Ford

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Frontrunning: December 4





  • Two weeks ago here: The Latest Greek "Bailout" In A Nutshell: AAA-Rated Euro Countries To Fund Massive Hedge Fund Profits... and now on Bloomberg: "Hedge Funds Win as Europe Will Pay More for Greek Bonds" (BBG)
  • Oracle sends shareholders cash as tax uncertainty looms (Reuters)
  • GOP Makes Counteroffer In Cliff Talks (WSJ)
  • Iran says captures U.S. drone in its airspace (Reuters)
  • IMF drops opposition to capital controls (FT)
  • Vogue Editor Wintour Said to Be Possible Appointee as U.K. Envoy (BBG)
  • Juncker Stepping Down French Finance Minister to Head Euro Group? (Spiegel)
  • Australia cuts rates to three-year low (FT)
  • Europe’s banking union ambitions under strain (Reuters)
  • EU Nations Eye New ECB Bank Supervisor Amid German Doubts (BBG)
  • Frankfurt's Ambitions Get Cut Back (WSJ)
  • House Republicans Propose $2.2 Trillion Fiscal-Cliff Plan (BBG)
 
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Frontrunning: November 30





  • Turns out no free lunch after all: Greeks rage against pension calamity (Reuters)
  • Athens banks told of debt buyback ‘duty’ (FT)
  • U.N. Gives Palestinians 'State' Status (WSJ)
  • Obama's Cliff Offer Spurned (WSJ)
  • Republicans Reject Obama Budget as He Sells It to Public (Bloomberg)
  • Macau Gangster Who Missed Boom to Be Freed After 14 Years (Bloomberg)
  • China Economic Optimism Returns in Poll as Xi Beats Hu (Bloomberg)
  • Spain May Escape European Bailout, Former ECB Board Member Says (Bloomberg)... but they won't
  • After a bashing, BOJ weighs "big bang" war on deflation (Reuters)
  • Recession Left Baby Bust as U.S. Births Lowest Since 1920 (Bloomberg)
  • Japan unveils second Y880bn stimulus package (FT)
 
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Frontrunning: November 28





  • Egypt protests continue in crisis over Mursi powers (Reuters)
  • Greece hires Deutsche, Morgan Stanley to run Greek voluntary debt buy back, sources say (Kathimerini)
  • Executives' Good Luck in Trading Own Stock (WSJ)
  • Hollande Presents Mittal Nationalization Among Site Options (Bloomberg)
  • Eurozone states face losses on Greek debt (FT)
  • Spain's rescued banks to shrink, slash jobs (Reuters)
  • EU Approves Spanish Banks' Restructuring Plans (WSJ)
  • At SAC, Portfolio Managers Are Treated Like Stocks (BBG)
  • China considers easing family planning rules (Reuters)
  • European Court to Rule Over ECB’s Secret Greek File (BusinessWeek)
  • And another top tick indicator: Asia Funds Buy London Offices in Bet Volatility Is Past (Bloomberg)
  • Harvard Doctor Turns Felon After Lure of Insider Trading (BBG)
  • Zucker Is Lead Candidate to Head CNN (WSJ) - it's not true until CNN misreports it
  • Iran "will press on with enrichment:" nuclear chief (Reuters)
 
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Frontrunning: November 27





  • OECD slashes 2013 growth forecast (FT)
  • Fiscal Cliff Compromise Elusive as Congress Returns (Bloomberg)
  • China’s PBOC Chief Search Spurs Focus on Finance Regulators (Bloomberg)
  • Elected, but Still Campaigning (WSJ)
  • Pentagon Readies Options for Afghanistan Force After 2014 (Bloomberg)
  • Greece Wins Easier Debt Terms as EU Hails Rescue Formula (Bloomberg)
  • Monti presses Cameron for EU referendum (FT)
  • Welcome, Mr Carney – Britain needs you (FT)
  • Argentina seeks halt to $1.3bn debt order (FT)
  • Asean chief warns on South China Sea disputes (FT)
  • South Korea Tightens FX Rules to Temper Won Surge (WSJ)
 
