European Union

Frontrunning: August 21

  • Trump to present vision for U.S. strategy in Afghanistan war (Reuters)
  • Trump Struggles to Move Past Bannon, Starting With Afghanistan (BBG)
  • Final Plans Under Way as Solar Eclipse Nears (WSJ)
  • Yellen, Draghi Head to Jackson Hole Amid Inflation Unease (BBG)
  • Cohn Solidifies Lead in Race to Replace Yellen, Economists Say (BBG)

Gavekal On The Coming Clash Of Empires: Russia's Role As A Global Game-Changer

Just when China is starting to offer an alternative—an alternative that the US should be trying to bury—the US is moving to “weaponize” the dollar and pound other nations—even those as geo-strategically vital as Russia—for simple domestic political reasons. It all seems so short-sighted.

Frontrunning: August 18

  • Hunt for Driver Widens as Second Attack Hits Spain, Five Suspects Are Killed (WSJ)
  • FT loses it over bitcoin's relentless rise (FT)
  • China Codifies a Crackdown on ‘Irrational’ Outbound Investment (BBG)
  • U.S. Navy, citing poor seamanship, removes commanders of warship in deadly crash (Reuters)
  • ACLU Will No Longer Defend Hate Groups Protesting With Firearms (WSJ)

Will EVs Break The Grid?

While the UK government has vowed to end the sale of all new conventional gasoline and diesel cars by 2040, as part of a wider plan to fight air pollution, there is talk that electricity demand will lead to a fast and dirty response to a strained power grid.

Europe: Migrant Crisis Reaches Spain

Spain is on track to overtake Greece as the second-biggest gateway for migrants entering Europe by sea. The sudden surge in migration to Spain comes amid a crackdown on human smuggling along the Libya-Italy sea route, currently the main migrant point of entry to Europe.

Frontrunning: August 16

  • White House braces for fallout from Trump remarks (Reuters)
  • Trump Drags GOP Onto Dangerous Ground, This Time Over Race (BBG)
  • Trump Gives White Supremacists an Unequivocal Boost (NYT)
  • Trump orders faster permitting on infrastructure projects (Reuters)
  • Trump’s U.S. Senate Pick Advances in Alabama Republican Race (BBG)

Iran Threatens Trump With Restart Of Nuclear Program "Within Hours"

"Those who try to return to the language of threats and sanctions are prisoners of past delusions," Iran president Rouhani said on Tuesday. "If they want to go back to that experience, definitely in a short time — hours and days — we will return to our previous [nuclear] situation very much stronger."

"Sleepwalking Into An Even Worse Version Of The 1930's Depression"

"Governments around the world do not seem to understand the situation we are facing. In large part, this is happening because economists have built models based on their view of how the world works...We seem to be sleepwalking into an even worse version of the Depression of the 1930s."

Frontrunning: August 15

  • White House Risks a Backfire Over China and North Korea (WSJ)
  • Three More CEOs Turn Their Backs on Trump (BBG)
  • Cities ramp up removal of Confederate statues (Reuters)
  • Moon Vents Korea Frustration by Asserting Right to Veto U.S. War (BBG)
  • Iran says its drones near U.S. vessels are safe, following rules (Reuters)

Moldova To Become Foothold For US Military

"The US military presence is expanding everywhere, including areas in the proximity of Russia’s borders, such as Transnistria. This is a very dangerous development to make US forces and Russian peacekeepers watch each other through gun sights. "