Ford

Kunstler: 2017 Is When The Wheels Finally Come Off

The American people have been punked by their own government and their central bank, the Federal Reserve, for years and the jig is now up. In 2017 both will lose their authority and legitimacy, a very grave matter for the survival of this republic.

What Keeps Goldman Up At Night About 2017

Between China, credit markets, financial conditions, political uncertainty, the consequences of Brexit, the presidential elections, global trade, the risk of sharp reflation, and the impotence of central banking, here are the top things that keep Goldman Sachs up at night about 2017.

Is 2017 The Year Silicon Valley Experiences The Dark Side Of "It's Different This Time"?

The prevailing premise, once again, throughout “The Valley” is that “next year” should be the return of those unicorn dreams. After all, how could 2016 be any worse than 2015 was the premise at the beginning of year. The issue? Here in reality, it was "a whole lot worse!" For 2016 now makes not only 2008 look good. It makes 2009 look terrific in comparison.

Frontrunning: December 29

  • Russia's Putin says Syrian government, opposition sign ceasefire deal (Reuters)
  • Snap’s IPO Pitch to Tout Service as ‘the Next Facebook’ (WSJ)
  • What History Has to Say About the Economy Trump Will Inherit (BBG) - zero mentions of the word "debt"
  • Trump tax reforms could depend on little-known 'scoring' panel (Reuters)
  • Debbie Reynolds Dies a Day After Daughter Carrie Fisher (BBG)
  • U.S. appeals court rejects SEC's use of administrative law judges (Reuters)

Trump Wins Again - Lockheed CEO Gives "Personal Commitment" To Cut F-35 Costs "Aggressively"

It appears the so-called 'Twitter-spanking' approach of president-elect Trump is working. First Carrier, then Ford, and now, following his earlier jab at Lockheed's F-35 costs by asking Boeing to price-out a comparable F-18, Lockheed Martin CEO Marillyn Hewson has reportedly given Trump her "personal commitment" to "aggressively" drive down costs of the F-35 program. The question is what was the quid-pro-quo in this instance?

Dave Collum's 2016 Year In Review - "And Then Things Got Really Weird..."

"Markets don’t have a purpose any more - they just reflect whatever central planners want them to. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable..."

Is The Auto Industry Slowdown Signaling Trouble Ahead For The Overall Economy

"Altogether, it is likely that the greater use of incentives, availability of credit, and willingness of automakers to hold additional inventory above historical norms reflect a preference for quantity of sales over quality. These trends have limits, as automakers cannot sacrifice margins and earnings forever.  "As the saying goes, something’s gotta give. We think that time may be coming."

U.S. Economic Confidence Surges To The Highest Level That Gallup Has Ever Recorded

Gallup’s U.S. Economic Confidence Index has never been higher than it is today.  The “Trumphoria” that has gripped the nation ever since Donald Trump’s miraculous victory on election night shows no signs of letting up.  Tens of millions of Americans that were deeply troubled by Barack Obama’s policies over the last eight years are feeling optimistic about the future for the first time in a very long time. But of course not everything is rainbows and unicorns...

2016 Year In Review

We started this year with the economy deteriorating and finished it with the second interest rate increase in ten years. There were a lot of ups and downs along the way, but ultimately 2016 was defined by three key story-lines:  1) Brexit 2) The Presidential Election 3) Fed Policy. The first two events were votes that shocked the world. The stock market’s reaction to each was arguably even more shocking. 

Uber Launches "Self-Driving" Cars In San Francisco Without DMV Approval

Starting Wednesday, Uber is expanding its tests of self-driving vehicles to San Francisco allowing the public to ride in autonomous Volvos. Test drivers will be present in the SUVs in case a human needs to intervene. The tests, which will be limited to downtown San Francisco, however are being conducted without the prior blessing of the California DMV.