Fail

After Brexit: The System Cannot Hold

The overwhelming underlying principle that we see at work here is that centralization is dead, because the economy has perished. But that is something we can be sure no politician or bureaucrat or economist is willing to acknowledge. They’re all going to continue to claim that their specific theories and plans are capable of regenerating the growth the system depends on. Only to see them fail. It’s high time for something completely different, because we’re in a dead end street.

"Please Don't Pop My Bubble!"

So ride your bubble of choice up--stocks, bonds, housing, bat guano, take your pick--but it's best to keep your thumb on the sell button and your mind attuned to the many needles and nails pressing aginst the thin membrane of the bubble.

"I've Never Felt So Resigned To The Fact That We Are All Stuck..."

"I’ve never felt so ... resigned ... to the fact we are ALL well and truly stuck. The Fed is stuck. The ECB and the BOJ are stuck. The banks are stuck. Corporations are stuck. Asset managers are stuck. Financial advisors are stuck. Investors are stuck. Republicans are stuck. Democrats are stuck. We are all stuck in a very powerful political equilibrium where the costs of changing our current bleak course of ineffective monetary policy and counter-productive regulatory policy are so astronomical that The Powers That Be have no alternative but to continue with what they know full well isn’t working."

The European Union: Government By Deception

The benefits of the union flow to a select few countries, and to a select few within those countries. And ever fewer are selected as economic policies continue to fail. It is frankly beyond me to see why anyone would want to be part of that. It’s not about Boris Johnson or Nigel Farage or George Osborne, that is just more deception. It’s about being ruled by midgets, as Forsyth puts it...the very structure of the EU self-selects for sociopaths and/or worse.

China's Petro-State "Lender Of Last Resort" Conundrum

China is increasingly becoming the petro-state lender of last resort. The primary reason for that is producer states are rapidly running out of time to prevent full scale political implosion on the back of chronic economic pressures. For all the hype around current ‘price recovery’, it means absolutely nothing for most producer states. It’s becoming painfully obvious that the prevailing geopolitical price of survival is structurally out of sync with geological costs of production.

Frontrunning: June 22

  • Nervy global investors revisit 1930s playbook (Reuters)
  • Stocks Trade Near Week High Before Brexit Vote; Commodities Gain (BBG)
  • Yellen May Face Tougher Crowd in House Appearance (WSJ)
  • In SolarCity Bid, Tesla’s Musk Targets Customers Wanting All (BBG)
  • Trump to detour from campaign to visit Scotland golf properties (Reuters)