European Central Bank

If The UK Economy Tanks, Don't Blame Brexit

Last Thursday, the people of Britain voted in a referendum to leave the European Union (EU). Most commentators view Britain’s exit (“Brexit”) from the European Union as bad news for economic growth in the UK and the eurozone. As a result, it is argued, the growth rate in the rest of the world will be also badly affected. It is more likely that, whether the pace of real economic growth over time will weaken or strengthen is going to be set by the pace of expansion in the pool of real wealth.

The Collapse Of Western Democracy

Democracy no longer exists in the West. In the US, powerful private interest groups, such as the military-security complex, Wall Street, the Israel Lobby, agribusiness and the extractive industries of energy, timber and mining, have long exercised more control over government than the people. But now even the semblance of democracy has been abandoned...

The TARGET2 Chart Shows A Breakdown Of The Central Bank Narrative

Despite the alphabet soup of bail-out facilities provided by the ECB, people still do not trust the system. In our view, the TARGET2 chart is the best way to assess trust in central banks and as it clearly shows, the narrative is failing. It seems impossible for Draghi to reestablish monetary confidence.

Global PPT Swings From "Easing Actions Are Backfiring" To Double Central Bank Bazookas In 3 Days

Sunday evening, as the world watched the fallout from what "Remin"-ers said was the end of the world, The BIS warned that central bank 'easing' actions "have started to backfire" and explained what little could be achieved with further stimulus. Three days later, first The Bank of England and then the European Central Bank both unleashed fresh bazookas as The PPT to save the world swung into action to rescue stocks and the all-important global wealth effect. Yet again - no consequences for anything will be allowed...

IMF Warns Brexit "Uncertainty" Means "Even Lower Growth" For UK, EU

“Brexit has created significant uncertainty and we believe this is likely to dampen growth in the near term, particularly in the U.K. but with repercussions also for Europe and the global economy. Prolonged periods of uncertainty and associated declines in consumer and business confidence would mean even lower growth”

Rotten To The Core

Brexit and financial markets’ subsequent reactions expose the corruption at the heart of the world’s socio-political systems...

Is A New Banking Crisis Imminent? Recent Rise In Delinquency Rates Is Shocking

In 2006 it was exactly twelve months after delinquency rates bottomed that the recession began. If the same period applies, we are due for a recession. In the first quarter of the Great Recession in 2008, delinquency rates were only 1.45%. We are already above that level. The fact that increasing loan delinquency coincides with mountains of debt maturing in 2016 and 2017 is a topic for next time.

16 Reasons To Celebrate Brexit's Win

Could Brexit turn out to be a mistake? Yes. Unfortunately, we live in an uncertain world with imperfect knowledge. We can only guess at the future. However, Britain has been capably governing itself for hundreds if not thousands of years. In that light, Brexit appears likely promote the right people and ends.

Why The ECB Thinks Brexit Is Not A "Lehman Moment"

"I think indeed the comparison does not apply because the reaction to Lehman as you may recall was that several markets froze... That was not the case this time." Actually... that's not exactly true is it!!

Global Stocks Rebound, US Futures Jump On Expectation Of "Coordinated Intervention By Central Banks"

After a historic two-day selloff, which as shown yesterday slammed European banks by the most on record the wildly oversold conditions, coupled with hopes for yet another global, coordinated central bank intervention, coupled with modest hope that David Cameron's trip to Brussels today may resolve some of the Article 50 gridlock, have been sufficient to prompt a modest buying scramble among European stocks in early trading, with the pound and commodities all gaining for the first time since the shock Brexit vote.

"Death To All Zombies!"

When things fall apart in stressed complex systems, they tend to fall apart fast. It’s called phase change. Too many things in 21st century life have depended on sheer trust that the people-in-charge know what they are doing. That trust has subsisted on the doling out of money-from-nothing: debt, reckless bond issuance. TARP, QEs, bailouts, bail-ins, Operation Twists, Ponzi schemes… the whole sad-ass armamentarium of banking necromancy. The politicians let it get out of hand. Things that can’t go on don’t, and now they won’t.

Yellen, Carney Pull Out Of ECB Forum In Portugal

How do you know that "things are getting serious"? Well, one way as Jean-Claude Juncker explained before, is that "you have to lie." Another is when central bankers start withdrawing from cental bank gatherings, which as Reuters reported is what both Mark Carney and now Janet Yellen have done, in this case pulling out of the ECB Forum on Central Banking that starts today and lasts through Wednesday.  Clearly they have bigger things on their plate...