European Union

How "Amerexit" Sent Shockwaves Through Financial Markets

Britain's decision to leave the European Union may have sent shockwaves across the financial community; but it was not the first 'difficult divorce' they have faced. The Kingdom of Great Britain saw a different kind of Brexit 240 years ago: the American revolution... and "Amerexit" brought its own wave of chaos, that lasted for a decade.

Spot The Year Of The Tax Inversion

"... the Irish growth numbers 'meaningless', and say nothing about state of domestic economy...we would be laughing if these numbers came out of China..."

China Has No Legal Claim to Most of South China Sea, UN Tribunal Finds

In a widely anticipated, purely symbolic decision, just over an hour ago a UN tribunal, the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague, ruled unanimously in favour of the Philippines in its case against China’s extensive claims in the South China Sea. It found that China’s claim to historic rights in most of the South China Sea has no legal basis, dealing a setback to Beijing which, as the WSJ adds, the U.S. fears could intensify Chinese efforts to establish its control by force.

Frontrunning: July 12

  • Stocks Advance on Stimulus Bets (BBG)
  • Japan to craft stimulus by end-July, may issue construction bonds (Reuters)
  • May ally says Britain to trigger EU divorce 'when we're ready' (Reuters)
  • Last Woman Standing, Theresa May Offers Calm on Brexit Road (BBG)
  • Merkel urges Britain to quickly clarify relationship with EU (Reuters)

Global Stocks Surge On Rising Hopes Of Japan "Helicopter Money"

A quick headline search for the phrases "Japan stimulus" and "helicopter money" is all one needs to understand the very familiar reason for today latest overnight global stock rally, which has sent the USDJPY surging some more, in the process pushing the Nikkei higher by 2.5%, China up over 1% (with the help of some late FX intervention by the PBOC), European stocks up 1%, US equity futures up 0.5%, and so on, in what is a global wave of green on the back of the helicopter money which after Bernanke's visit to Japan, market participants are now convinced is just a matter of time.

Japanese Savers Flood Into Gold Fearing The Endgame Is Close

"For investors, buying gold is similar to casting a no-confidence vote," saidItsuo Toshima, 68, an investment adviser and former regional manager for the World Gold Council in Tokyo. "Gold is the unprintable currency, unlike the yen. The yen’s appreciation in spite of the adoption of the negative-rate policy has kindled skepticism about the policy’s benefits. It’s also led to investors seeking to protect their assets in case Abenomics fails.”

"Something Big" Indeed Came - Bernanke's Japan Visit Unveils "Helicopter Money", Sparks Monster Rally

When we first heard this past Thursday that private blogger and Citadel employee Ben Bernanke was going to "secretly" meet with both the BOJ's Haruhiko Kuroda and Japan PM Abe, we warned readers that "something big was coming." Two trading days later, with the USDJPY higher by 200 pips and soaring after something big indeed came overnight from Japan: nothing less than the first "lite" instance of helicopter money .

Chasing Fools Gold (aka Central Banker Alchemy)

Remember the story of “The Philosopher’s stone?” In a nut shell it was an alchemical substance capable of turning worthless metals into gold. Today, much like those of yore, central bankers across the globe are engaging in that never-ending quest for the ability to turn the worthless – into the precious. And to the ill-informed it seems they have indeed achieved it. That is, as long as you wrap it in the same cloth as found in “The Emperor’s New Clothes.” For if not – the naked truth becomes appalling clear. And it ain’t pretty.

Frontrunning: July 11

  • Global stocks rise as markets anticipate stimulus (Reuters)
  • Global Stocks Buoyed by Rally in Japan (WSJ)
  • Andrea Leadsom Pulls Out of Conservative Party Leadership Race (WSJ)
  • More protesters arrested, police say Dallas sniper plotted bigger assault (Reuters)
  • Voters Add to Election Turmoil by Threatening to Jump Party Lines (WSJ)

S&P 500 To Open At All Time Highs After Japan Soars, Yen Plunges On JPY10 Trillion Stimulus

S&P 500 futures are set to open at new all time highs, with global stocks rallying as the yen weakened and the Nikkei soared on speculation Japan is about to unveil the first instance of "helicopter money"-lite, as well as due to a continuation of better-than-expected U.S. jobs data. Further speculation that Italy's (and Europe's) insolvent banks will be bailed out has further boosted sentiment.

70% Of German Bonds Are No Longer Eligible For ECB Purchases

The surge in sovereign debt since Britain’s vote to exit the European Union last month has pushed yields on about 70% of the securities in the $1.1-trillion Bloomberg Germany Sovereign Bond Index below the ECB’s -0.4% deposit rate, making them ineligible for the institution’s quantitative-easing program. For the euro area as a whole, the total rises to almost $2 trillion.

Brexit Ironies Mount: Belgian Premier Warns EU Won't Help UK Out Of "Black Hole"

The move to punish the UK picks up steam even though such actions will damage the EU far more than the UK. Belgium is the latest country bound and determined to punish the UK. The truth is Brexit is very bad for the EU, and punishing the UK will make matters worse, possibly even starting a global trade war.