Mario Draghi's job just became a little more difficult, because one day after the head of the ECB surprised markets with a more dovish statement than expected stressing risks for European inflation, on Friday morning Eurostat reported that Euro zone inflation rose by more than expected to the European Central Bank's target and core inflation increased to its highest level in four years.
After two days of back to back triple digit gains in the Dow for the first time since the election, overnight the torrid rally has faded, with European shares and U.S. stock futures little changed ahead of Trump's big unveil of his much anticipated tax cut plan as investors seek new impetus for a flagging relief rally.
World stocks hit a new record high on Tuesday, with investors still cheering Macron's victory in the first round of the French presidential election, supported by speculation about U.S. tax reform and the overnight report that Trump has conceded on the border wall, eliminating a government shutdown as a potential risk.
The accrued momentum in colossal sums of money flowing this way and that way has allowed unreality to reign in international finance for a while. But that is now flying apart. The ultimate reality, politicians and economists will soon discover, is that you can’t create your own reality.
"The central bank is ready for any shocks that should materialize [after the French election]... Intervening very quickly is really very easy now given the instruments we have... But as we have seen in similar cases, no need has really been observed. And the reason is that all market participants know that these instruments are there to be used."
Nothing says existential fear for the EU like buying the f**king French dip on the heels of an overnight poll that simply confirmed expectations that the worst case scenario 'Le Pen - Melenchon' second round was still a significant outlier. French stocks soared 1.7% - the most in 6 weeks - bouncing off the 50-day moving average.
"Paper money appears at first sight to be a great saving, or rather that it costs nothing; but it is the dearest money there is." This is the uncomfortable truth of the euro currency experience. As it seems, people in the euro area about to learn an old lesson: namely that unbacked paper money - which is what the euro represents - cannot be trusted.
The Euro and European bond yields tumbled this morning after Reuters reported 'sources' saying the ECB is wary of fresh policy change (i.e. the expected quasi-tightening) before the June meeting, because it is worried about bond yield spikes.
“You boys were always gonna face this moment,” barked Biggie, sliding into a slow groove."But here’s the thing brotha. The market doesn’t care about health care - you know that. Poor people care about health care. And the market doesn’t care about poor people. No one cares about poor people.” Biggie nodded, smiled, a big golden smile.