Federal Reserve

Frontrunning: July 13

  • Feuding U.S. Senate Republicans to get revised healthcare bill (Reuters)
  • Draghi May Address Future of ECB Stimulus at Jackson Hole (WSJ)
  • BOJ seeks to tamp down speculation on tapering (Nikkei)
  • Iran’s Stature Grows as Rivals Quarrel (WSJ)
  • China June Trade Data Buoyed by Robust Demand at Home and Abroad (BBG)

Loonie Bulls? Sold To You!

"Sure Poloz is more hawkish, but to a large extent, his policy decisions will be driven by the Canadian economy’s performance. Given the high reliance on real estate, the last thing Canadian dollar bulls should be hoping for is higher rates. Both higher rates and a higher Loonie will sow the seed for its descent."

European Stocks Soar To 2nd Biggest Day In 10 Months

Aside from the post-Macron first-round-win in April, stocks across Europe surged to their best day since last September today, surging higher after Yellen's dovish comments, presumably due to the market's belief that as goes The Fed, so goes the rest of the hawkish hangers-on...

On Borrowed Time

"...having now weaponized short term lending rates, the nukes can’t be put back in their silos..."

Frontrunning: July 12

  • Yellen to Address Interest Rates, Balance Sheet (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rebound as Dollar Dips on Trump Revelations (BBG)
  • Trump Jr.'s Russia emails could trigger probe under election law (Reuters)
  • Trump Jr. Emails Fan the Flames of Russia Probe (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Credibility Dealt Blow by His Son’s Emails (BBG)

All Eyes On Yellen As Dollar Slumps On Trump Revelations, Stocks Rebound

The dollar was broadly weaker after dovish comments from Fed Governor Lael Brainard amid reverberations from reports of Donald Trump Jr.’s contact with a Russian lawyer; European equities rebounded with oil while S&P futures were 0.2% higher at 2,428 as traders eagerly await Janet Yellen’s Congressional testimony for further clues on the trajectory of monetary policy while the Bank of Canada is expected to hike rates later.

Welcome To Donald Trump's Very Own Big, Fat, Ugly Bubble

"...the Fed is only now beginning to apprehend the train-wreck that lies dead ahead (the June FOMC minutes were grasping for something dimly worrisome)... The Donald now owns the Bubble and has left his Presidency and the American economy squarely in harms’ way..."

Frontrunning: July 11

  • Trump Looks to Wall Street for Fed Bank Regulator (WSJ)
  • Rates play prods dollar to four-month high versus yen, kiwi dollar falls (Reuters)
  • Kaspersky Lab Has Been Working With Russian Intelligence (BBG)
  • Buffett’s Berkshire Moves Away From Stock Picking (WSJ)
  • OPEC's Barkindo says all producers should help balance market (Reuters)