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Frontrunning: November 26





  • Goldman Turns Down Southern Europe Banks as Crisis Lingers (Bloomberg)
  • Euro Ministers Take Third Swing at Clearing Greek Payment (Bloomberg)
  • Chamber Sidestepped in Obama’s Talks on Avoiding Fiscal Cliff (Bloomberg)
  • Republicans and Democrats Differ on Taxes as Fiscal Cliff Looms (Bloomberg)
  • Republicans bargain hard over fiscal cliff (FT)
  • Catalan Pro-Independence Parties Win Regional Vote (BBG)
  • Shirakawa defends BoJ from attack (FT)
  • Run-off looms in Italy’s centre-left vote (FT)
  • BOJ rift surfaces over easing as political debate heats up (Reuters)
  • Barnier seeks ‘political will’ on bank union (FT)
  • New BOJ Members Sought More-Expansionary Wording (Bloomberg)
  • Osborne May Extend U.K. Austerity to 2018, IFS Says (Bloomberg)
 
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Guest Post: U.S. Shale Goes Boom, Rest Of World Goes Bust





OPEC, in its World Oil Report, said there's an overall sense that developing shale oil and natural gas could start to redefine the global energy mix. In the United States, the cartel said shale natural gas production alone grew by more than 60 percent from 2010 to 2012.  For shale oil, supplies in the United States have already passed the 1 million barrel-per-day mark. Though shale reserves may ultimately be a game changer, said OPEC, outside the United States, the sector is in its infancy.

 
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Frontrunning: November 12





  • Jefferies to be bought by Ian Cumming's Leucadia in an all-stock deal for $3.59 billion or about $17/share (WSJ)
  • FBI Scrutinized on Petraeus (WSJ)
  • Identity of second woman emerges in Petraeus' downfall (Reuters)
  • SEC staffers used government computers for personal use (Reuters)
  • Japan edges towards fifth recession in 15 years  (FT)
  • Europe Finance Chiefs Seek Greek Pact as Economy Gloom Grows (BBG)
  • Americans Say Europe Lesson Means Act Now as Austerity Will Fail (BBG) - of course it would be great if Europe had ever implemented austerity...
  • Greece battles to avert €5bn default  (FT)
  • You don't bail out the US government for nothing: No Individual Charges In Probe of J.P. Morgan (WSJ)
  • Israel Warns of Painful Response to Fire From Gaza, Syria (BBG)
  • Greece's far-right party goes on the offensive (Reuters)
  • Don’t fear fiscal cliff, says Democrat  (FT)
  • Apple Settles HTC Patent Suits Shifting From Jobs’ War (BBG)
  • Man Set on Fire in Argentina Over Debt (EFE)
  • Iraq cancels $4.2-billion weapons deal with Russia over corruption concerns (Globe and Mail)
  • An Honest Guy on Wall Street (Bloomberg)
 
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How Targeted Quote Stuffing "Denial Of Service" Attacks Make Stock Trading Impossible





Back in the summer of 2010, when the SEC was still desperate to (laughably) scapegoat the May 6 Flash Crash on Waddell and Reed, in an attempt to telegraph to the public that it was in control of the HFT takeover of the stock market (an attempt which has since failed miserably as days in which there are no occult trading phenomena have become the outlier and have resulted in the wholesale dereliction of stock trading by retail investors), we first presented and endorsed the Nanex proposal that the flash crash was an "on demand" (either on purpose or by mistake) event, one which occurred as a result of massive quote stuffing which prevented regular way trading from occuring and resulting in a 1000 DJIA point plunge in minutes  (the audio track to which is still a must hear for anyone who harbor any doubt the market is "safe"). It turns out that in the nearly 3 years since that fateful market crash, not only has nothing been done to repair the market (ostensibly broken beyond repair and only another wholesale crash, this time without DKed trades, and bailed out banks, could possible do something to change the status quo) but the Denial of Service (DoS) attacks that HFT algos launch, for whatever reason, have become a daily occurrence as the following demonstrations from Nanex confirm beyond a shadow of a doubt.

 
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Frontrunning: November 2





  • Scope of Sandy's devastation widens, death toll spirals (Reuters)
  • On Staten Island, cries for help replaced by a loss for words (Reuters)
  • China responds to Japan’s provocation (FT)
  • Japan governments open to compromise to avoid “fiscal cliff” (Reuters)
  • It's Global Warming, Stupid (Businessweek)
  • Sharps says there is "Material Doubt" about its ability to survive (Bloomberg)
  • Thomson Reuters operating profit slips, trading faces pressure (Reuters)
  • Germany's Schaeuble says debt reduction is global task (Reuters)
  • The Luxury Repo Men (Businessweek)
  • Deutsche Bank Faces Top Surcharge as FSB Shuffles Tiers (Bloomberg)
  • Storm over ‘Lagarde list’ intensifies (FT)
  • Greek, European Officials Dispute Budget Reprieve (WSJ)
  • Rivals part ways over economy (FT)
 
