European Union

Furious Rally Fizzles Overnight As Futures Follow Oil Lower

Following yesterday's torrid 2.4% March opening rally, which resulted in the biggest S&P gain since January and the best first day of March in history on what was initially seen as very bad news, and then reinterpreted as great news, overnight futures have taken a breather, and erased a modest overnight continuation rally to track the price of oil lower.

"Iron Lady" Summarizes Brexit Decision In 3 Words

In 1990, British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher exclaimed her opposition the common currency and European integration very simply: "No! No! No!" Perhaps it is time to revisit her thoughts as Britain considers leaving The EU.

Frontrunning: February 29

  • Shares fall on G20 disappointment, Fed hike worries (Reuters)
  • China cuts reserve requirement ratio for fifth time since Feb. 2015 (Reuters)
  • China Stocks Tumble Toward 15-Month Low as Stimulus Bets Unwind (BBG)
  • S&P 500 Futures Signal 2nd Day of Stock Losses; Valeant Slides (BBG)
  • Valeant fundamental risks are too severe to suggest the stock is poised for a lasting rebound (WSJ)

Ukraine Collapse Is Now Imminent

Two years have passed since Yanukovich was deposed and, as it turns out, another ruthless clan of oligarchs has taken power. No wonder then that Ukraine is heading for a new wave of violence and chaos. It is a just matter of time before the Ukraine nationalistic militias will take power, resulting in a definite split of the country. Poroshenko can postpone the people final verdict by reviving the war in the east, but in the end, he can not escape the day of reckoning.

Saxobank CIO Is "Shorting Everything" Into "Nasty March"

Fearful of a renewed rise in the US dollar, Saxo's chief economist Steen Jakobsen expects a "nasty March" as this will kill commodity stabilization as well as the ability of emerging markets to live up to their expectations to revitalize the global economy. Despite The Bank of Japan's clear "example of how not to do things," Jakobsen warns other central banks will follow Kuroda's cue and, as he explains below, is "shorting everything" as he sees two major canaries in the coalmine.

The Hidden Persuaders - How The Internet Flips Election & Alters Our Thoughts

We are living in a world in which a handful of high-tech companies, sometimes working hand-in-hand with governments, are not only monitoring much of our activity, but are also invisibly controlling more and more of what we think, feel, do and say. The technology that now surrounds us is not just a harmless toy; it has also made possible undetectable and untraceable manipulations of entire populations – manipulations that have no precedent in human history and that are currently well beyond the scope of existing regulations and laws.

The Donald's Odds Against Hillary

America is crossing into a new era. Trump seems to have caught the wave, while Clinton seems to belong to yesterday. A note of caution: This establishment is not going quietly.

Frontrunning: February 26

  • Fight night: Rubio, Cruz gang up on Trump in debate ploy (Reuters)
  • Laid Bare in Shanghai: G-20 Tensions Over How to Spur Growth (BBG)
  • China Flags Scope for Policy Stimulus, Tweaks Monetary Stance (BBG)
  • Global Stocks Rise With Commodities as China Sees Room to Ease (BBG)
  • Greece seeks to stem migrant flow as thousands trapped by border limits (Reuters)

Frontrunning: February 25

  • Europe shrugs off pre-G20 China stocks slump, sterling steadies (Reuters)
  • China Unveils Its Deliverables for G-20 -- And No Plaza Pact (BBG)
  • Foreign Money Could Be Slow to Enter China’s Bond Markets (WSJ)
  • China Urged to Stomach Much Higher Fiscal Deficit (WSJ)
  • Trump's Momentum Has Republicans in Congress Confused and Cowed (BBG)