European Union

Frontrunning: February 9

  • Airlines, Airports to Meet President Amid Travel-Ban Uncertainty (WSJ)
  • Legal battle pits Trump's powers against his words (Reuters)
  • Trump’s Oval Office Tweets Force CEOs to Choose Fight or Flight (BBG)
  • Companies Plow Ahead With Moves to Mexico, Despite Trump’s Pressure (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Labor Pick Loves Burgers, Bikinis, and Free Markets (BBG)

The End Of The Dollar Standard

"I find myself in the strange situation of cheering Donald Trump’s nascent program of economic renewal for the US, while worrying deeply about the domino effect that may topple a dollar-based global financial system whose health has relied greatly on benign neglect by the United States."

Frontrunning: February 8

  • Stock futures little changed amid earnings rush (Reuters)
  • Workers Set to Strike at World’s Largest Copper Mine (WSJ)
  • For Trump Travel Ban, Hard Questions From U.S. Appeals Court (BBG)
  • Melania Trump Sues Mail Online for $150 Million (BBG)
  • Ivanka Trump oversaw Murdoch daughters’ trust (FT)

Political Worries Keep Europe On Edge As Earnings Push Stocks Higher; US Futures Unchanged

In a mostly quiet Wednesday session, Asian stocks rose overnight along with European bourses, which were led higher by miners after Rio Tinto posted higher profits for the first time in three years and a bigger-than-expected dividend, while India’s Sensex extended declines after the central bank unexpectedly left rates unchanged. US futures were little changed as oil continued to fall after API reported a huge inventory build

German Industrial Production Plunges Most Since 2009

Just day after President Trump suggests Germany is a currency manipulator, and as Merkel looks set to lose her Chancellorship, Europe's powerhouse economy just collapsed in December. Industrial production plunged 3.0% MoM in December - the biggest drop since Jan 2009 and over 8 standard deviations below expectations.

US Trade Deficit In 2016 Was The Biggest In Four Years

While the good news is that for December the US trade deficit narrowed modestly to $44.3 billion, better than expected, the bad news is that for all of 2016, the goods and services deficit was $502.3 billion, up $1.9 billion from $500.4 billion in 2015, and the biggest deficit going back to 2012.

Fight Among Greek Creditors Over "Explosive" Debt Sends Greek Bond Yields Soaring

Greek 2Y bond yields soared, approaching 10% for the first time since September 2016, as an increasingly bitter fight between the nation’s creditors over its fiscal targets raised concerns it is running out of time to complete yet another review of its bailout program, and even sparked concerns a 4th Greek bailout may be in the offing.

Canada At 150: Hate Crimes & The Chinese Question

As it turns 150 years old in 2017, Canada faces a surge in hate crimes amid growing nativist anger against Chinese migrants, Muslim refugees, and public officials for their alleged role in worsening the country’s socio-economic conditions, said community leaders and analysts.

French Spread Blows Out After Fillon Announces Unexpected Press Conference

In latest political twist in the French presidential race, AFP reports that recent French presidential frontrunner Francois Fillon, who has been embroiled in a major graft scandal, will hold a press conference at 4 p.m. at which many traders are expecting he will announce that he is stepping down, although according to subsequent Reuters reports Fillon may launch a "counter attack" against the fake job scandal that has sent his standing in the polls crashing.