Eurozone

Emmanuel Clinton & The Revolt Of The Elites

Contrary to global perceptions, the biggest issue in this election was not immigration, it was actually deep resentment towards the French deep state (police, justice, administration) - perceived as oppressive, corrupt and even violent.

Key Events In The Coming Week: Inflation, Spending In The Spotlight

With the French election now finally in the rearview mirror, this week's focus is on global inflation releases, with the spotlight falling on the US and China. We also have BoE and RBNZ rates meetings. In other data we note industrial production in the Eurozone, UK and Norway along with US retail sales and Fed speakers.

A Problem Emerges: Central Banks Injected A Record $1 Trillion In 2017... It's Not Enough

Having accelerated for four straight quarters from 2015q4 to a local peak of +5.0 percent in 20167q4, q1 saw the first slowing in global liquidity to a year over year growth rate of just 2.23 percent. In absolute terms it was $29.5 trillion, almost unchanged from 2016q3. This means that even a record $1 trillion in central bank liquidity is no longer enough.

S&P Futures Jump Ahead Of GOP Healthcare Vote, Ignore China Commodity Crash

S&P futures rose on hopes a successful Republican healthcare vote on Thursday will unlock the Trump fiscal agenda, while European shares jumped to a 20 month high on signs Macron is poised to win Sunday's French election coupled with reassuring corporate results, including strong earnings from HSBC, even as Chinese and Australian stocks fell as commodities, and iron ore futures particularly, tumbled.

Global Stocks Hit All Time High As Fed Meeting Begins

With the Fed set to begin its latest 2-day meeting, S&P futures are little changed with European and Asian stocks higher after the VIX dropped to a 10 year low and the Nasdaq rose to record highs, sending the MSCI All-Country Index back to all time highs, as global markets reopen after holiday with investors focusing on stronger corporate earnings, while ignoring weaker than expected "hard" economic data and geopolitical concerns.

Key Events In The Coming Busy Week: FOMC, Payrolls, 131 S&P Companies Report

Besides the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 2-3, and French & Italian politics - the decisive runoff round of the French election takes place this Sunday - this week's releases are dominated by US payrolls expected to come around 170k. The busy release calendar continues with Norges bank and RBA meetings as well as global manufacturing PMIs.

Monetary Metals's picture

Last week we noted that traders couldn't agreen on how the developments in France will affect gold and silver. It didn’t take too long for a resolution and for the speculators to get flushed.

Silver has been falling for going on one year, but clearly since March 1. After one last hurrah at the end of March, it has been taking the elevator down. And by its fundamentals it should be quite a bit lower—0.0125. In any case, we are interested in watching what the fundamentals of the metals are doing.

Global Stocks Pause Ahead Of GDP Report; Nasdaq Hits Fresh Record High

Despite yesterday's whopping beats by Amazon and Google which sent the Nasdaq to new record highs after hours, this morning futures S&P futures are little changed ahead of the closely watched Q1 GDP report, European stocks and Asian equities are slightly lower, oil is higher after Russia said it had reached the 300kbpd oil cut per the OPEC pact, and the dollar was modestly in the red.

Core Eurozone Inflation Surges To 4 Year High As CPI Nears ECB Target

Mario Draghi's job just became a little more difficult, because one day after the head of the ECB surprised markets with a more dovish statement than expected stressing risks for European inflation, on Friday morning Eurostat reported that Euro zone inflation rose by more than expected to the European Central Bank's target and core inflation increased to its highest level in four years.

Euro Spikes On Upbeat Draghi Comments, Then Drops On Muted Inflation Outlook

Well that didn't last long:moments after the EUR spiked on Draghi's upbeat economic comments, it has since filled the entire gap and is back to session lows after Draghi talked down Eurozone inflation saying there is no sufficient evidence to alter inflation outlook, and no evidence of a self-sustaining inflation move.

Stocks Dazed After Trump NAFTA Flop, Tax Plan Disappointment; ECB Looms

European shares are lower, pressured by disappointing results by Deutsche Bank and ending a six-session gain, as Asian equities and S&P futures were little changed after a record-setting rally in world stocks which pushed the MSCI World index to over $50 trillion yesterday, fizzled after Trump released unconvincing tax cut plans prompting traders to "sell the news" while caution set in as the ECB met.