Eurozone

The Next Step In Europe's Negative-Interest-Rate Experiment

"Paper money appears at first sight to be a great saving, or rather that it costs nothing; but it is the dearest money there is." This is the uncomfortable truth of the euro currency experience. As it seems, people in the euro area about to learn an old lesson: namely that unbacked paper money - which is what the euro represents - cannot be trusted.

Global Stocks Rebound From Overnight Lows, On Edge Ahead Of Trump-Xi Meeting

S&P futures are little changed at 6am ET, trading at 2347.55 and paring an earlier 0.4 percent drop, on the back of the USDJPY ramp which for the second day in a row has emerged alongside the European open, soothing concerns about the Fed's balance sheet reduction and "some" Fed officials warning that stocks have gotten expensive. While Asian stocks fall in early trading, European bourses rebounded from session lows alongside the S&P and USDJPY.

What Could Possibly Go Wrong? - Why This Time Is Not Different

In the 1990s, stocks continued to rise relentlessly for years, even after then Fed Chair Greenspan warned of irrational exuberance in late 1996.  Last decade, the rally in home prices continued as ever more people appeared convinced that home prices never fall.  This time around, we are eight years into a bull market. As in those times, investors have all but given up betting against conventional wisdom...but this time is not different...

China Surge, Rising Oil Push Global Stocks Higher; S&P Futures Flat As Fed Minutes Loom

European stocks rebounded after a downbeat start, aided by a return to the post-Euro open momentum ignition in the USDJPY while Asian stocks rose after China shares surged 1.5%, the most since August. For now S&P futures are fractionally in the red, although we expect them to turn progressively higher as US traders get to their desks to frontrun the now traditional "post open" ramp.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: Payrolls; FOMC Minutes; Trump Meets Xi

The key economic releases in the US this week are ISM manufacturing on Monday, ISM non-manufacturing on Wednesday, and the employment report on Friday. The minutes of the March FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday, while several Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week. The meeting between Trump and Xi set for Thursday and Friday at Mar-A-Lago will likely attract significant attention.

"A Lot Of News Over The Last 72 Hours But None Having A Dramatic Effect On Trading"

Markets seem more concerned about missing the upside associated w/a final tax deal than they are about being caught long on a tax disappointment, thus for the time being headlines such as “Trump and Ryan discuss taxes” or “tax plan makes progress in Washington” will help to buoy stocks more than “Trump has neither a clear WH tax plan nor adequate staff yet to see through a planned tax reform” will hurt them.

Global Stocks, US Futures Rise On First Day Of Q2 As Trump-Xi Meeting Looms

After the best quarter for US stocks since 2015, global equities have started off Q2 on the right foot, despite caution about the upcoming meeting between President Trump and China's Xi Jinping later this week, and Fed Minutes which are expected to be more hawkish than the FOMC statement.

Julian Brigden: "This Is What The 'Armageddon Scenario' For Markets Looks Like"

"My base case is always been that you don't get to the Armageddon scenario with weak data. You actually get to the Armageddon scenario when you actually get strong data. The end game for markets, the most dangerous toxic scenario for markets comes when you've got vastly inflated prices and central banks actually need to hike. "

After Brexit, 9 Reasons To Be Bullish On Great Britain

Today Mrs. May finally officially announced Brexit and kicked-off the process of divorce from the EU. A disaster for Britain, according to officials in Brussels, Berlin and Paris. Really? Whenever there is broad consensus it is worthwhile to challenge it.

Global Stocks Slide, S&P Futures Tumble Below 50DMA As "Trump Trade" Collapses

Global stocks are lower across the board to start the week, as concerns about Trump's administration to pull off a material tax reform plan finally emerge, pressuring S&P futures some 20 points lower this morning, following European and Asian shares lower, while crude oil prices fall unable to find support in this weekend's OPEC meeting in Kuwait where a committee recommended to extend oil production cuts by another 6 months.

Michael Hudson: Trump Is Obama's Legacy - Is This The End Of The Democratic Party?

"...the Democrats will continue to pose as the Lesser Evil party not really in terms of policy, but simply ad hominum. They will merely repeat Hillary’s campaign stance: They are not Trump... having lost its ability to pose as the party of labor and the middle class; and firmly controlled by Wall Street and California billionaires, the DNC strategy of identity politics encourages any identity except that of wage earners..."

All Eyes On Washington: US Futures Rise On Hope Healthcare Vote Will Pass

Asian shares and S&P futures rose on optimism that today's rescheduled U.S. vote on health care will pass following Trump's Ultimatum to the Freedom Caucus. European stocks gave up some of Thursday’s gains, falling for the fourth time in five days, and moving further away from a 15-month high reached a week ago while the yen weakened for the first time in nine days.