Fail
Guest Post: What Happens When All The Money Vanishes Into Thin Air?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/24/2012 10:57 -0500It's easy to expand the money supply and difficult to expand the actual production of real goods in the real world. Expanding the money supply and issuing debt that lacks collateral is just like printing quatloos on the desert island: you can print a million quatloos but that doesn't create a single additional coconut. If you print enough quatloos, then people will no longer accept them in exchange for coconuts. You will actually need a real coconut to exchange for fish. This is why Greek towns are reportedly reverting to barter, the exchange of real goods for other real goods. We can anticipate that silver and gold will soon enter the barter as means of exchange that can't be counterfeited or printed by wise-guys (central bankers).This is what happens when abstract representations, i.e. "money," vanish into thin air. Alternative systems of exchanging goods and services arise: actual goods are exchanged via barter, tangible concentrations of value that cannot be counterfeited such as gold and silver are used as a means of exchange, letters of credit or equivalent are traded and settled with tangible goods or gold/silver, and eventually, a means of exchange ("money") that is backed by tangible goods in the real world that can be trusted to actually represent the value being traded might enter the market. That which is phantom will vanish into thin air, while the real goods and services remain to be traded in the real world.
Keeping The Faith With Strategic Alpha
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/24/2012 05:39 -0500Here is the point; Bernanke thinks he can deal with this falling growth outlook and a deleveraging consumer by adding to QE to keep rates very low. I am not sure it will work and if it doesn’t yields could start to rise and the more he throws at it the more yields actually rise as vigilantes will fear pent up inflationary pressures. This is a potential disaster for central bankers and at some point the impact of QE may be proven limited. When it is the central banks will have shot the last bullet. Why is no one discussing this?
MF Global Roundup: the [so-far] Great Escape of "Teflon Don" Corzine; Bankruptcy Shenanigans Exposed; the "F" Word Revisited
Submitted by EB on 04/23/2012 08:25 -0500Has the case really gone cold? Or, are those who are in charge of the investigation, the "regulators" and the trustees, simply spraying teflon on every piece of sticky evidence that could lead to criminal prosecutions?
Guest Post: Epic Fail - Part One
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/23/2012 07:28 -0500- 8.5%
- Alan Greenspan
- Becky Quick
- Ben Bernanke
- Ben Bernanke
- BLS
- Cohen
- CRAP
- Fail
- Federal Reserve
- fixed
- Free Money
- Global Warming
- Great Depression
- Greece
- Guest Post
- Home Equity
- Iran
- Italy
- John Hussman
- Krugman
- Larry Kudlow
- Monetary Policy
- North Korea
- Obama Administration
- Obamacare
- Paul Krugman
- Payroll Data
- Portugal
- Real Interest Rates
- Real Unemployment Rate
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Student Loans
- Unemployment
- Unemployment Insurance
- Volatility
No wonder one third of Americans are obese. The crap we are shoveling into our bodies is on par with the misinformation, propaganda and lies that are being programmed into our minds by government bureaucrats, corrupt politicians, corporate media gurus, and central banker puppets. Chief Clinton propaganda mouthpiece, James Carville, famously remarked during the 1992 presidential campaign that, “It’s the economy, stupid”. Clinton was able to successfully convince the American voters that George Bush’s handling of the economy caused the 1991 recession. In retrospect, it was revealed the economy had been recovering for months prior to the election. No one could ever accuse the American people of being perceptive, realistic or critical thinking when it comes to economics, math, history or distinguishing between truth or lies. Our government controlled public school system has successfully dumbed down the populace to a level where they enjoy their slavery and prefer conscious ignorance to critical thought.
Flashback from 1975: “The NSA's Capability ... Could Enable It To Impose Total Tyranny, And There Would Be No Way To Fight Back
Submitted by George Washington on 04/22/2012 12:09 -0500Senator Frank Church's Prophetic Warning in 1975
Dutch Budget Negotiations Fail, Elections Likely
Submitted by undertheradar on 04/21/2012 08:50 -0500Just a little snippet. Geert Wilders has walked away from the negotiations this afternoon. It may be about a purchasing power reduction for the lowest income class of one percent. This is what the rich fumblers at the CPB have calculated and is considered quite reasonable by some. Of course, the CPB has been wrong on occasion. The SP would like to see elections as quickly as possible, while the PvdA would like to have a debate in the house. Updates posted here as I have the time to add them.
