France
Stock Futures Lower Despite Overnight Calm In Ongoing Currency Wars
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/14/2015 05:45 -0500- Aussie
- Bond
- China
- Consumer Sentiment
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- fixed
- France
- General Electric
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Jim Reid
- Market Conditions
- Michigan
- Natural Gas
- Nikkei
- Price Action
- Real estate
- recovery
- Shenzhen
- University Of Michigan
- Volatility
- Yuan
After a week of relentless FX volatility, spilling over out of China and into all other countries, and asset products, it was as if the market decided to take a time-out overnight, assisted by the PBOC which after three days of record devaluations finally revalued the Yuan stronger fractionally by 0.05% to 6.3975. And then, as a parting gift perhaps, just as the market was about to close again, the Chinese central bank intervened sending the Onshore Yuan, spiking to a level of 6.3912 as of this writing, notably stronger than the official fixing for the second day in a row. In fact the biggest news out of China overnight is that contrary to expectations, the PBOC once again "added" to its gold holdings, boosting its official gold by 610,000 ounces, or 19 tons, to 1,677 tones.
European GDP Unexpectedly Disappoints As All "Big Three" Economies Miss Expectations
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/14/2015 05:13 -0500Define irony: in a quarter in which Greece was supposed to have been near death (at least according to the worst PMI print in history and of course, judging by the bank lines in front of the capital controlled institutions), yesterday we learned that Greek GDP surged relative to expectations rising by 0.8%, which was what analysts had expected but with a minus sign in front of it. Then overnight, we got the rest of European GDP, including the big three: Germany, France and Italy. The results were nothing short of a big disappointment. At the Euroarea level, the result was also a big negative surprise with Q3 GDP rising 0.3%, down from 0.4%, and below expectations. This was the worst GDP print since Q3 2014.
From $1,300 Tiger Penis To $800K Snipers: The Complete Black Market Price Guide
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2015 21:16 -0500
What China's Devaluation Means For The Future Of The Dollar
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2015 16:45 -0500All of this raises an interesting question about the future of the US dollar. Because if an economy as large and powerful as China’s has had to concede defeat, does this mean that “King Dollar” will rule forever? No chance.
Risk On Despite Third Chinese Devaluation In A Row As PBOC Jawbones, Intervenes In FX Market
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/13/2015 05:49 -0500- Aussie
- B+
- Bond
- Central Banks
- China
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Daimler
- Equity Markets
- European Central Bank
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Policy
- NASDAQ
- Natural Gas
- Nikkei
- Nominal GDP
- Price Action
- recovery
- Shenzhen
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Yuan
With everyone now focused on what China's daily Yuan fixing will be ever night, there was some confusion why last night the PBOC decided to devalue the CNY by another 1.1% to 6.4010, despite its promise that the devaluation would be a "one-off" event, taking the 3 day devaluation to just about 4.5%. However, subsequently in a press conference, central bank vice-governor Yi Gang said that the PBoC will continue to step in when the market is ‘distorted’, that there is no economic basis for the Yuan to fall continuously and that it will look to keep the exchange rate ‘basically stable’. The Vice-Governor also said that the PBoC will closely monitor cross-border capital flows and that reports suggesting the Central Banks wants to see the currency depreciate 10% are ‘groundless’. Which is ironic considering after just 3 days, the PBOC is already half the way there!
DAX Crashes After Germany Warns Greek Bailout "Insufficient"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/12/2015 09:07 -0500With the Greek bailout deal now nearly done, all that stands in the way of disbursal is the Greek parliamnent and a predictably incalcitrant Germany which, according to Bild (citing EU sources) has now determined that the new bailout plan is "insufficient."
This Is What Global Currency War Looks Like: A Complete History Of Recent FX Interventions
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/11/2015 09:54 -0500To help remind readers of what happens when the entire world engages in wholesale currency war, here is a complete list of all the recent FX interventions, courtesy of Stone McCarthy.
Key Events In The Coming Week
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/10/2015 08:27 -0500Following last week's economic data tempest, capped with the disappointing US nonfarm payrolls, which has provided virtually no clarity on just what the "(Dow Jones) data-driven" Fed will do in a world in which not only is the US economy rolling over, but China is imploding, commodity deflation is raging, and global stock markets are propped up by a handful of stocks, the coming week will be far less exciting (which is just how the Hamptons crowd wants it).
Chinese Stocks Soar On Terrible Economic Data; US Futures Levitate; Brent Drops To 6 Month Lows
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/10/2015 05:54 -0500- Barclays
- Bond
- China
- Consumer Sentiment
- Copper
- CPI
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Fail
- fixed
- Foreclosures
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Market Conditions
- Market Manipulation
- Michigan
- Morgan Stanley
- NASDAQ
- NFIB
- Nikkei
- Price Action
- Quantitative Easing
- RANSquawk
- Reuters
- Shenzhen
- Trade Balance
- Unemployment
- University Of Michigan
- Volatility
- Yen
- Yuan
Following last week's bad news for the economy (terrible ADP private payrolls, confirmed by a miss in the NFP) which also resulted in bad news for the market which suffered its worst week in years, many were focused on how the market would react to the latest battery of terrible economic news out of China which as we observed over the weekend reported abysmal trade data, and the worst plunge in Chinese factory prices in 6 years. We now know: the Shanghai Composite soared by 5%, rising to 3,928 and approaching the key 4000 level because the ongoing economic collapse led Pavlov's dog to believe that much more easing is coming from the country which as we showed last night has literally thrown the kitchen sink at stabilizing the plunge in stocks.
