Federal Reserve

Janet Yellen's "Unleash The Liz Warren" Senate Testimony Day 2: - Live Feed

Yesterday she faced the wrath of Hensarling and Duffy in her Congressional hearing, today Fed Chair Janet Yellen pops over to The Senate. We suspect the rhetoric will be a little less aggressive as traders are interested to see if she walks back her comments yesterday that appeared to signal more hawkish "sooner" rate hikes. Of course, the main event will be when Elizabeth Warren is unleashed...

How The FOMC Became Institutionally Corrupt

For the FOMC to reach its mandate of full employment they boost stock prices which then creates employment in bubble jobs. When people feel rich, they spend more money on the low quality bubble jobs, and hence employment reacts accordingly. This is obviously entirely unsustainable as spending paid for by feelings manipulated by the FOMC accounts to nothing more than pure capital consumption, and the money flow will disappear as soon as the FOMC tighten the screw and the good feeling disappears along with the stock market gains.

Frontrunning: July 16

  • Greece licks wounds after bailout vote, ECB move expected (Reuters)
  • Lose-Lose: Pushing Greece Out of Euro Is Costlier Than Write-Off (BBG)
  • EMU brutality in Greece has destroyed the trust of Europe's Left (Telegraph)
  • Schaeuble Shrugs Off Greek Vote Saying Euro Exit Is Best (BBG)
  • Merkel’s tough tactics prompt criticism in Germany and abroad (FT)
  • Investors Get Caught in Oil’s Slippery Wake (WSJ)
  • Obama Girds for Battle With Congress on Iran Deal (WSJ)

Janet Yellen's "Humphrey-Hawkins" 'We're Not Above The Law' Testimony - Live Feed

While Janet Yellen's prepared remarks were her normal bland data-dependent-when-we-want-to-be, rate-hikes-maybe-sooner-or-later self, we suspect the Q&A of The Fed Chair's Humphey-Hawkins testimony will be worth the price of admission. Face to face with Jeb Hensarling - who dares to demand The Fed respond to Congressional probes - will be a highlight but it will be interesting to see if the politicians suck up to their debt-monetizer-in-chief or try to score politically populist points with elections not so very far away...

Yellen Statement To Congress: Rate Hike "Appropriate At Some Point This Year" If Economy Evolves As Expected - Full Text

Key highlights from the first day of Janet Yellen's testimony before Congress: " If the economy evolves as we expect, economic conditions likely would make it appropriate at some point this year to raise the federal funds rate target, thereby beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. Indeed, most participants in June projected that an increase in the federal funds target range would likely become appropriate before year-end. But let me emphasize again that these are projections based on the anticipated path of the economy, not statements of intent to raise rates at any particular time."

Chinese Stock Plunge Resumes With 1200 Stocks Halted Limit Down; Yellen, Greek Elections On Deck

Just when the Chinese plunge protection team (and "arrest shortie" task force) seemed to be finally getting "malicious selling" under control, first we saw a crack yesterday when the composite broke the surge of the past three days as a result of yet another spike in margin debt funded purchases, but it was last night's reminder that "good news is bad news" that really confused the stock trading farmers and grandmas, which goalseeked Chinese economic "data" beat across the board, with Q2 GDP coming solidly above expectations at 7.0%, and retail sales and industrial production both beating, but in the process raising doubts that the PBOC will continue supporting stocks.

Ron Paul Warns "Greece Today, America Tomorrow?"

The Greek crisis provides a look into what awaits us unless we stop overspending on warfare and welfare and restore a sound monetary system. While most commentators have focused on Greece’s welfare state, much of Greece’s deficit was caused by excessive military spending. Even as its economy collapses and the government makes (minor) cuts in welfare spending, Greece’s military budget remains among the largest in the European Union. Congress will only reverse course when a critical mass of people reject the entitlement mentality and understand that the government is incapable of running the world, running our lives, and running the economy.

Diminishing Returns On Central-Planning Policy Extremes = 2016 Crash

The problem with these policy extremes is that they are so painfully visibly acts of central-planning desperation. If things are as positive as we're told, then why are central planners forced to impose such absurdly extreme policies to keep the status quo from imploding? If these policies worked, why are interest rates still pegged to zero after six years of "growth" and the inflation of monumental asset bubbles? If these policies don't work (and they obviously don't, otherwise the authorities could have normalized interest rates and ceased quantitative easing, stock purchases, plunge protection schemes, etc. many years ago) and central planners keep doing more of what has failed, then the only possible conclusions are...

Frontrunning: July 14

  • Greek lawmakers split over bailout as vote looms (Reuters)
  • Greek Bailout Rests on Asset Sale Plan That Already Failed (BBG)
  • Greece Needs $25 Billion to Get Through August, Scicluna Says (BBG)
  • Tsipras Enters Parliament Den to Sell Aid Deal to Greeks (BBG)
  • Greece makes samurai bond repayment (FT)
  • Iran, World Powers Have Reached Nuclear Agreement (BBG)
  • Janet Yellen’s Fed Flounders in Political Arena (WSJ)

"Someone Has To Be Held Accountable", House Committee Presses Fed On Leaks

When last we checked in with Rep. Jeb Hensarling, the Chairman of the House Committee on Financial Services, he was in the process of learning a frustrating lesson about central bankers in the post-crisis world. Namely, that whatever pretension of accountability the position of Fed chair retained in the lead up to the crisis disappeared entirely when Ben Bernanke 'saved the world' from financial armageddon in 2008.

EconMatters's picture

What is a Market?

What happened in the China stock market is the latest culmination of the slippery slope of governmental and central bank intervention in financial markets.....