Money As Debt
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/20/2012 20:04 -0500
On a day when Lagarde happily trots out statement after statement that the IMF has another bucketful of promises to solve the world's excess debt problems with its own debtors providing more of the wealth-creating debt in ever-increasing circles of ridiculous indebtedness, we may have found the perfect antidote. Perhaps, given the weakness in European sovereign markets this week, bond market investors have already watched the following presentation. Explaining in simple terms and for the broadest audience Paul Grignon's 'Money As Debt' explores the baffling, fraudulent and destructive arithmetic of the money system that holds us hostage to a forever-growing debt - and how we might evolve it into a new era. Get your popcorn ready.
Pentagon Smears USA Today Reporters Investigating … Wait for It … Illegal Pentagon Propaganda
Submitted by George Washington on 04/20/2012 13:17 -0500Government Smears Journalists Who Investigate Government Corruption
Europe: denial or misplaced values?
Submitted by RobertBrusca on 04/19/2012 17:26 -0500It is curious how people hang on the day to day detail of European debt auctions when logical analysis of the situation tells you quite clearly that the plight of Europe is hopeless.
Rooting for Europe is worse than being a Chicago Cubs fan. The Cubs might win the pennant.
We know that LTRO is creating a great moral hazard by tempting each peripheral euro-nation's banks to buy its own country's bills, bonds and notes. And when they do that the world seems good. But after they have done that the world seems more at risk. And when they do some more things seem fine again, and so on and so on. But step back from the day-to-day grind and ponder how it's going to end. LTRO is buying time so the crisis can get worse and banks can double up on their exposure to increasingly indebted sovereign lenders. How can this be good or end well regardless of 'how the auctions seemed to go today?'
beware and read on...
Guest Post: How States Can Protect Themselves From Financial Collapse
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2012 10:26 -0500
The states of America are, truly, children of the Constitution. The legal framework that is the foundation of state sovereignty and internal administration is unique for perhaps any country in history up to the moment the U.S. won its independence. States were designed to decentralize and keep in check the power of a subservient Federal Government. They were meant to be the guardians at the gate, the barrier to the formation of oligarchy or outright dictatorship. This, of course, has changed drastically. The battle over centralized verses decentralized authority and economy has been going on for quite some time, and is undeniably critical in our climate of crisis now, under a government which is bankrupt in every sense and a currency which is on the verge of calamity... The following is a step by step method that states could use to accomplish the task of insulation from financial crisis and federal control. Much of it hinges on a willingness by state governments to actually pursue independence, which might seem like a naïve dream to most of us. But, in the wake of a major breakdown, and the fall of the greenback, I believe many states will be seeking a way to weather the storm, if only out of a desire to survive, and this includes walking away from their ties to Washington.
Spanish Auction #Fail As 10Y Borrowing Cost Highest In 5 Months
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/19/2012 03:47 -0500
UPDATE: 10Y yields are now +8bps from pre-auction and spreads +10bps and 2Y yields are popping even more according to Bloomberg as ES is -8pts off its pre-auction highs and EUR -40 pips from pre-auction. IBEX and broad European equities are off but credit (financials lagging) is deteriorating.
Heading into the auction saw spreads and yields rallying to around 403bps and 5.77% respectively for 10Y and the EUR rallying solidly over 1.3150 (helping to push the USD down and implicitly S&P futures up). The 2Y started to leak back wider heading into the auction at around 3.37% (perhaps on rotation to bid for the 10Y?) and as the 430ET deadline passed, yields and spreads shifted higher in the 10Y too by 2-3bps. Spain 5Y CDS was 490bps (-5bps) and 10Y a smidge wider at 470bps. The total sold met the hoped for EUR2.5bn with both seeing a rise in bid-to-cover (which we already noted is useless as a statistic (given this was the second highest bid-to-cover ever for a 10Y bond). It was the all-important yield that told the tale of the fail which came at its highest in 5 months and almost 35bps cheap to the previous auction and the 3rd highest ever.
