European Central Bank

Welcome To The Valium Era

"Nothing shocks this market... Nothing rocks it... Nothing socks it to it... Nothing does... that is, until something does."

Global Markets Rebound As Tech Rout Ends; Sterling Rises

As the Fed begins its two-day meeting, global stocks have recovered their footing and European shares rise, led by a bounce in tech stocks as last Friday's global selloff that started in the sector shows signs of abating. Asian stocks and U.S. futures gain as investors turn their attention to today's Jeff Sessions testimony as well as tomorrow's barrage of macro data including Yellen, CPI and retail sales.

When Will The European Super-Bubble Pop?

In early May, France elected globalist darling Emmanuel Macron. His victory gave the EU a short-term boost. However, it did not change the fundamental problems with Europe’s artificial mega-state.

Frontrunning: June 9

  • UK voters deal May a crushing blow (Reuters)
  • May Fights to Remain U.K. Premier After Election Debacle (BBG)
  • Warning of U.S. desertion, EU chief calls for European defense (Reuters)
  • EU Turns Schadenfreude Up to Maximum After May Election Disaster (BBG)
  • Dollar cleans up as UK election shock stuns sterling (Reuters)
  • Trump tweets on Comey, declares ‘total vindication’ (AP)

Frontrunning: June 8

  • U.K. Election Remains Tight as Voters Head to the Polls (WSJ)
  • Trump Will Be Watching Comey Just Like the Rest of Us (BBG)
  • What we know about U.S. probes of Russian meddling in 2016 election (Reuters)
  • ECB Drops Reference to Future Interest-Rate Cut (WSJ)
  • Euro zone growth revised up to highest rate in two years (Reuters)

The U.K. Election: An Outsider Looking In

"Intuition suggests Saturday night’s horrific terrorist attacks on London Bridge would have solidified Conservative’s lead. But the polls counter-intuitively indicate a move in the opposite direction... It’s notable that May’s lead did not initially narrow based solely on events that were out of her control, as in three terrorist attacks in three months. Rather, it was her vow to make pensioners’ benefits progressive..."

Futures Flat, Market Anxiety Eased By European Bank Rescue

European and Asian stocks, as well as S&P futures were little changed ahead of "Super Thursday's" events which include the U.K. general election, Comey's testimony and the ECB policy decision. That however may change following a Bloomberg news report that the ECB is set to cut inflation forecasts through 2019 due to weaker energy prices, suggesting the "hawkish" ECB announcement some had expected tomorrow has been postponed.

Gold Surges, Global Stocks Slide As "Super Thursday" Risks Loom

With traders realizing that the "Thursday Turmoil Trifecta" looms, world stocks dropped and safe-haven assets rose as investors focused on the growing tension in the Middle East, while caution spread across markets in a week full of risk events including James Comey’s congressional testimony to the ECB’s policy meeting and Britain’s increasingly uncertain election, all in the span of 24 hours. As a result, European and Asian stocks as well as S&P futures all fell, while gold, yen and Treasuries gained.

Spanish Banking Crisis Spreads As Banco Popular Credit Curve Inverts

Having told its employees "don't panic" over the weekend (at the crashing stock and bond prices of Spain's 6th largest bank), it appears investors are ignoring that message as Banco Popular's credit curve has inverted for the first time since 2012 in the biggest red flag yet that Spain's banking crisis is systemic and about to test the EU's bail-in laws.