"They'll Blame Physical Gold Holders For The Failure Of Monetary Policies" Marc Faber Explains Everything
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/09/2015 18:00 -0500- Afghanistan
- Apple
- Auto Sales
- Bear Market
- Bond
- Brazil
- Central Banks
- China
- Copper
- CPI
- default
- Donald Trump
- Eastern Europe
- Fail
- Federal Reserve
- Fisher
- France
- Germany
- Global Economy
- Greece
- Hong Kong
- Housing Bubble
- India
- Iran
- Iraq
- Italy
- Japan
- Kondratieff Wave
- Krugman
- Marc Faber
- Middle East
- Mortgage Backed Securities
- Napoleon
- Neocons
- New Home Sales
- PIMCO
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- Puerto Rico
- Purchasing Power
- Real estate
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Roman Empire
- Saudi Arabia
- Saxo Bank
- Social Mood
- Sovereign Debt
- Swiss National Bank
- Switzerland
- The Economist
- Trade Balance
- Ukraine
- Yen
"The future is unknown and we are not dealing with markets that are free markets anymore...now we have government interventions everywhere. [But] in the last say twelve months, I have observed an increasing number of academics who are questioning monetary policies. That's why I think they will take the gold away and go back to some gold standard by revaluing the gold say from now $1000/oz to say $10,000 dollars. An individual should definitely own some physical gold. The bigger question is where should he store it? because... the failure of monetary policies will not be admitted by the professors that are at central banks, they will then go and blame someone else for it and then an easy target would be to blame it on people that own physical gold because - they can argue - well these are the ones that do take money out of circulation and then the velocity of money goes down - we have to take it away from them... That has happened in 1933 in the US."
US Consumption and UK Wages Highlight the Week Ahead
Submitted by Marc To Market on 08/09/2015 09:17 -0500Here is an overview of next week's events and data placed in the larger context.
Economic Reality Now Catching Up To Market Fantasy
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/07/2015 21:25 -0500In a murky world of market fantasy, our first guideposts are the fundamentals themselves. Supply and demand can be misrepresented for a time through manipulated statistics, but the tangible effects of decline cannot be. Our secondary guideposts are the paths that internationalists and central banks bulldoze through the fiscal forest. To anyone with any sense, the endgame is clear: Total centralization is the goal, and economic fear is the tool they hope to use to get there. We have written on numerous solutions to this threat in past articles; but the first and most important action is for each of us to acknowledge, wholeheartedly, that the system we know is ending. It is over. What replaces that system will either be up to us or up to them. Only by admitting that there is an end to the fantasy, a painful end, will we then be able to help determine our future reality.
The Financial Media Was Wrong on Greece… and They're Wrong on the Next Crisis Too
Submitted by Phoenix Capital Research on 08/07/2015 09:49 -0500Elements of the financial media are either unbelievably lazy or completely complicit in helping to maintain the illusion of success for the Centralized powers (large governments and Central Banks).
In Blow To Obama's Iran Deal Hopes, Key Democrat Defects
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/07/2015 06:40 -0500GOP Presidential hopefuls expressed plenty of distaste for the Iran nuclear deal during last night’s debate, but it was the voice of a Democrat that mattered most on Thursday evening as Chuck Schumer, the influential Jewish Senator from New York, came out in opposition to the accord.
With All Eyes On Payrolls US Futures Tread Water; China Rises As Copper Crashes To New 6 Year Low
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 08/07/2015 05:54 -0500- Across the Curve
- Aussie
- Australia
- Berkshire Hathaway
- BOE
- Bond
- Bond Dealers
- China
- Consumer Credit
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- default
- Equity Markets
- Federal Reserve
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- headlines
- High Yield
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Iran
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- Monetary Base
- Monetary Policy
- NASDAQ
- Nationalization
- Nikkei
- Nominal GDP
- Price Action
- Shenzhen
- Trade Balance
- Unemployment
- Viacom
- Yen
- Yuan
Here comes today's main event, the July non-farm payrolls - once again the "most important ever" as the number will cement whether the Fed hikes this year or punts once again to the next year, and which consensus expects to print +225K although the whisper range is very wide: based on this week's ADP report, NFP may easily slide under 200K, while if using the non-mfg PMI as an indicator, a 300K+ print is in the cards. At the end of the day, it will be all in the hands of the BLS' Arima X 12 seasonal adjusters, and whatever goalseeked print the labor department has been strongly urged is the right one.