- *SPAIN SELLS EU1.12 B 2014 BONDS
- *SPAIN SELLS EU1.42B 10-YEAR BONDS
- *SPAIN 2014 BONDS BID-TO-COVER 3.28
- *SPAIN 10-YEAR BONDS BID-TO-COVER 2.42 VS 2.17 AT JAN. AUCTION
- *SPAIN 2014 BONDS AVG YIELD 3.463%
- *SPAIN 10-YEAR BONDS AVG YIELD 5.743% VS 5.403% IN JAN.
Markets seem undecided but credit is leaking worse and stock futures are giving up their knee-jerk response gains.
Tick By Tick Research Email - Anorexic Volume
Submitted by Tick By Tick on 04/18/2012 02:09 -0500Low trade volume is sucking the fuel from the global economy
Bank Of Spain Releases Details Of Additional Capital Needs For Spanish Banks
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/17/2012 14:05 -0500First we got Italy telling the world quietly it would not meet its deficit target for 2013, and will in fact experience debt/GDP growth in all outer years, and now we get the Bank of Spain, also taking advantage of today's market rally to dump its own set of bad news, namely that Spanish banks will need to provision another €29.1 billion, and will have higher core capital requirements of €15.6 billion (this is fresh capital). 90 banks have already complied with the capital plan, 45 have yet to find the needed cash. Putting this into perspective, the amount already written-down is €9.2 billion. So, just a little more. And this assumes there are no capital shortfalls associated with any impairment from the YPF -> Repsol follow through, which as Zero Hedge already showed, would leave various Spanish banks exposed. In other news, there is one more hour of trading: we suggest every insolvent entity in the world to quickly take advantage of the interim euphoria, as tomorrow may not be so lucky. Of course, in the worst case, Japan will just bail everybody out.
Giant Banks Now 30% Bigger than When Dodd-Frank Financial “Reform” Law Was Passed
Submitted by George Washington on 04/17/2012 13:20 -0500- 8.5%
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Barack Obama
- Citigroup
- Credit Crisis
- Fail
- Federal Reserve
- Federal Reserve Bank
- Fisher
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- International Monetary Fund
- JPMorgan Chase
- New York Fed
- Richard Fisher
- Simon Johnson
- Tim Geithner
- Too Big To Fail
- Treasury Department
- Wells Fargo
- White House
- Wilbur Ross
Size of Banks Killing Economy … But Giant Banks Have Only Gotten Bigger Since Financial “Reform” Enacted
The Nationalizations Begin: Argentina Takes Over Oil And Gas Producer YPF
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/16/2012 11:52 -0500Update 2: SPAIN SEES FIRMS' INTERESTS AS NATIONAL INTEREST, OFFICIAL SAYS; SPAIN ANALYZING RESPONSE TO ARGENTINA OVER YPF, OFFICIAL SAYS. Oops.
Update: TRADING HALT: YPF (NYSE)-NEWS DISSEMINATION. Translation: YPF shareholders - you have been Corzined. The money has vaporized. Jon Corzine has been appointed to the newly formed Argentina based Board of Dictators. Have a nice day
There are those who naively believe that any time the tables turn against a government, that government will quietly sit in the corner and play by the rules as its power erodes to zero. Probably the best example of just this is Executive Order 6102 when FDR, in a country that supposedly honors contract laws, issued Executive Order 6102, which effectively nationalized all private gold, no questions asked. And while we may not be there just yet, we are getting close, as demonstrated by the most recent developments in Argentina, where president Cristina Kirchner asked Congress to "expropriate" oil and gas producer YPF (which is majority owned by Repsol YPF) thereby "allowing the government to share ownership of the company with oil-producing provinces, a spokeswoman for Ms. Kirchner said Monday." What is the pretext for this move formerly associated almost exclusively with lawless, "communist" third world banana republics? Why "hydrocarbon self-sufficiency" of course. How soon until any and every government follows suit in a world in which excess liquidity sloshing around makes expropriation of vital energy producing assets a key prerogative? And how long until the resultant (accelerating) collapse in faith of the monetary system, leads government to declare "monetary self-sufficiency" and confiscate everything that is not nailed down. In exchange for worthless pieces of paper of course. Just to make it "fair". And just to return the favor, the market just sent Argentina CDS up by 60 bps, to just shy of 1000 bps. You know, because it's only "fair."







