France

Will Thursday's Final TLTRO Finally Spark Carry Trades?

On Thursday, the ECB will hold its fourth tender under the TLTRO-II (Targeted Long-Term Refinancing Operations) programme. A large take-up is expected. A poll published by Reuters had a  median forecast of EUR 125bn net borrowing, with estimates as high as EUR 300bn. From a rates perspective, what matters is whether these funds will trigger flows into the bond or swap markets as banks set up carry trades.

Dijsselbloem Must Go, But That Solves Nothing

The EU in its present form cannot continue, and any options that would have allowed reforming it have been closed off due to its very structure. That real problem is that people don’t get to vote for who controls Brussels. So even if Dijsselbloem is ousted, the powers that be, Germany, Holland, Finland, Austria, will simply appoint another one of their pawns in his place. 

Kremlin Says Report Of Fillon's Ties To Putin Is "Fake News"

A French media report alleging that presidential candidate Francois Fillon was paid to arrange introductions to Russian President Vladimir Putin is "fake news," Russia's Kremlin said on Wednesday. "It is what in English we call 'fake news,'" Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said, when asked to comment on the report.

Global Stocks Tumble; Gold, Safe Havens Jump On Doubts Trump Tax Cuts Will Pass

Global stocks tumbled amid growing doubts President Trump will be able to deliver on a promise of tax cuts that has powered stocks markets to record highs pushed shares lower on Wednesday and drove investors to seek safety in government debt, gold and the yen. As DB put it: "Warning! US equities can occasionally go down as well as up a lot."

The Kagans Are Back; Wars To Follow

The Kagan family, America’s neoconservative aristocracy, has reemerged having recovered from the letdown over not gaining its expected influence from the election of Hillary Clinton. Back pontificating on prominent op-ed pages, the Family Kagan now is pushing for an expanded U.S. military invasion of Syria and baiting Republicans for not joining more enthusiastically in the anti-Russian witch hunt over Moscow’s alleged help in electing Donald Trump.

Apple Launches Red iPhone 7, Introduces New iPad

As previewed last week, moments ago Apple has introduced a 9.7-inch iPad with Retina display, starting at $329. Today AAPL also announces red edition of iPhone 7 and iPhone 7 Plus to mark more than 10 years of partnership between Apple and HIV/AIDS charity.