Eurozone

Key Events In The Coming Week

It is a relatively light week in the US, with mainly trade balance, JOLTS and consumer credit data out. The key economic release this week is University of Michigan consumer sentiment on Friday. In addition, there are a few scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week. 86 S&P 500 companies reporting, representing 11% of the index market cap

Global Stocks, US Futures Rise Despite Growing Political Tension In Europe

In a relatively quiet session, which may see US traders sleep in a bit after last night's Superbowl thriller, European and Asian shares rose ahead of Mario Draghi’s testimony at the European Parliament, while US equity futures were fractionally higher (up 0.1% to 2,293) after stocks jumped the most in a week, as traders assessed the trajectory for interest rates while scrutinizing every new Trump tweet.

Carlson Capital: Border Adjustment Tax Would Lead To "Global Depression"

"If the border adjustment mechanism is implemented as proposed we think it will cause a global depression and a major equity market decline. It is still unclear whether it will happen but at the very least we expect that US trade policy will put downward pressure on global growth. When this becomes apparent commodities will correct meaningfully and we will reinvest in inflation beneficiaries."

Schauble Agrees With Trump That Euro Is "Too Low" For Germany, Blames Mario Draghi

The euro exchange rate is, strictly speaking, too low for the German economy’s competitive position,” Wolfgang Schauble told Tagesspiegel. “When ECB chief Mario Draghi embarked on the expansive monetary policy, I told him he would drive up Germany’s export surplus . . . I promised then not to publicly criticise this [policy] course. But then I don’t want to be criticised for the consequences of this policy.”

Frontrunning: February 1

  • Fed Unlikely to Make Its Next Rate Move Wednesday (WSJ)
  • Conservative Gorsuch nominated to top court (Reuters)
  • Gorsuch Is Critic of Legal Doctrine That Bolsters Executive Authority (WSJ)
  • The 4 Rules That Will Explain Neil Gorsuch’s Confirmation Fight (Politico)
  • Trump’s Yen Comments ‘Wide of the Mark,’ Says Japan FX Chief (Reuters)
  • A barb at Germany puts Trump administration on collision course with EU (Reuters)
GoldCore's picture

Last week a new phrase was introduced into our lexicon by Trump Adviser Kellyanne Conway. When asked about why press secretary Sean Spicer had made statements that were (according to the press) unverifiable she said that he had used ‘alternative facts’.

Is A US-German Trade War Imminent?

Trump has accused Germany of not doing enough to increase its imports while having such a sizable trade surplus, and in October, the U.S. Treasury Department listed Germany as a country to watch because of its current account surplus. So is a trade war with the U.S. next?

GoldCore's picture

New research confirms that not just gold but also the other precious metals -  silver, platinum and palladium bullion - act as safe havens, especially from 'Economic Policy Uncertainty.' This is something that is particularly prevalent today due to the 'Hard Brexit' impact on the UK and the Eurozone, risk of trade wars and heightened financial and geopolitical risk under the Trump Presidency.

Futures Fall On Rising Trump Uncertainty; Europe Stocks Rise As Euro-Area Inflation Surges

European bonds fell and stocks rose led by banks and retailers as surging inflation data prompted investors to switch into reflationary assets even as speculation about ECB tapering has returned. Asian stocks and US equity futures declined. The Yen and gold advanced after Trump’s firing of the U.S. acting attorney general added to concern over the unpredictability of decisions in the new administration.