Ford

News That Matters

• MOAR: Euro-Area Growth Seen Slowing in Sign More Stimulus May Be Ahead (BBG)
• MOAR: Japan's wage growth slows in August, keeping pressure on BOJ for more stimulus (Reuters)
• MOAR: Stocks, Copper, Emerging Markets Jump as Fed Delay on Rates Seen (BBG)
• And yet... Central Banks Lose Bond-Market Credibility as Woes Mount (BBG)
• World Bank cuts Asia growth forecast on China and US rates (BBC)

“We got a catered meal of hot dogs and hamburgers as our thanks while others, I’m sure, got big bonuses."

The unforeseen consequences of the advent of electric cars will reverberate much farther than the demise of dealerships and significant shifts in market share in the auto industry.

Yet another auto-maker has lied. Fiat Chrysler Automobiles US says in a statement that it has identified deficiencies in its TREAD reporting and has promptly notified NHTSA. One cannot help but wonder what came first, a leak or some conscience, but as NHTSA notes this means FCA under-reported the number of deaths and injuries that the automaker may be responsible for.

Whether it’s the economy, climate, the planet, warfare, your future obligations, your pensions, the future of your children, nobody in power tells you the truth. Human life is fast losing the value we would like to tell ourselves we assign to it. We don’t, do we? Our technological advances haven’t come with moral advances, quite the contrary, our morals turn out to be a thin layer of mere cheap veneer. What advances we’re making are the last death rattle of a society in decline, and a dying civilization.

As proxy wars morph closer and closer to outright confrontations, the Cold War 2.0 meme continues to mount and questions arise of how this rapidly escalating sabre-rattling will end. With that in mind it is perhaps worth remembering Vasili Arkhipov; and how - at the height of The Cold War (with the civilized world on the brink of extinction) - one person can indeed change the fate of the world.

Some people will never learn... ever. What is happening today is nothing more than rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. The iceberg has been struck, we’re taking on water, and this sucker is going to sink. Game Over.

For the 4th week in a row , US oil rig counts declined (down 4 to 640) leaving the count as 10-week lows. This is the largest 4-week decline since May. Crude prices are undecided on how to react for now with stop runs higher and lower so far...

In many ways, the overnight market has so far been a reversal of yesterday, when a stable Asia session (with China stocks rising) gave way to a European tumble which in turn dragged the US lower.

• Contrarian CEOs tell the Fed: Go ahead, raise my rates (Reuters)
• Goldman Warns Markets Unprepared for Fed as Treasuries Seesaw (BBG)
• Investors Look Beyond Fed Meeting, See Low Rates (WSJ)
• Volatility seen lingering no matter what the Fed does (Reuters)
• What Rising Interest Rates Would Mean for You (BBG)
• China Stocks Jump in Last Hour of Trading on State Support Signs (BBG)
• No Escape for China Hedge Funds Overwhelmed by Stocks Crash (BBG)
• Hedge Fund Bridgewater Defends Its ‘Risk-Parity’ Strategy (WSJ)

The party is over for tight oil. Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies. Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues. EIA said that U.S. production will fall by 1 million barrels per day over the next year and that, “expected crude oil production declines from May 2015 through mid-2016 are largely attributable to unattractive economic returns.” IEA made the point more strongly. “..the latest price rout could stop US growth in its tracks.”

• China stocks resume sharp slide as economic worries mount (Reuters)
• OECD head says sees further cut to global growth forecasts (Reuters)
• The U.S. Dollar Is Gaining Like It's the 1980s — For Better or Worse (BBG)
• Glencore Slumps to Record Low, Erasing Gains Since Debt Plan (BBG)
• Woman killed, 400 homes destroyed by California wildfire (Reuters)
• Why Morning Is the Worst Time to Trade Stocks (WSJ)
• German Investor Confidence Damped by Weaker Emerging Markets (BBG)

News That Matters

With Saudis blowing off an OPEC leaders meeting, Iran slashing prices to 3 year lows inventories rising rapidly but US production dropping quickly, and Goldman calling for $20 oil possible, it has been a busy (and mixed) week for oil news. Add to that the seasonal lull amid refinery slowdown/repairs and Today's 10 rig drop in US oil rig count to 652 (following last week's 12 rig drop) is the biggest 2-week drop in 4 months just adds to the noise with Texas rig count dropping most (-9 to 366). Crude prices are rising modestly as US rig count drops back to 2-months lows.