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Bill Gross: "Ours Is A Country Of The SuperPAC, By The SuperPAC, And For The SuperPAC"





"Obama/Romney, Romney/Obama – the most important election of our lifetime? Fact is they’re all the same – bought and paid for with the same money. Ours is a country of the SuperPAC, by the SuperPAC, and for the SuperPAC. The “people” are merely election-day pawns, pulling a Democratic or Republican lever that will deliver the same results every four years. “Change you can believe in?” I bought that one hook, line and sinker in 2008 during the last vestige of my disappearing middle age optimism. We got a more intelligent President, but we hardly got change. Healthcare dominated by corporate interests – what’s new? Financial regulation dominated by Wall Street – what’s new? Continuing pointless foreign wars – what’s new? I’ll tell you what isn’t new. Our two-party system continues to play ping pong with the American people, and the electorate is that white little ball going back and forth over the net. This side’s better – no, that one looks best. Elephants/Donkeys, Donkeys/Elephants. Perhaps the most farcical aspect of it all is that the choice between the two seems to occupy most of our time. Instead of digging in and digging out of this mess on a community level, we sit in front of our flat screens and watch endless debates about red and blue state theologies or listen to demagogues like Rush Limbaugh or his ex-cable counterpart Keith Olbermann."

 
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Frontrunning: Halloween 2012 Edition





  • In Darkened NYC, Safety On The List Of Concerns (AP)
  • New York Subway System Faces Weeks to Recover From Storm (Bloomberg) ... as we said
  • Power Outages May Last More Than a Week (WSJ)... same
  • U.S. stock markets to reopen on Wednesday after storm (Reuters)
  • Questions Cloud Market Reopening (WSJ)
  • Apple revolution shows signs of reboot (FT)
  • Euro Chiefs Set to Grant Greece Extension Amid Squabbles (Bloomberg)
  • Italy Bank Poll Casts Shadow Over Savings (WSJ)
  • Shocked UBS staff take to Twitter (FT)
  • Corporate China hit by unpaid bills (FT)
  • Panasonic Posts Loss of Nearly $9 Billion (WSJ)
  • BoJ independence called into question (FT)
  • Barclays hit by fresh U.S. investigations (Reuters)
  • Adoboli’s Girlfriend Said Confess, Co-Worker Said to Run (Bloomberg)
 
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Overnight Sentiment: Cloudy, If Not Quite Frankenstormy





It is cloudy out there as Sandy enters the mid-Atlantic region, although for all the pre-apocalypse preparations in New York, the Frankenstorm may just be yet another dud now that its landfall is expected to come sufficiently south of NYC to make the latest round of Zone 1 evacuations about overblown as last year's Irene hysteria (of course it will be a gift from god for each and every S&P company as it will provide a perfect excuse for everyone to miss revenues and earnings in Q4). That said, Wall Street is effectively closed today for carbon-based lifeforms if not for electron ones, and a quick look at the futures bottom line, which will be open until 9:15 am Eastern, shows a lot of red, with ES down nearly 10 ticks (Shanghai down again as the same old realization seeps day after day - no major easing from the PBOC means Bernanke and company is on their own) as the Friday overnight summary is back on again: Johnny 5 must defend 1400 in ES and 1.2900 in EURUSD at all costs for just two more hours.

 
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Frontrunning: October 26





  • Greece Faces Need for Additional Assistance: €30 billion (WSJ)
  • Greeks fail to agree on bailout terms (FT)
  • The report that got the NYT banned on the Chinese interweb: Billions in Hidden Riches for Family of Chinese Leader (NYT)
  • Bo Xilai: China parliament expels disgraced politician (BBC)
  • Japan Adds Stimulus Amid Threat of Bond-Sale Disruption... $9.4 billion (Bloomberg)
  • Hubbard Said to Prefer Treasury Chief to Fed If Romney Wins (Bloomberg)
  • 9 More Banks Subpoenaed Over Libor (WSJ)
  • Romney raises $112m in 17 days (FT)
  • Amid Cutbacks, Greek Doctors Offer Message to Poor: You Are Not Alone (NYT)... no, we are all broke
  • Muni Downgrades Top 2011 Total on Weak Economy: Moody’s (Bloomberg)
  • Ireland urges ECB to commit to bond-buying (FT)
  • Cameron and Clegg unite in EU demands (FT)
 
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Guest Post: Debt & Obesity





The waistline bubble began to expand at just about the same time as the debt bubble...

 

 
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