Equity Markets

Julian Brigden: "This Is What The 'Armageddon Scenario' For Markets Looks Like"

"My base case is always been that you don't get to the Armageddon scenario with weak data. You actually get to the Armageddon scenario when you actually get strong data. The end game for markets, the most dangerous toxic scenario for markets comes when you've got vastly inflated prices and central banks actually need to hike. "

Is Public Equity A Broken Concept?

At its core, the social compact between public equity markets and society is simple: over time, any investor should have access to the equity of important enterprises created by that society.  If that isn’t happening by virtue of some misalignment of incentives, then those need to be fixed.  The alternative – that the winners stay private but the losers are public – is untenable.  Investors will choose to hoard cash and capital will slowly stop circulating to its best possible use.

As Market Tumbles, Investors Rush Into Safe Haven SNAP After Mass Wall Street Upgrade

While US equity markets are shuddering under the uncertainty of President Trump's agenda, it appears investors have found a safe haven for their hard-gambled retirement funds. Following a series of upgrades, overweights, and "buy" recommendations from Wall Street's biggest and brightest commission-takers, SNAP shares are soaring - back to their post-IPO open at $24.

Global Stocks Slide, S&P Futures Tumble Below 50DMA As "Trump Trade" Collapses

Global stocks are lower across the board to start the week, as concerns about Trump's administration to pull off a material tax reform plan finally emerge, pressuring S&P futures some 20 points lower this morning, following European and Asian shares lower, while crude oil prices fall unable to find support in this weekend's OPEC meeting in Kuwait where a committee recommended to extend oil production cuts by another 6 months.

Doubt Rises As Market Liquidity Collapses

Our country has deep structural problems that require deep thinking. Does anybody see evidence of deep thinking anywhere? Or even a debate on how to address them?

Wall Street Explains What Today's Failure To Repeal Obamacare Means For Markets

"The fact this bill, which the President has said flat-out he will make it work for all Americans in general, can't pass is an indication this agenda is going to be more ambitious than this Congress can work with.... It is an indication that investors should not expect the kind of velocity in terms of agenda accomplishments they were expecting when he was elected."

All Eyes On Washington: US Futures Rise On Hope Healthcare Vote Will Pass

Asian shares and S&P futures rose on optimism that today's rescheduled U.S. vote on health care will pass following Trump's Ultimatum to the Freedom Caucus. European stocks gave up some of Thursday’s gains, falling for the fourth time in five days, and moving further away from a 15-month high reached a week ago while the yen weakened for the first time in nine days.

"Trump Trade 1.0" Is Over - Why It Will Take Some Time To Ship Version 2.0

Do not fear: there will be a “Trump Trade 2.0” at some point this year. Either valuations will retreat to the point where they reflect the reality of a legislatively-driven set of catalysts, or Washington will (in its own time) deliver on a pro-growth agenda as the market treads water. Just remember: Washington doesn’t work in New York minutes.