorism, oil spiked but has since pared almost all gains.

RBC Warns Equity Markets Have Entered The 'FOMO' Stage

It’s risk-parity heaven right now, notes RBC's head of cross-asset strategy Charlie McElligott, with global equities (developed and EM) AND fixed-income all continuing their torrid rallies, but McElligott warns this is a classic "from worst to first" PM-grabbing into a new "Fear Of Missing Out" stage of the equities-rally.

WTF Chart Of The Day: Yield Curve Collapses To 9-Month Lows As Stocks Hit Record Highs

With yields plunging to 2017 lows, the Treasury curve has collapsed with 2s30s at its flattest since early September (and 2s10s at its flattest since early October). This, as Gary Cohn noted, reflects bond investors' poor outlooks for longer-term growth... which, with equity markets at record highs, is entirely missing from stock investors' minds.

Stocks Set For New All-Time Highs, Nikkei Rises Above 20,000, Oil Slides

Stocks are set for new all time highs with S&P futures up 0.2%, boosted by green markets across Europe and Asia, where the Nikkei rose above 20,000 for the first time since 2015. World stocks are set for new record highs, having already gained 11% so far this year, ahead of today's US nonfarm payrolls which are expected to increase by 185,000 jobs after surging 211,000 in April.

"The Western Status Quo Political System Is Collapsing Into 'Something Else'"

"...as the Western status quo political system collapses into Something Else, how is it possible that our capital markets are not similarly gripped by volatility and stress? What is responsible for breaking the transmission mechanism from political risk to market risk? I’ve got a macro answer and I’ve got a micro answer..."

Global Stocks Rise As Oil Rebounds; Yuan Soars

S&P futures are little changed this morning, while Asian shares rise and European stocks (+0.5%) are poised to snap a five-day losing streak amid a broad-based rally. The pound declined as better-than-expected manufacturing data failed to offset political risk before the impending election, while crude oil gained.

Face Off : Stocks Vs. Bonds & The Economic Outlook

The bond market seems to be telling us that the probabilities of the reflation trade have dropped considerably. Meanwhile, the stock market appears to remain convinced that the prospects for growth and reflation are alive and well. Can they both be right?

Are Stock Traders Actually More Pessimistic Than Bond Traders?

"As a former equity guy, it pains me to say that when the bond and equity markets are at odds, it usually pays to go with the bond guys. Let’s face it, the bond guys are better at math, often smarter, and less likely to fall for a story. Therefore I am a little at a loss regarding this next chart..."

Quiet Month End Markets Hide "Below The Surface" Fireworks

It has been another quiet session for global equity markets, with S&P futures flat, as are European and Asian stocks, which is perhaps odd, as there was quite a bit of newsflow and, in the case of China, outright fireworks.

Paul Singer Warns "All Hell Will Break Loose"

"Given groupthink and the determination of policy makers to do ‘whatever it takes’ to prevent the next market ‘crash,’ we think that the low-volatility levitation magic act of stocks and bonds will exist until the disenchanting moment when it does not. And then all hell will break loose." - Paul Singer

Fink Fears Bond Curve Signals, Cooperman Warn Stocks Ahead Of Fundamentals

US equity markets pushed back into the green this morning just as two heavyweight investors suggested all is not well in the land of exuberance. Blackrocks' Larry Fink warned the equity market is not appreciating the message from the Treasury yield curve (and sees lower growth than Trump hopes for), while Omega's Cooperman warned that markets are fully priced, and ahead of fundamentals.