Federal Reserve

Do Our Central Planners Really Believe This Will End Well?

With concepts like wealth effects (the illusion of being rich, when you are not) and propensity to consume, our leaders actually believe they can sustain economic prosperity without proper wealth creation. The future path is thus laid down for us and there is nothing we can do at this juncture to avoid the consequences of our past folly.

GoldCore's picture

Gold forecasting is a mugs game at the best of times but given the uncertain geo-political situation, the fragile banking system and the very strong fundamentals for gold, it is hard to argue with Barnabas Gan of OCBC  or BMI. Gold should be meaningfully higher in the coming months and into 2017 as investors diversify into gold. Or rather we are likely to see dollars, euros, pounds and other fiat currencies continue to be devalued versus gold.

Why The Feds Will Lose Their War On The Markets

For now, the war serves its real purpose: to increase the power and wealth of the Deep State insiders. But it is a war that the feds will ultimately lose. Trying to suppress markets is like putting a giant cork in the mouth of a volcano. It doesn’t stop the eruption; it just makes it more violent.

What Bridgewater's Ray Dalio Told The New York Fed

  • this isn’t a normal business cycle and we are likely in an environment of abnormally slow growth
  • the current tools of monetary policy will be a lot less effective going forward
  • the risks are asymmetric to the downside
  • the impatience with economic stagnation, especially among middle and lower income earners, is leading to dangerous populism and nationalism.

The Noose Is Tightening Quickly On The Global Economy

At bottom, it is not central bank stimulus and intervention alone that drives equities and bond markets; it is the naive faith and willful ignorance of average market participants.  There is a problem with this kind of economic model, however.  Reality is never kept in check indefinitely.  Fiscal truths will be exposed, one way or another.

This "Long Run" Won't Be Long Enough

In the long run reality is reality, not what the powers would like it to be or what they try to con the masses into believing it is. Don’t give up hope! The long run is short enough that most of us won’t be dead when it arrives.

Absurd Thinking

...it’s pretty obvious where things are headed. This isn’t a political problem. It’s an arithmetic problem. And the math doesn’t add up. The alternative is to assume that the Fed possesses some magical fairy dust to fix everything without any consequences... or that there will never be a recession ever again until the end of time.

European, EM Stocks Slide On ECB Taper Concerns; US Futures Flat

With China on holiday, overnight sessions remain relatively quiet: at this moment, S&P500 futures are little changed as European stocks fall for first day in seven, on yesterday's concern that the ECB is moving toward tightening monetary policy; Asian indices rose slightly for third day. WTI climbs to $49.40, the highest since June 30 after yesterday's surprisingly large API crude draw report.