EuroDollar

To RBC, This Is The Single Largest Risk To The Market Right Now

The US Dollar is the “grand unifying theory asset” for nearly any and all “profile” global macro or thematic equities trades in the marketplace right now, as it represents investors being long this “new” version of “economic growth.”  As such, performance is significantly tied to the direction in the US Dollar.

How To Invest In The New World Order

The boom turns to bust as the Eurodollar market breaks. If the cycle gets out of hand, as it did from 2008 onwards, banking solvency is not only limited to local emerging market banks, but to the international banking community at large. This is exactly where we are at now and if history repeats itself, which we believe it will, a new financial crisis is brewing just under the surface as the dollar moves into its second leg.

Chart(s) Of The Week: 'Lombard Street' For A New Age

Gold is collateral of last resort as it is near-universally accepted. Repo fails indicate, very strongly, collateral shortage. Put the two together and you get yet more evidence that central bankers really don’t know what they are doing. And, also like in Bagehot’s day, the repercussions are global.

Financialism, Not Capitalism

In short, we’ve wasted just about ten years calling a depression a recovery, and all because money is so unstable that it has become, for the mainstream as well as mainstream authorities, unrecognizable. If you don’t know what money is, you aren’t going to know when money is a problem.

Toward A New World Order, Part III

A new world order is coming of age and the transition is painful to accept for a Western middle class with a deep-seated sense of entitlement.

Money Managers Have Never Been More Sure That Interest Rates Will Continue To Rise

In August of 2014, amid tapering QE and talk of normalization, speculators in the world's most liquid money-market instruments went all-in with record bearish bets on eurodollar futures. They were wrong and the short-squeeze sparked a slow-motion flash-crash in bond yields (10Y from 2.65% to 1.86% in a month). Today, as we await words, smoke, and mirrors from Janet tomorrow, the world's speculators are even more all-in...

Presenting SocGen's "Most Frightening Credit Chart"

"I sometimes feel like ‘The Grim Reaper’, scouring the research savannah in a ghoulish quest to harvest bad news with a forceful sweep of my scythe. Imagine then my perverse delight when our credit team produced what is one of the scariest charts I have seen for a very long time." = Albert Edwards

The Most Important Market In The World (That You've Never Heard Of)

That so few investors know about this enormous market, its importance, and relevance is frankly pretty shocking. Understanding it goes a long way to understanding why, despite the greatest monetary intervention we’ve ever seen by central banks, we’ve remained in a contractionary environment.